Polling round-up, 01-15 October, 2015 (1st half of October, 2015)

[Statistikhengst]

So, the polling round-up for the second half of September 2015 is now completed and the books have been closed on this two-week window, mostly concerning 2016:

Polling round-up, 15-30 September, 2015 (2nd half of September, 2015) | US Message Board - Political Discussion Forum

I did a recap of the polling (there was a ton of it) -which you may find to be very helpful- here:

Polling round-up, 15-30 September, 2015 (2nd half of September, 2015) | US Message Board - Political Discussion Forum

Here are the links to my politics blog for the next set of polling that should be coming in over these next two weeks:

Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: DEM Nomination

Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: GOP Nomination

Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: Presidential D vs. R matchups

Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: Senatorial / Gubernatorial

Statistikhengst's ELECTORAL POLITICS - 2015 and beyond: 2016 polling round-up, 01-15.10.2015: fav/unfav, approve/disapprove, other issues


With the first Democratic primary debate coming up on October 13th in Las Vegas, I suspect we will see hightened polling for the DEMS on many fronts. This also means that D-nomination polling AFTER the first debate could be most interesting to watch. Essentially, the 2nd half of October will show what kind of influence that debate had.

Also, the end of September was the end of financial Quarter 3, which could possibly mean that some of the lesser candidates on all fronts, if their fundraising was bad, may or may not drop out. I am thinking of people like Jim Gilmore, Rick Santorum and Lincoln Chafee. With less candidates in the race, the toplines for those who are still in tend to experience a light uptick. Wait and see.

And finally, October is the lead-up to three Fall 2015 General elections (Gubernatorials): in Kentucky, Louisiana and Mississippi. So, I suspect we will see more intense polling from these three states in October, especially in Kentucky, where the KY GOP is no longer funding Matt Bevin's campaign. Weirdness is happening in Kentucky. In Louisiana, as usual, it's a runoff system and with four known candidates on the ballot, a runoff in this state is very, very likely. The Gubernatorial in Mississippi is kind of the sleeper election this time around.

In GOP polling, Jeb! Bush has now sunk to either 4th or 5th place and his donors are already starting to make noise that they may start switching sides if he doesn't up his game, so I suspect that October may be "slog-it-out" month for Jeb!, for what it is worth.

But right now, the top three GOPers are all outsiders, and Biden indeed makes waves should he join the Democratic race. October should be an interesting month to watch on many fronts.

-Stat

 

[DarkFury]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

 

[Statistikhengst]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

You really are a special kind of stupid. Really, you are.
I record the numbers for all sides.
Put the bottle down and be a real human being.

 

[DarkFury]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

You really are a special kind of stupid. Really, you are.
I record the numbers for all sides.
Put the bottle down and be a real human being.

Nobody missed you while you were gone. In fact SOME clown trash member FINALLY bailed! Take your time the next time you run away, take all the time you want.

 

[Statistikhengst]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

You really are a special kind of stupid. Really, you are.
I record the numbers for all sides.
Put the bottle down and be a real human being.

Nobody missed you while you were gone. In fact SOME clown trash member FINALLY bailed! Take your time the next time you run away, take all the time you want.

What are you braying about, you drunken skunk?
Now, go fuck yourself, you turd.

 

[ScienceRocks]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

Since Mississippi is 38% black and 95% of blacks vote democrat with around 20% of whites in that state. Probably not as badly as you'd think.

 

[ScienceRocks]

How well are democrats expected to do in Mississippi?
Is Stats lying AGAIN?

"Many in Mississippi bemoan the Democratic party's decline. Its sorry state was illustrated in the August primary, when the first name on the party ballot got the nomination for governor: a truck driver who did not spend money or seriously campaign."

"Hood's fate in this election may indicate whether the party has become too great a liability. Today's Southern Democrats often pin their hopes on rebuilding by winning down-ballot races, such as mayoral elections in major cities."

Kind of looks that way!
In Mississippi, 'last Democrat in Dixie' fights to survive

You really are a special kind of stupid. Really, you are.
I record the numbers for all sides.
Put the bottle down and be a real human being.

Nobody missed you while you were gone. In fact SOME clown trash member FINALLY bailed! Take your time the next time you run away, take all the time you want.

Weird, stat is one of the few people here that understands the electoral environment and its history. Funny how this suppose to be a political board but most here don't have a clue about the rules of the game.

stats one of the few that does.

You need ohio, Florida, Virgina, and co or you'll be bitching about President Clinton for another 4 years.