Exit polls show all demographics shifted to GOP after 2012

[longknife]

Seems appropriate here ---

The Demographics that Sank the Democrats in the Midterm Elections


According to this, it's not just a matter of low voter turnout but who turned out. Makes a lot of sense. Perhaps the GOP pundits are finally waking up to discover just who will listen to them if they pose their case correctly.


Read more @ The Demographics That Sank The Democrats In The Midterm Elections Newgeography.com


And Aljazeera says it was frustration on the part of voters @ Why did Republicans sweep the midterm elections Al Jazeera America

 

[NoTeaPartyPleez]

You people in the Democrat party base should give yourselves a hand. You had a hand in TURING people off with all your hate, smears, lying fearmongering. bravo

SNIP:
posted at 10:41 am on November 6, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

• 54 SHARES

With most of the results of the midterm elections now counted and confirmed (with a few notable exceptions in Alaska and Virginia), we can now take a look at the exit polls and see what they actually mean. Before and during the election, plenty of speculation arose as to the composition of the turnout and which demographics may have contributed more to Republican success. The Washington Post looked at a comparison between 2012 and 2014 and discovered that all demographics shifted toward the GOP, especially Asian-American voters:
Based on preliminary exit poll data Tuesday night, we were able to say with some certainty how the 2014 electorate compared with 2012 and 2010. In short: It had more white, older voters — the sort of voters more likely to vote Republican.
As it turns out, the effect of that shift was multiplied by the fact that voters across the board were more likely to support Republicans than in past elections.
And when we say all, we mean all:

Support for Democrats was down slightly among black voters. In 2012, black voters backed the president by an 87-point margin; in 2010, black voters supported Democratic House candidates by 80 points, per exits. Last night, they backed Democrats by 79 points. Reduced support plus reduced turnout multiplies the effect for Republicans.
The electorate may have been slightly older and whiter than in 2012, but those changes aren’t as impactful as the overall shift to the GOP. Republicans picked up double-digit percentage gains in the 18-29YO demo and the Latino demo, and eight points among African-Americans. Asian-Americans moved significantly to the GOP over 2012, and even over 2010. Republicans even improved 10% among those earning under $50K, which should have Democrats very worried, and among women, independents, seniors, and so on.

ALL of it here:
Exit polls show all demographics shifted to GOP after 2012 Hot Air​

Another blog. Why do you idiots take this as legitimate, data-driven information? You know, fact? And for christ's sake the site is called HOT AIR. Bahahahahaa.... Trained seals just waiting for that bucket of chum.

 

[NoTeaPartyPleez]

I read a column today that asserted that this election proves that Democrats won the "culture wars;" Republican candidates shied away from socially liberal topics like gender equity, abortion, gay rights, and immigration. The instant they start dancing and celebrating, their true natures will be known.

I believe America will be shaking its collective head in disbelief when they see what they elected.

no, they are showing their disbelief over what they saw from what they elected with Obama and his comrades in arms party. sorry you can spin however you feel helps you deal

I refuse to believe, Stephanie, that the American people (as a whole) support homophobic Baptist evangelical gun-toting mean-spirited trolls.

That's what was elected to Congress, via the Republican Party.

who cares what you believe. You live in some liberal la la land and not reality so it's understandable you won't believe WHAT is a proven fact

I care what he believes, and I suspect he cares that I know you're one of the dumbest people regularly posting on this message board. You're not only dumb, your posts are iniquitous and thoughtless.

Spot on. I mean put a flashlight up to her ear and it will light up the wall on the other side.

 

[Soggy in NOLA]

I read a column today that asserted that this election proves that Democrats won the "culture wars;" Republican candidates shied away from socially liberal topics like gender equity, abortion, gay rights, and immigration. The instant they start dancing and celebrating, their true natures will be known.

I believe America will be shaking its collective head in disbelief when they see what they elected.

Actually, that's what happened... and why the Dems were given the boot and Obama in a sense, neutered.

 

[bendog]

You people in the Democrat party base should give yourselves a hand. You had a hand in TURING people off with all your hate, smears, lying fearmongering. bravo

SNIP:
posted at 10:41 am on November 6, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

• 54 SHARES

With most of the results of the midterm elections now counted and confirmed (with a few notable exceptions in Alaska and Virginia), we can now take a look at the exit polls and see what they actually mean. Before and during the election, plenty of speculation arose as to the composition of the turnout and which demographics may have contributed more to Republican success. The Washington Post looked at a comparison between 2012 and 2014 and discovered that all demographics shifted toward the GOP, especially Asian-American voters:
Based on preliminary exit poll data Tuesday night, we were able to say with some certainty how the 2014 electorate compared with 2012 and 2010. In short: It had more white, older voters — the sort of voters more likely to vote Republican.
As it turns out, the effect of that shift was multiplied by the fact that voters across the board were more likely to support Republicans than in past elections.
And when we say all, we mean all:

Support for Democrats was down slightly among black voters. In 2012, black voters backed the president by an 87-point margin; in 2010, black voters supported Democratic House candidates by 80 points, per exits. Last night, they backed Democrats by 79 points. Reduced support plus reduced turnout multiplies the effect for Republicans.
The electorate may have been slightly older and whiter than in 2012, but those changes aren’t as impactful as the overall shift to the GOP. Republicans picked up double-digit percentage gains in the 18-29YO demo and the Latino demo, and eight points among African-Americans. Asian-Americans moved significantly to the GOP over 2012, and even over 2010. Republicans even improved 10% among those earning under $50K, which should have Democrats very worried, and among women, independents, seniors, and so on.

ALL of it here:
Exit polls show all demographics shifted to GOP after 2012 Hot Air​

Steph, you MIGHT want to read your own link.

However. Those gains came in comparison to a presidential cycle, and the differences in the natures of those cycles can account for at least some of those differences. The Post compares the exit poll results to 2010 in more of an apples-to-apples analysis, and the results should worry Republicans. The GOP made slight gains in 2014 over 201o among blacks, 18-29YOs, the middle class, and a large jump among Asian-Americans. They lost ground among women, Latinos, independents, seniors and 30-44YOs, and both working class and the wealthy. None of these declines went into double digits, but aside from the income demos, they all exceed the margin of error in the polling.

 

[Soggy in NOLA]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

 

[bendog]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

maybe because the polls show most of us loathe the gop and dem parties equally, but we think the country's going the wrong way and our kids' lives will not be as affluent as ours.

 

[kiwiman127]

Oh yeah, I say SCREW you Democrats. We are DONE trying to work with you. now we the people are going to snub you nasty people and demand WHAT WE WANT DONE

SNIP:

Time to work with the Democrats and Obama? Not so fast
posted at 4:41 pm on November 5, 2014 by Jazz Shaw

• 110 SHARES

When we published the Election Aftermath thread this morning, you give us an earful. The overarching theme for many of you seemed to be that if there was one thing worse than the prospect of losing the election yesterday, it was winning the election yesterday. The biggest concern seems to involve waiting to see how long it will be before the newly elected GOP majority stabs conservatives in the back. Given the speeches being made by McConnell, Boehner and others since the polls closed, with repeating themes of “getting things done” those look like legitimate concerns. Yes, we want you to accomplish things, but not just anything.
Leon Wolf at Redstate has a similar message for the GOP along the same lines. Dear Republicans: No One Elected You to Work with Democrats


Let us review the bidding. Republicans ran this year on very little of substance. Their brand ID is still very underwater with the American public. There is no program right now that the American public is clamoring for the Republicans to undertake with one exception: they hate what President Obama is doing and they want Republicans to stop it. Exit poll after exit poll last night showed that the single most important thing in the minds of the voters this year was the looming shadow of death Obama cast on all his Democrat allies.

If voters really wanted people who would work closely with Obama and other Democrats to “get things done,” they would have just voted for more Democrats. After all, virtually every elected Democrat has “worked with” Obama (in the sense of doing exactly everything he asked) for the last six solid years. Say what you want about the information level of the average voter, but absolutely no one was confused into thinking that they were replacing a Democrat with a Republican in the hopes that the Republican would be more friendly to the Democrat agenda.

Matt Lewis has a slightly different, but still cautious message. Don’t get too cocky because there are tougher battles to come and they aren’t all that far off.

I

don’t want to be too much of a downer. Republicans ought to celebrate what happened Tuesday night. It’s important to celebrate your victories — but not rest on your laurels. There is a distinction that I think is very important.
The lesson here is not for Republicans to go squishy or cower or retreat ideologically. It is instead for them to do the hard work associated with winning arguments. They must be serious and smart and focused. They must govern as competently as they campaigned. And they must be cognizant of the fact that the demographic challenges that haunted them in 2008 and 2012 among minorities, college-educated urbanites, single women, etc., didn’t magically disappear Tuesday night.
They must modernize, not moderate. They must be confident, but not cocky. This is not an argument for surrender, but rather, an argument for prudence — for that is the only way that conservative ideas will be given a chance to flourish in 21st century America.

ALL of it here:
Time to work with the Democrats and Obama Not so fast Hot Air​

Red State is so out of it and so out of touch with a majority of Americans that it's unbelievable anyone takes Red State seriously.
Every single poll on the topic clearly has shown a huge majority of Americans want the two major parties to act like grownups and try to work together.
One of the major reasons the GOP did so well (besides running against Obama) was the fact that the GOP "establishment" went out and recruited moderate Republicans to run in 2014. As mentioned quite a few times, the GOP stayed away from wedge issues which there is a vast disagreement between the GOP ideology and public sentiment. The brand that the GOP ran on was closer to the center than the GOP has been in several years. Please note that the GOP was successful this election by moving away from the Tea Party. The Tea Party bombed in the primaries losing to more moderate candidates. Fact is, the moderate voting block is the largest voting block. If you want to be the controlling party in Washington, you had better recognize that fact. Smart folks in the GOP saw this and ran with it to victory. I know it's tough for some far right folks to admit to this but that's what did happened. RINOs are now welcomed into the GOP.
If people buy into Leon Wolf's "No One Elected You To Work With The Democrats," they aren't too bright because that is about as blind to reality as anyone can get. It's so Tea Party.

 

[Soggy in NOLA]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

maybe because the polls show most of us loathe the gop and dem parties equally, but we think the country's going the wrong way and our kids' lives will not be as affluent as ours.

Isn't this a repudiation of the liberal agenda then?

 

[Plasmaball]

So is it okay for liberals to threaten an armed overthrow of the government now, since they lost an election?

Just wondering if some of the righties here are consistent, that's all.

good point.....now people can start claiming tyranny and how we need to rise up.

 

[Plasmaball]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

maybe because the polls show most of us loathe the gop and dem parties equally, but we think the country's going the wrong way and our kids' lives will not be as affluent as ours.

Isn't this a repudiation of the liberal agenda then?

nope.

 

[Plasmaball]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

Bush and the right had the same idea in 06. so you love something that is the typical response.

 

[guno]

You people in the Democrat party base should give yourselves a hand. You had a hand in TURING people off with all your hate, smears, lying fearmongering. bravo

SNIP:
posted at 10:41 am on November 6, 2014 by Ed Morrissey

• 54 SHARES

With most of the results of the midterm elections now counted and confirmed (with a few notable exceptions in Alaska and Virginia), we can now take a look at the exit polls and see what they actually mean. Before and during the election, plenty of speculation arose as to the composition of the turnout and which demographics may have contributed more to Republican success. The Washington Post looked at a comparison between 2012 and 2014 and discovered that all demographics shifted toward the GOP, especially Asian-American voters:
Based on preliminary exit poll data Tuesday night, we were able to say with some certainty how the 2014 electorate compared with 2012 and 2010. In short: It had more white, older voters — the sort of voters more likely to vote Republican.
As it turns out, the effect of that shift was multiplied by the fact that voters across the board were more likely to support Republicans than in past elections.
And when we say all, we mean all:

Support for Democrats was down slightly among black voters. In 2012, black voters backed the president by an 87-point margin; in 2010, black voters supported Democratic House candidates by 80 points, per exits. Last night, they backed Democrats by 79 points. Reduced support plus reduced turnout multiplies the effect for Republicans.
The electorate may have been slightly older and whiter than in 2012, but those changes aren’t as impactful as the overall shift to the GOP. Republicans picked up double-digit percentage gains in the 18-29YO demo and the Latino demo, and eight points among African-Americans. Asian-Americans moved significantly to the GOP over 2012, and even over 2010. Republicans even improved 10% among those earning under $50K, which should have Democrats very worried, and among women, independents, seniors, and so on.

ALL of it here:
Exit polls show all demographics shifted to GOP after 2012 Hot Air​

You really are a dummy , you don't even know what demographic shift means, no surprise for an uneducated trailer dweller like you, who admittedly is on the government dole and gets government cheese

Most of of those who voted where old white christian and most of the races were in jesusland, come the national elections progressive whites, people of color and women will be out in full force, in addition California and NY and other progressive states will keep the white christian party as a regional yahoo party

 

[peach174]

The GOP increased its share of women and minorities. That is good. That will pull the leadership to their needs and away from the far right.

114th Congress to Feature Largest Class of Latinos in History
114th Congress to Feature Largest Class of Latinos in History -- WASHINGTON Nov. 5 2014 PRNewswire-USNewswire --

 

[bendog]

I love the argument that the GOP now needs to work with Obama... if that were what Americans wanted, why wouldn't they have just voted in more Dems?

maybe because the polls show most of us loathe the gop and dem parties equally, but we think the country's going the wrong way and our kids' lives will not be as affluent as ours.

Isn't this a repudiation of the liberal agenda then?

It's a repudiation of all. As for liberal agenda, I don't see repudiation'

Terrorism: 72 percent of voters express worry about a major terrorist attack in this country, slightly greater than it was in 2008 and slightly lower than its level in 2004, only a few years after the 9/11 terrorist attacks. We’ll check to see if that impacts vote choices. Separately, 58 percent approve of the U.S. military action against ISIS.
Ebola: Voters by 50-44 percent approve of the federal government’s handling of the Ebola virus in the United States. Sixty percent are following news about Ebola closely.
Obamacare: 47 percent say the federal health care law “went too far” – a minority, but we’ll see whether it impacts vote choices. (The rest either say it didn’t go far enough, 26 percent, or was about right, 22 percent.)
Gay Marriage: Voters split on gay marriage, 49-48 percent. It’s a result that shows how those who turn out in midterm elections can differ from the general population. Among Americans overall, a majority has consistently favored gay marriage for several years.
Marijuana: Voters nationally split closely on legalizing marijuana for personal use, 49-46 percent legal-illegal, similar to ABC/Post polls among the general population.
Abortion: Voters support legal abortion, 54-42 percent, a similar majority as in the general population.

National Exit Poll Reveals Major Voter Discontent in Midterm Elections - ABC News

 

[guno]

So in other words its everything we've come to expect from mid-term elections: Old christian white people voted while the younger generations did not. Nothing new to be expected, the fact that early voting and voter ID laws were installed simply further depressed those turnouts and increased trends. Though it again supports the notion that the Republican party is a ticking time bomb waiting to go off, the clock is running out on seniors (because the boomers are going to shift those numbers, it's generational not literal age).

 

[Meathead]

So in other words its everything we've come to expect from mid-term elections: Old christian white people voted while the younger generations did not. Nothing new to be expected, the fact that early voting and voter ID laws were installed simply further depressed those turnouts and increased trends. Though it again supports the notion that the Republican party is a ticking time bomb waiting to go off, the clock is running out on seniors (because the boomers are going to shift those numbers, it's generational not literal age).

Very convoluted stuff indeed. Your world is "old white guys" vs the rest of America. The simplicity of that mantra is in stark contrast to silly rationale. You seem to think everyone will vote on based on your prejudices instead rather than the interests of the country. That is unmitigated racism.

 

[bendog]

So in other words its everything we've come to expect from mid-term elections: Old christian white people voted while the younger generations did not. Nothing new to be expected, the fact that early voting and voter ID laws were installed simply further depressed those turnouts and increased trends. Though it again supports the notion that the Republican party is a ticking time bomb waiting to go off, the clock is running out on seniors (because the boomers are going to shift those numbers, it's generational not literal age).

I dunno. If quasi-Randian Paul can become a moderate candidate, or if the TPM can rid itself of the "no compromise" to vote for Jeb, or more likely Christie (who raised lot of money for the gop), and if the gop can get the immigration reform anchor off its neck, then I don't see the gloom.

 

[JakeStarkey]

The GOP will figure how to dodger the immigration anchor (to mix metaphors) if it wants to continue in the majority in 2017.

 

[bendog]

The GOP will figure how to dodger the immigration anchor (to mix metaphors) if it wants to continue in the majority in 2017.

I had to work in "anchor babies" somehow, Jake. That and "illegals" are such charming terms.