No Super el Niño – But Massive Polar Vortex

"The heat will be totally gone"? To where?
You have no clue about ocean circulations and heat transfer. Amazing.. You actually admit that you haven't a dam clue! :clap2:

Since the man works on a research vessel, I suspect he knows considerably more about the ocean than you do, Billy Bob.

THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION (NAO) IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO
THE NEGATIVE PHASE OVER THE NEXT 10 DAYS. TYPICALLY...THE NAO
CAN BE PREDICTED AT MOST UP TO 2 WEEKS IN ADVANCE. A SIMILAR
TREND IS EXPECTED OUT TO 14 DAYS. A NEGATIVE NAO INDICATES
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THIS IS A PATTERN IN WHICH ARCTIC AIR MASSES ARE ALLOWED TO
PENETRATE SOUTH INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES.
BEGINNING THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK...THE GREAT LAKES WILL
BE HEADED INTO MORE WINTER LIKE CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF
COLD AIR OUTBREAKS EXPECTED.

THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION (AO) IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
WEEKS TO TREND DEEP IN THE NEGATIVE PHASE. THIS IS ANOTHER
INDICATION THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE WEEKS. THE NAO AND AO ARE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST BECAUSE THEY
MAKE THEIR PRESENCE KNOWN WITHIN ABOUT TWO WEEKS IN THE FUTURE.


I doubt it..
 
"The heat will be totally gone"? To where?
You have no clue about ocean circulations and heat transfer. Amazing.. You actually admit that you haven't a dam clue! :clap2:

Since the man works on a research vessel, I suspect he knows considerably more about the ocean than you do, Billy Bob.

THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION (NAO) IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO
THE NEGATIVE PHASE OVER THE NEXT 10 DAYS. TYPICALLY...THE NAO
CAN BE PREDICTED AT MOST UP TO 2 WEEKS IN ADVANCE. A SIMILAR
TREND IS EXPECTED OUT TO 14 DAYS. A NEGATIVE NAO INDICATES
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THIS IS A PATTERN IN WHICH ARCTIC AIR MASSES ARE ALLOWED TO
PENETRATE SOUTH INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES.
BEGINNING THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK...THE GREAT LAKES WILL
BE HEADED INTO MORE WINTER LIKE CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF
COLD AIR OUTBREAKS EXPECTED.

THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION (AO) IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
WEEKS TO TREND DEEP IN THE NEGATIVE PHASE. THIS IS ANOTHER
INDICATION THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE WEEKS. THE NAO AND AO ARE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST BECAUSE THEY
MAKE THEIR PRESENCE KNOWN WITHIN ABOUT TWO WEEKS IN THE FUTURE.


I doubt it..

Three days into it, and what I posted above is pretty much exactly what is occurring. Still doubt it, Billy Bob? Do you see any trend that is going to reverse or alter the prediction? And if so, what?
 
"The heat will be totally gone"? To where?
You have no clue about ocean circulations and heat transfer. Amazing.. You actually admit that you haven't a dam clue! :clap2:

Since the man works on a research vessel, I suspect he knows considerably more about the ocean than you do, Billy Bob.

THE NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION (NAO) IS FORECAST TO DROP INTO
THE NEGATIVE PHASE OVER THE NEXT 10 DAYS. TYPICALLY...THE NAO
CAN BE PREDICTED AT MOST UP TO 2 WEEKS IN ADVANCE. A SIMILAR
TREND IS EXPECTED OUT TO 14 DAYS. A NEGATIVE NAO INDICATES
TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
THIS IS A PATTERN IN WHICH ARCTIC AIR MASSES ARE ALLOWED TO
PENETRATE SOUTH INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES.
BEGINNING THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK...THE GREAT LAKES WILL
BE HEADED INTO MORE WINTER LIKE CONDITIONS WITH A SERIES OF
COLD AIR OUTBREAKS EXPECTED.

THE ARCTIC OSCILLATION (AO) IS FORECAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
WEEKS TO TREND DEEP IN THE NEGATIVE PHASE. THIS IS ANOTHER
INDICATION THAT TEMPERATURES WILL BE BELOW NORMAL OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE WEEKS. THE NAO AND AO ARE DIFFICULT TO FORECAST BECAUSE THEY
MAKE THEIR PRESENCE KNOWN WITHIN ABOUT TWO WEEKS IN THE FUTURE.


I doubt it..

Three days into it, and what I posted above is pretty much exactly what is occurring. Still doubt it, Billy Bob? Do you see any trend that is going to reverse or alter the prediction? And if so, what?

Region three is about to go very negative. Region four will soon follow as the heat is pushed to the poles along the shore lines. As the areas near the shore are much thinner the heat will dissipate rapidly as it hits the frigid winds of the bearing sea and nighttime roll off from the continent itself. (note it is the waves created which allow heat dissipation). it will take 3-4 weeks before the heat is distributed and region 3 is negative with four neutral trending negative.

Thus January and February in the US will be very cold.
 
Meanwhile, back in the real world, El Nino forecast heats up again.

ENSO Wrap-Up
---
The Pacific Ocean has shown some renewed signs of El Niño development in recent weeks. Above-average temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean have warmed further in the past fortnight, while the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has generally been in excess of El Niño thresholds for the past three months. Climate models suggest current conditions will either persist or strengthen. These factors mean the Bureau's ENSO Tracker Status has been upgraded from WATCH to ALERT level, indicating at least a 70% chance of El Niño occurring.
---

Model projections. No super El Nino, more of a long borderline El Nino.

poama.nino34.small.png
 
Meanwhile, back in the real world, El Nino forecast heats up again.

ENSO Wrap-Up
---
The Pacific Ocean has shown some renewed signs of El Niño development in recent weeks. Above-average temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean have warmed further in the past fortnight, while the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has generally been in excess of El Niño thresholds for the past three months. Climate models suggest current conditions will either persist or strengthen. These factors mean the Bureau's ENSO Tracker Status has been upgraded from WATCH to ALERT level, indicating at least a 70% chance of El Niño occurring.
---

Model projections. No super El Nino, more of a long borderline El Nino.

poama.nino34.small.png
:cuckoo:

You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..
 
Meanwhile, back in the real world, El Nino forecast heats up again.

ENSO Wrap-Up
---
The Pacific Ocean has shown some renewed signs of El Niño development in recent weeks. Above-average temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean have warmed further in the past fortnight, while the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has generally been in excess of El Niño thresholds for the past three months. Climate models suggest current conditions will either persist or strengthen. These factors mean the Bureau's ENSO Tracker Status has been upgraded from WATCH to ALERT level, indicating at least a 70% chance of El Niño occurring.
---

Model projections. No super El Nino, more of a long borderline El Nino.

poama.nino34.small.png
:cuckoo:

You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..

You do realize that we have trade winds, right? You don't realize? Who hasn't a clue, then.
 
You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..

It's obvious you're just babbling nonsense again.

If you're not just making it all up, give us a source for your weirdass claims that are contradicted by damn near everyone.

El Nino Southern Oscillation ENSO Technical Discussion Teleconnections National Climatic Data Center NCDC
---
During an El Niño event, the easterly trade winds converging across the equatorial Pacific weaken.
---
 
You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..

It's obvious you're just babbling nonsense again.

If you're not just making it all up, give us a source for your weirdass claims that are contradicted by damn near everyone.

El Nino Southern Oscillation ENSO Technical Discussion Teleconnections National Climatic Data Center NCDC
---
During an El Niño event, the easterly trade winds converging across the equatorial Pacific weaken.
---
Well again, the earth itself proves your want just a dream. The vortex that we are currently under cannot happen in an El Nino. So tell me how it is possible it's there at the same time as the current climate we've experienced?
 
Meanwhile, back in the real world, El Nino forecast heats up again.

ENSO Wrap-Up
---
The Pacific Ocean has shown some renewed signs of El Niño development in recent weeks. Above-average temperatures in the tropical Pacific Ocean have warmed further in the past fortnight, while the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) has generally been in excess of El Niño thresholds for the past three months. Climate models suggest current conditions will either persist or strengthen. These factors mean the Bureau's ENSO Tracker Status has been upgraded from WATCH to ALERT level, indicating at least a 70% chance of El Niño occurring.
---

Model projections. No super El Nino, more of a long borderline El Nino.

poama.nino34.small.png
:cuckoo:

You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..

You do realize that we have trade winds, right? You don't realize? Who hasn't a clue, then.

No westerlies are occurring currently.
 
You do realize that without trade winds (westerlies) there is no El Nino.. Its obvious you haven't a clue..

It's obvious you're just babbling nonsense again.

If you're not just making it all up, give us a source for your weirdass claims that are contradicted by damn near everyone.

El Nino Southern Oscillation ENSO Technical Discussion Teleconnections National Climatic Data Center NCDC
---
During an El Niño event, the easterly trade winds converging across the equatorial Pacific weaken.
---
Guess what isn't happening right now.... those easterlies become westerlies and they OSCILLATE..That is why they are called oscillations. AND THEY ARE NOT HAPPENING...
El Nino Southern Oscillation... ENSO..

Freaking morons..
 
Billy, you're just making shit up. Everyone knows it. Stop it. You're not fooling anyone.
You couldn't find your ass if it was in both of your hands... You call me a liar when you are the one making shit up and lying about it.. Go back to class as you dont know shit about the ENSO and how it functions..
 
The vortex that we are currently under cannot happen in an El Nino.

And we're not in an El Nino, dumbass.

Go look up the world "forecast". We'll wait.
that's correct, we're not. Thanks for playing!!!!

That's odd as the moron was trying to insinuate that we were in one... GO figure.. Cant make up their mind once they have been caught in a lie then they project their failings on others.. classic alarmist drivel..
 

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