Junk Science Week: Climate models fail reality test

Discussion in 'Environment' started by IanC, Jun 14, 2012.

  1. IanC
    Offline

    IanC Gold Member

    Joined:
    Sep 22, 2009
    Messages:
    9,196
    Thanks Received:
    1,070
    Trophy Points:
    245
    Ratings:
    +2,446
    Junk Science Week: Climate models fail reality test | FP Comment | Financial Post

    I have read about random walks before but I did not realize that the HadCRU data is a near perfect random walk with a Hurst Exponent only slightly showing a small regression to the mean. (0.475 compared to a perfect 0500)
     
  2. westwall
    Offline

    westwall USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Apr 21, 2010
    Messages:
    40,972
    Thanks Received:
    7,975
    Trophy Points:
    1,830
    Location:
    Nevada
    Ratings:
    +19,721
    I posted the same story before i found yours! Very interesting and yet another nail in the coffin of AGW science which is almost wholly based on these things.
     
  3. Big Fitz
    Offline

    Big Fitz User Quit *****

    Joined:
    Nov 23, 2009
    Messages:
    16,917
    Thanks Received:
    2,473
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +2,475
    Tis what happens when you rely on straight line projections and predetermined desired outcomes.
     
  4. flacaltenn
    Offline

    flacaltenn USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2011
    Messages:
    30,092
    Thanks Received:
    4,665
    Trophy Points:
    1,130
    Location:
    Hillbilly Hollywood, Tenn
    Ratings:
    +13,376
    But but but --- these tests were done against REGIONAL DATA!!! That's not fair.. THat single "Global Mean Surface Temperature" number is supposed to simplify policy making.. Not project the temperature in Buffalo, NY or Vladisvostok...

    U need to find a region on earth that has AVERAGE temperatures.. Then the models are incredibly accurate I bet...

    You guys are always stretching the truth...
     
    Last edited: Jun 14, 2012
  5. flacaltenn
    Offline

    flacaltenn USMB Mod Staff Member Gold Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Jun 9, 2011
    Messages:
    30,092
    Thanks Received:
    4,665
    Trophy Points:
    1,130
    Location:
    Hillbilly Hollywood, Tenn
    Ratings:
    +13,376
    It was sarcasm guys.. Really it was.. Didn't mean to kill the joy...

    Here have a smiley-face... :razz:
     
  6. Big Fitz
    Offline

    Big Fitz User Quit *****

    Joined:
    Nov 23, 2009
    Messages:
    16,917
    Thanks Received:
    2,473
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +2,475
    I smirked.
     
  7. whitehall
    Offline

    whitehall Gold Member

    Joined:
    Dec 28, 2010
    Messages:
    27,810
    Thanks Received:
    4,341
    Trophy Points:
    290
    Location:
    Western Va.
    Ratings:
    +10,780
    We know for a fact that real life computer models cannot determine the track of an imminent Atlantic hurricane or storm. The Weather Channel gives us three or four or ten possible tracks depending on minute data that is fed into the computer. How many times do we have to see evidence of bad data fed into computers to achieve a desired result? The theory of Man-Made-Global-Warming is fiction designed for several purposes including left wing political agendas, lavish federal funding for bogus "research", and international extortion schemes aimed at the US.
     
  8. rdean
    Offline

    rdean rddean

    Joined:
    Aug 9, 2009
    Messages:
    60,111
    Thanks Received:
    6,895
    Trophy Points:
    1,840
    Location:
    chicago
    Ratings:
    +14,963
    Why don't we see any "Republican" computer models or Republican "science"?


    Just kidding.​

    :alcoholic:
     
  9. RetiredGySgt
    Offline

    RetiredGySgt Platinum Member

    Joined:
    May 6, 2007
    Messages:
    39,559
    Thanks Received:
    5,900
    Trophy Points:
    1,140
    Location:
    North Carolina
    Ratings:
    +8,973
    Retard alert. the board retard has infected this thread, ignore him as best you can, just remember in Rdean's case he is mentally unstable when it comes to facts and reality.
     
  10. Big Fitz
    Offline

    Big Fitz User Quit *****

    Joined:
    Nov 23, 2009
    Messages:
    16,917
    Thanks Received:
    2,473
    Trophy Points:
    48
    Ratings:
    +2,475
    The idea that the scientific method has a political position went out with Soviet Biology. Now we just use this silly thing called objective fact. You know, the stuff that is repeatable and disregards political party?
     

Share This Page