Obama is Reasonably Clear Favorite Entering the Stretch Run

No incumbent president dating to 1956 has lost when unemployment fell over the two years leading up to his re-election contest.

And none has won when the rate rose.

Unemployment was 9.8 percent in November 2010.

Last month, three months before Election Day, the rate was 8.1 percent.

Nobody has ever been reelected with these economic numbers eithers...so...sorry, your point doesn't wash.

Not saying he can't win, just that your assertions are no more relevant than anything anyone else is sying.
 
Republicans have only won the popular presidential vote one time in the last 20 years.....2004.

So the only way Republicans can win is for the Supreme Court to change the rules on campaign contributions, allowing billionaire donors to give hundreds of millions of dollars to Romney's campaign, and then have the states illegally block people's right to vote.
 
The GOP is starting to come around to the fact that it's damn hard to beat an incumbent President.

It's going to be even harder in this instance, because everyone remembers how bad it was during the Bush years.

It's going to be like 2004 all over again.

It's okay guys, I remember how bad it sucked too.
 
The GOP is starting to come around to the fact that it's damn hard to beat an incumbent President.

It's going to be even harder in this instance, because everyone remembers how bad it was during the Bush years.

It's going to be like 2004 all over again.

It's okay guys, I remember how bad it sucked too.

Nothing compares to the gross waste and mismanagement of the last 3 years. 5 years really. How many "stimulus" programs have Dems enacted? How did those work out? How many "Cash for _________"? How did those work out? How about the biggest new entitlement since FDR? Most unpopular program ever. People scream about Bush's 6% unemployment and ignore Obama's 8+%.
And that's just the domestic policy. Foreign policy is worse, much worse.
 
The GOP is starting to come around to the fact that it's damn hard to beat an incumbent President.

It's going to be even harder in this instance, because everyone remembers how bad it was during the Bush years.

It's going to be like 2004 all over again.

It's okay guys, I remember how bad it sucked too.

Nothing compares to the gross waste and mismanagement of the last 3 years. 5 years really. How many "stimulus" programs have Dems enacted? How did those work out? How many "Cash for _________"? How did those work out? How about the biggest new entitlement since FDR? Most unpopular program ever. People scream about Bush's 6% unemployment and ignore Obama's 8+%.
And that's just the domestic policy. Foreign policy is worse, much worse.

Gee. You'd think that Romney would be creaming Obama in the polls if it were that clear cut.....

Let me guess, "Liberal media conspiracy" or "liberal media polls" or a combination of the two?

Going to double down on that "silent majority"?

The same one that defeated McCain?
 
Well well.....

This was a fun one to look up and bring back.

I wonder if the left's orgasms over Obama's victory turned out to be premature ejaculation ?

You'll notice that COH (the dickweed who started the thread) let it die out and has now started several others that can only be described as hysterical.
 
Well well.....

This was a fun one to look up and bring back.

I wonder if the left's orgasms over Obama's victory turned out to be premature ejaculation ?

You'll notice that COH (the dickweed who started the thread) let it die out and has now started several others that can only be described as hysterical.
well i think dems sadly got to confident early on and so did obama by looks of thing. I just wish he was more praticed for debate on october 3rd. Now he underdog chasing the front runner in romney. Never where you want to be three weeks before a election.
 
Well well.....

This was a fun one to look up and bring back.

I wonder if the left's orgasms over Obama's victory turned out to be premature ejaculation ?

You'll notice that COH (the dickweed who started the thread) let it die out and has now started several others that can only be described as hysterical.
well i think dems sadly got to confident early on and so did obama by looks of thing. I just wish he was more praticed for debate on october 3rd. Now he underdog chasing the front runner in romney. Never where you want to be three weeks before a election.

What this should tell you is that people were just looking for an excuse to vote for Romney or dump Obama and vote for Romney.

More practiced ?

What happened was that Romney got to show who he is....
 
Well well.....

This was a fun one to look up and bring back.

I wonder if the left's orgasms over Obama's victory turned out to be premature ejaculation ?

You'll notice that COH (the dickweed who started the thread) let it die out and has now started several others that can only be described as hysterical.
well i think dems sadly got to confident early on and so did obama by looks of thing. I just wish he was more praticed for debate on october 3rd. Now he underdog chasing the front runner in romney. Never where you want to be three weeks before a election.

What this should tell you is that people were just looking for an excuse to vote for Romney or dump Obama and vote for Romney.

More practiced ?

What happened was that Romney got to show who he is....
maybe but obama helped him a lot with such a poor peformance. Look if romney wins well done to him and i wish him all the best as president of united states of america.
 
Giving Romney some states he isn't likely to win and that Obama is ahead in and giving Obama some states he's already ahead in, the map turns out like this.

403879844.jpg

You can do one yourself here.

You can see the Five Thirty Eight Forecast at the link below.

Sept. 8: Conventions May Put Obama in Front-Runner’s Position

By NATE SILVER

On Friday, we began to see reasonably clear signs that President Obama would receive some kind of bounce in the polls from the Democratic convention.

Mr. Obama had another strong day in the polls on Saturday, making further gains in each of four national tracking polls. The question now is not whether Mr. Obama will get a bounce in the polls, but how substantial it will be.

Some of the data, in fact, suggests that the conventions may have changed the composition of the race, making Mr. Obama a reasonably clear favorite as we enter the stretch run of the campaign.

I don't see Indiana going to Obama. It's just not very likely. I don't see Nevada or Iowa going to Romney either. But I'd say it's hard to call anyone a reasonable favorite. Obama's victory will depend on overtaking Ohio, and maintaining Nevada and Iowa. The possibility of Obama losing either of those two is more likely than him turning a lead in, for example, Virginia or Wisconsin, which is what it would take for him to win while losing the latter two.
 
I would point out RCP not to long ago had Obama at around 237 on the electoral map now it's 201 to Romney's 191 and three states Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania which once were listed as lean Obama or now back to tossup.
 
Giving Romney some states he isn't likely to win and that Obama is ahead in and giving Obama some states he's already ahead in, the map turns out like this.

403879844.jpg

You can do one yourself here.

You can see the Five Thirty Eight Forecast at the link below.

Sept. 8: Conventions May Put Obama in Front-Runner’s Position

By NATE SILVER

On Friday, we began to see reasonably clear signs that President Obama would receive some kind of bounce in the polls from the Democratic convention.

Mr. Obama had another strong day in the polls on Saturday, making further gains in each of four national tracking polls. The question now is not whether Mr. Obama will get a bounce in the polls, but how substantial it will be.

Some of the data, in fact, suggests that the conventions may have changed the composition of the race, making Mr. Obama a reasonably clear favorite as we enter the stretch run of the campaign.

I don't see Indiana going to Obama. It's just not very likely. I don't see Nevada or Iowa going to Romney either. But I'd say it's hard to call anyone a reasonable favorite. Obama's victory will depend on overtaking Ohio, and maintaining Nevada and Iowa. The possibility of Obama losing either of those two is more likely than him turning a lead in, for example, Virginia or Wisconsin, which is what it would take for him to win while losing the latter two.
i think obama has to win ohio. without it i doubt he has a chance at all of winning. deep down needs to win wiscosin and ohio to have a chance of winning.
 
I would point out RCP not to long ago had Obama at around 237 on the electoral map now it's 201 to Romney's 191 and three states Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania which once were listed as lean Obama or now back to tossup.
he got to win Michigan, and Pennsylvania . they should be locked in blue states. fails to win either of them and election over before it started
 
The GOP is starting to come around to the fact that it's damn hard to beat an incumbent President.

It's going to be even harder in this instance, because everyone remembers how bad it was during the Bush years.

It's going to be like 2004 all over again.

It's okay guys, I remember how bad it sucked too.

Nothing compares to the gross waste and mismanagement of the last 3 years. 5 years really. How many "stimulus" programs have Dems enacted? How did those work out? How many "Cash for _________"? How did those work out? How about the biggest new entitlement since FDR? Most unpopular program ever. People scream about Bush's 6% unemployment and ignore Obama's 8+%.
And that's just the domestic policy. Foreign policy is worse, much worse.

Gee. You'd think that Romney would be creaming Obama in the polls if it were that clear cut.....

Let me guess, "Liberal media conspiracy" or "liberal media polls" or a combination of the two?

Going to double down on that "silent majority"?

The same one that defeated McCain?

IN some polls Romney is creaming Obama. But at this stage in the '80 election Carter was still the favorite, despite policies almost as bad as Obama's. ANd you cannot state seriously that the fawning uncritical media has not played a role here.
 

Forum List

Back
Top