Current Mid-Term Polls.But,Who Is Taking The Polls?Democrats?Were They Accurate In 2016?

[LeeOnLido]

Are many of us just a bit wary/suspicious of any polls showing the Dem's ahead in generic polls? You have to wonder who is actually taking the polls and the usual "How Many Dem's VS Republicans" are being polled. Are the pollsters talking to 50% Dems and 30% Republicans?
We all remember how off the polls were in 2016 when Hillary was going to get over 400 electoral votes and Trump had about a 10% chance of winning.

 

[Preacher]

Are many of us just a bit wary/suspicious of any polls showing the Dem's ahead in generic polls? You have to wonder who is actually taking the polls and the usual "How Many Dem's VS Republicans" are being polled. Are the pollsters talking to 50% Dems and 30% Republicans?
We all remember how off the polls were in 2016 when Hillary was going to get over 400 electoral votes and Trump had about a 10% chance of winning.

Its easy to figure out for MOST polls...just dig into how many Republicans,Democrats and Independents they poll...I don't believe in most of the polls...most people's common sense works better than those polls do.

 

[LeeOnLido]

Are many of us just a bit wary/suspicious of any polls showing the Dem's ahead in generic polls? You have to wonder who is actually taking the polls and the usual "How Many Dem's VS Republicans" are being polled. Are the pollsters talking to 50% Dems and 30% Republicans?
We all remember how off the polls were in 2016 when Hillary was going to get over 400 electoral votes and Trump had about a 10% chance of winning.

Its easy to figure out for MOST polls...just dig into how many Republicans,Democrats and Independents they poll...I don't believe in most of the polls...most people's common sense works better than those polls do.

so therefore, Hillary Clinton is not 50 points ahead?

 

[LeeOnLido]

i am still laughing when ABC gave Hillary a 14 point lead in October

 

[busybee01]

Are many of us just a bit wary/suspicious of any polls showing the Dem's ahead in generic polls? You have to wonder who is actually taking the polls and the usual "How Many Dem's VS Republicans" are being polled. Are the pollsters talking to 50% Dems and 30% Republicans?
We all remember how off the polls were in 2016 when Hillary was going to get over 400 electoral votes and Trump had about a 10% chance of winning.
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The polls were right in 2016. Most of the major pollsters poll the popular national vote not state polls. They were very close. ABC/Washington Post and the IDB/TIPP poll missed Clinton's popular vote victory by 1 point.

Unlike 2016, we have results from special elections. In special elections, Democrats have done better than they did in 2016. Connor Lamb took a House seat that went 20 points for Trump in 2016. A Republican House seat in Arizona that Trump won by 21 was retained by only 5 points. In the Virginia Governor's race Democrats won by a larger number than polls indicated and no one expected a 15 seat loss in the House of Delegates. Republicans clearly are having issues with suburban voters which reluctantly went for Trump in 2016.