Polling round-up, 01-15 September, 2015

[Two Thumbs]

Bush will be the nom in the end.

polls don't mean that much this far our, when it gets closer to being a vote, then you will see the moderates leave for another moderate and Bush will be the one to lose the WH.

Your opinion, which I respect. But there is a reason for why I keep such a detailed stream of all polling data, even in the early phase of a GE cycle, and I have listed that reason more than once. If Bush ends up being your nominee, then so be it. I am following the numbers, impassionately, as always.

That's fine, it's your thing.

Polls can be fun are are often bait for trolling.

I'm just talking about eventualities. The gop went fiscally right under RR, then went left under Bush and has kept going left. So the actual gop base will rally around a moderate that will not fix what needs fixing.

 

[Nyvin]

Bush will be the nom in the end.

polls don't mean that much this far our, when it gets closer to being a vote, then you will see the moderates leave for another moderate and Bush will be the one to lose the WH.

Your opinion, which I respect. But there is a reason for why I keep such a detailed stream of all polling data, even in the early phase of a GE cycle, and I have listed that reason more than once. If Bush ends up being your nominee, then so be it. I am following the numbers, impassionately, as always.

That's fine, it's your thing.

Polls can be fun are are often bait for trolling.

I'm just talking about eventualities. The gop went fiscally right under RR, then went left under Bush and has kept going left. So the actual gop base will rally around a moderate that will not fix what needs fixing.

Play a game...count how many times Republicans mention "Conservative" during the debates, and count how many times Democrats mention "Liberal" in theirs.

 

[Two Thumbs]

Bush will be the nom in the end.

polls don't mean that much this far our, when it gets closer to being a vote, then you will see the moderates leave for another moderate and Bush will be the one to lose the WH.

Your opinion, which I respect. But there is a reason for why I keep such a detailed stream of all polling data, even in the early phase of a GE cycle, and I have listed that reason more than once. If Bush ends up being your nominee, then so be it. I am following the numbers, impassionately, as always.

That's fine, it's your thing.

Polls can be fun are are often bait for trolling.

I'm just talking about eventualities. The gop went fiscally right under RR, then went left under Bush and has kept going left. So the actual gop base will rally around a moderate that will not fix what needs fixing.

Play a game...count how many times Republicans mention "Conservative" during the debates, and count how many times Democrats mention "Liberal" in theirs.

hillary called herself a prog last time she ran and bern is an out and out socialist.

I could care less what reps call themselves, but for that amount of effort, I'd need to get paid

 

[Statistikhengst]

Bush will be the nom in the end.

polls don't mean that much this far our, when it gets closer to being a vote, then you will see the moderates leave for another moderate and Bush will be the one to lose the WH.

Your opinion, which I respect. But there is a reason for why I keep such a detailed stream of all polling data, even in the early phase of a GE cycle, and I have listed that reason more than once. If Bush ends up being your nominee, then so be it. I am following the numbers, impassionately, as always.

That's fine, it's your thing.

Polls can be fun are are often bait for trolling.

I'm just talking about eventualities. The gop went fiscally right under RR, then went left under Bush and has kept going left. So the actual gop base will rally around a moderate that will not fix what needs fixing.

Thanks for the nice and well thought response. And thanks for voicing your opinion, I think that is a good thing.

I am not seeking to troll.

I am merely following the data stream.

And indeed, historically, more often than not, those who were ahead at this point in time have not won the nomination.

That being said, within the internals, there is often also data to be gleaned that is worth it.

AND, in terms of presidential matchups D vs R, often, very early polling has indeed been predicative.

Either way, it's good to record it, especially for posterity.