Wyatt earp
Diamond Member
- Apr 21, 2012
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Interesting.......
Here's why the jobs economy doesn't feel strong despite years of strong numbers
Yesterday, the reading came in with job creation of 292,000 in December, which beat estimates of approximately 200,000. The headline unemployment rate was steady at 5%. Average hourly earnings were flat at 0.0% vs. estimates of an increase of 0.2%. The report had a couple of caveats that left me feeling uncomfortable. The first thing that stood out was the 34,000 temporary jobs and 45,000 Construction jobs. Also, the average hourly work week for manufacturing which edge down 0.1 to 40.6 hours and average work week for production and non-supervisory employees was unchanged at 33.7 hours. Even with the large job creation, the U6 measure of unemployment remained unchanged at 9.9% and the labor participation rate remained unchanged at approximately 62%.
Let's look at pre- and post-crisis wage growth. In January of 2000 the average hourly wage was $13.75; in December of 2007 it was $17.70. In January of 2008 it was $17.75; and December of 2015 it was $21.22. Pre-crisis there was wage growth of 28.73% and post crisis wage growth had slowed to 19.55%. Interesting
Going back even further, January of 1993, $10.93 and December of 1999, $13.70 -- wage growth of 25.34%. January 1986 to December 1992 $8.85 to $10.64, 20.23%. Interesting. 2008 to 2015 has been the slowest seven-year span of wage growth in nearly 30 years. If we are creating all these jobs, why is that we have such sub-standard wage growth?
Labor participation has been declining because as the population has been increasing the jobs being created have not been able to keep up. Not only has wage growth been at a 30-year-low, but job creation has been lackluster as well
Here's why the jobs economy doesn't feel strong despite years of strong numbers
Yesterday, the reading came in with job creation of 292,000 in December, which beat estimates of approximately 200,000. The headline unemployment rate was steady at 5%. Average hourly earnings were flat at 0.0% vs. estimates of an increase of 0.2%. The report had a couple of caveats that left me feeling uncomfortable. The first thing that stood out was the 34,000 temporary jobs and 45,000 Construction jobs. Also, the average hourly work week for manufacturing which edge down 0.1 to 40.6 hours and average work week for production and non-supervisory employees was unchanged at 33.7 hours. Even with the large job creation, the U6 measure of unemployment remained unchanged at 9.9% and the labor participation rate remained unchanged at approximately 62%.
Let's look at pre- and post-crisis wage growth. In January of 2000 the average hourly wage was $13.75; in December of 2007 it was $17.70. In January of 2008 it was $17.75; and December of 2015 it was $21.22. Pre-crisis there was wage growth of 28.73% and post crisis wage growth had slowed to 19.55%. Interesting
Going back even further, January of 1993, $10.93 and December of 1999, $13.70 -- wage growth of 25.34%. January 1986 to December 1992 $8.85 to $10.64, 20.23%. Interesting. 2008 to 2015 has been the slowest seven-year span of wage growth in nearly 30 years. If we are creating all these jobs, why is that we have such sub-standard wage growth?
Labor participation has been declining because as the population has been increasing the jobs being created have not been able to keep up. Not only has wage growth been at a 30-year-low, but job creation has been lackluster as well