courseofhistory
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- Aug 7, 2012
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Giving Romney some states he isn't likely to win and that Obama is ahead in and giving Obama some states he's already ahead in, the map turns out like this.
You can do one yourself here.
You can see the Five Thirty Eight Forecast at the link below.
You can do one yourself here.
You can see the Five Thirty Eight Forecast at the link below.
Sept. 8: Conventions May Put Obama in Front-Runners Position
By NATE SILVER
On Friday, we began to see reasonably clear signs that President Obama would receive some kind of bounce in the polls from the Democratic convention.
Mr. Obama had another strong day in the polls on Saturday, making further gains in each of four national tracking polls. The question now is not whether Mr. Obama will get a bounce in the polls, but how substantial it will be.
Some of the data, in fact, suggests that the conventions may have changed the composition of the race, making Mr. Obama a reasonably clear favorite as we enter the stretch run of the campaign.