Fivethirtyeight just tilted Arizona blue.... wow

[JimH52]

I guess that is why the active duty military are supporting Trump 2 t1 over Hillary and why all those generals, flag officers, and 21 Medal of Honor recipients endorse him? Perhaps that is why the Police an Law Enforcement Union endorsed his? Perhaps that is why the Border Patrol Union endorsed him? Perhaps that is also why ICE, who hasnever before endorsed any political candidate, endorsed Trump as well? But you do carry on.

and that is why 160 officials in the GOP have renounced Comrade Trump. His only chance now is to keep paying Russia to Hack polling places and he DNC. He and Assage are birds of a feather. An accused rapist and a champion groper.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...n-they-reached-their-breaking-point.html?_r=0

The 160 are simply the Washington elitests. They are no different than the Liberals. Please post your actual evidence that Russia has hacked anything at all. We do know that the NSA did a fair share of hacking. Trump has one accuser of rape as far as I can tell. Bill Clinton has at least four accusers.

You don't "can tell" very well, del. The ruskies are trying to influence the election, and you are happy with that.

Comrade Trump is spending some good money to get Putin and Assage to throw the election in his direction. I can hear them typing those damning emails right now!

 

[Old Rocks]

Oh they do love to jump at every poll that shows Hillary leading.

Which is almost every poll.

even the stubborn pro trump poll provided by USC Dornsife/LA Times is coming around.
tied now.

soon, trumptards need to focus on polls concerned with wyoming and oklahomer.

Soon you will have tens of millions of people in opposition to the US government.How You will lose either way.

Doing what? Sitting in their basements, petting their AR's and AK's, swilling beer, and posting nonsense on a message board.

Old Crock-o-Shit....Wow dude....how did you know I do that?

Well, for sure I know that you do the latter item. As to the former items, seems to be what most "Conservatives" do when they simply cannot face reality.

 

[Iceweasel]

White House Watch - Rasmussen Reports™

Thursday, October 13, 2016

The full results from Sunday night’s debate are in, and Donald Trump has come from behind to take the lead over Hillary Clinton.

The latest Rasmussen Reports White House Watch national telephone and online survey shows Trump with 43% support among Likely U.S. Voters to Clinton’s 41%. Yesterday, Clinton still held a four-point 43% to 39% lead over Trump, but that was down from five points on Tuesday and her biggest lead ever of seven points on Monday.

 

[Old Rocks]

RCP Poll Average 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
4-Way RCP Average 44.3 39.7 Clinton +4.6

Favorability Ratings -9.6 -22.1 Clinton +12.5
Live Betting Odds 86.0 14.0
Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 260 165 Clinton +95
No Toss Up States 340 198
Battlegrounds

Clinton Trump Spread
Florida 45.1 42.4 Clinton +2.7

Ohio 44.0 43.5 Clinton +0.5
Pennsylvania 47.7 39.0 Clinton +8.7

New Hampshire 44.3 38.3 Clinton +6.0
North Carolina 44.8 42.2 Clinton +2.6
Iowa 38.0 41.7 Trump +3.7
Nevada 43.2 41.8 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls

Really?

 

[ptbw forever]

RCP Poll Average 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
4-Way RCP Average 44.3 39.7 Clinton +4.6

Favorability Ratings -9.6 -22.1 Clinton +12.5
Live Betting Odds 86.0 14.0
Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 260 165 Clinton +95
No Toss Up States 340 198
Battlegrounds

Clinton Trump Spread
Florida 45.1 42.4 Clinton +2.7

Ohio 44.0 43.5 Clinton +0.5
Pennsylvania 47.7 39.0 Clinton +8.7

New Hampshire 44.3 38.3 Clinton +6.0
North Carolina 44.8 42.2 Clinton +2.6
Iowa 38.0 41.7 Trump +3.7
Nevada 43.2 41.8 Clinton +1

RealClearPolitics - Opinion, News, Analysis, Video and Polls

Really?

None of those are current.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Put your evidence up here and back up your mouth Jake.

Nope, you can't ask for what has been put out out there for all to see already, the government saying the Ruskies are hacking. If you don't like the truth of it, I could care less.

 

[JakeStarkey]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

 

[the_human_being]

Put your evidence up here and back up your mouth Jake.

Nope, you can't ask for what has been put out out there for all to see already, the government saying the Ruskies are hacking. If you don't like the truth of it, I could care less.

I knew you couldn't back up what you said. You usually can't.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Put your evidence up here and back up your mouth Jake.

Nope, you can't ask for what has been put out out there for all to see already, the government saying the Ruskies are hacking. If you don't like the truth of it, I could care less.

I knew you couldn't back up what you said. You usually can't.

I don't have to because it is common knowledge. Anyone who denies it is a loon, clearly, by their statement of denial.

 

[gipper]

Which is almost every poll.

even the stubborn pro trump poll provided by USC Dornsife/LA Times is coming around.
tied now.

soon, trumptards need to focus on polls concerned with wyoming and oklahomer.

Soon you will have tens of millions of people in opposition to the US government.How You will lose either way.

Doing what? Sitting in their basements, petting their AR's and AK's, swilling beer, and posting nonsense on a message board.

Old Crock-o-Shit....Wow dude....how did you know I do that?

Well, for sure I know that you do the latter item. As to the former items, seems to be what most "Conservatives" do when they simply cannot face reality.

Hey Old Crook, please don't tell me you are Hillary voter in addition to being a nutty warmer. That would be two whammies against you....that is some kind of f**ked up dude

 

[ptbw forever]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

All the same polls that existed before the 2nd debate.

You literally have to believe the 2nd presidential debate had NO effect on either candidate to believe those polls.

 

[JakeStarkey]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

All the same polls that existed before the 2nd debate.

You literally have to believe the 2nd presidential debate had NO effect on either candidate to believe those polls.

Who said the polls are perfect? But they are the ones at the moment that are current. I think the debate revved up Trump's base, but it had no positive effect on women or centrist undecided voters. We know the true conservatives and libertarians are voting for Johnson if not writing in a candidate.

 

[Vandalshandle]

This just in. Trump is leading Clinton in the polls, 47% to 38% among angry white men in Des Moines with signs on their yards reading "Keep off the grass!!!"

 

[miketx]

see what happens when donald goes full on breitbart loon?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/arizona/

That you believe the lying polls shows how media fed simple minded you are.

 

[JimH52]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

All the same polls that existed before the 2nd debate.

You literally have to believe the 2nd presidential debate had NO effect on either candidate to believe those polls.

And it didn't. Most legitimate polls say Hillary won. The stalker Comrade Trump is losing in states that the GOP has won for decades. INCREDIBLE!

 

[JimH52]

This just in. Trump is leading Clinton in the polls, 47% to 38% among angry white men in Des Moines with signs on their yards reading "Keep off the grass!!!"

Yup, he has a lock on angry white men! Too bad there are not enough of them for him to win.

 

[ptbw forever]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

All the same polls that existed before the 2nd debate.

You literally have to believe the 2nd presidential debate had NO effect on either candidate to believe those polls.

Who said the polls are perfect? But they are the ones at the moment that are current. I think the debate revved up Trump's base, but it had no positive effect on women or centrist undecided voters. We know the true conservatives and libertarians are voting for Johnson if not writing in a candidate.

Johnson is doing way too terrible for that to be true.

Centrist voters are with Trump and always have been. Trump has been easily winning with independents all the way up to this week.

You only believe Trump's base is extremist because you are too dumb to even question EXTREMIST left wing sites who supported communist Venezuela countless numbers of times.

 

[ptbw forever]

This just in. Trump is leading Clinton in the polls, 47% to 38% among angry white men in Des Moines with signs on their yards reading "Keep off the grass!!!"

Yup, he has a lock on angry white men! Too bad there are not enough of them for him to win.

Too bad angry black men hate sissy white Democrat men more than anyone else.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Centrist voters are not for Trump and never have been.

ptbw, quit acting the loon; you are better than that.

fivethirtyeight and RCP have HRC better than 80 to 20 on Trump.

They are credible; you are not.

 

[ptbw forever]

ptbw, is October 12 current enough for you? Yeah, orange messiah has lost traction and is stumbling.

Polling Data
Poll Date Sample MoE Clinton (D) Trump (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/3 - 10/12 -- -- 48.0 41.8 Clinton +6.2
LA Times/USC Tracking 10/6 - 10/12 2838 LV 4.5 44 44 Tie
NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl 10/8 - 10/10 806 LV 3.5 50 40 Clinton +10
Reuters/Ipsos 10/6 - 10/10 2363 LV 2.2 44 37 Clinton +7
Economist/YouGov 10/7 - 10/8 971 RV 4.2 48 43 Clinton +5
The Atlantic/PRRI 10/5 - 10/9 886 LV 3.9 49 38 Clinton +11
NBC News/SM 10/3 - 10/9 23329 LV 1.0 51 44 Clinton +7
Quinnipiac 10/5 - 10/6 1064 LV 3.0 50 44 Clinton +6
FOX News 10/3 - 10/6 896 LV 3.0 48 44 Clinton +4

All the same polls that existed before the 2nd debate.

You literally have to believe the 2nd presidential debate had NO effect on either candidate to believe those polls.

And it didn't. Most legitimate polls say Hillary won. The stalker Comrade Trump is losing in states that the GOP has won for decades. INCREDIBLE!

The focus groups(far far more accurate, obviously)say the exact opposite.

Progressivism is losing a lot more than the GOP.

I can't wait until minorities vote out gay marriage and you idiots finally gather the balls to call a non-white person a fascist.