Climate Change is on Pace to Kill an Ice Age Remnant

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Climate Change is on Pace to Kill an Ice Age Remnant
By Brian Kahn


  • Published: March 21st, 2017
Humans are in the process of changing the planet in a way that hasn’t happened in 2.6 million years.

For eons, the Laurentide Ice Sheet has been a fixture of North America. At its peak, it covered the majority of Canada and sent icy tendrils down across the Midwest and Northeast, covering Chicago, New York and Toronto in a mile or more of ice. It helped carved mountains as it advanced, and it filled the Great Lakes as it receded at the end of the last Ice Age.

3_21_17_Brian_BarnesIceCapNASA_720_376_s_c1_c_c.jpg
The Barnes Ice Cap covers an area the size of Delaware.
Credit: NASA

About 2,000 years ago, the ice sheet remnants reached equilibrium on Baffin Island, Canada’s largest island, now dubbed the Barnes Ice Cap. But that equilibrium has been disrupted by human-driven climate change.

A new study shows that the last vestige of the once-mighty ice sheet faces near certain death, even if the world rapidly curtails its carbon pollution. The results indicate the Arctic has entered a state nearly unheard of since the Pliocene, an epoch when the Arctic was largely free of ice.

“This is the disappearance of a feature from the last glacial age, which would have probably survived without anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions,” said Adrien Gilbert, a glaciologist at Simon Fraser University in British Columbia, Canada and lead author of the new study.

The Barnes Ice Cap covers an area about the size of Delaware. After reaching a near steady state 2,000 years ago, the ice cap began shrinking in the late 1800s, with a marked increase in its decline since the 1990s. That coincides with the rapid rise in human carbon pollution, which has also driven a roughly 1.8°F increase in the global average temperature over that period.

But researchers can look back much deeper into the ice cap’s history using other clues. The new research, published on Monday in Geophysical Research Letters, looked at an array of amazingly named cosmogenic radionuclides in bedrock around the ice cap to tease out when the ground was free of ice.

Cosmogenic radionuclides are isotopes that form when exposed to cosmic rays. That can only happen when the ground isn’t covered by ice, giving researchers a way to see how rare the current shrinking ice cap is.

Their findings show that there were two periods where ice extent was roughly as tiny as it is now. Both periods came hundreds of thousands of years ago and were due to natural changes in the earth’s tilt and orbit that helped warm the planet.

3_21_17_Brian_BarnesIceCap_720_540_s_c1_c_c.jpg
The scenery at the coast just northeast of the Barnes Ice Cap, the last remnant of the Laurentide Ice Sheet.
Credit: Gifford Miller

Today’s rapid change is different because human carbon pollution is the main driver of the unrelenting warmth in the region, which is warming twice as fast as the rest of the world. The findings indicate that the Arctic likely hasn’t been this warm in 2.6 million years.

Looking into the future using climate models, sustained warming almost certainly spells doom for the ice sheet. On our current trajectory of carbon pollution, the research indicates that the ice cap is likely to disappear in the next 300 years. That’s a geological blink of an eye for an icy legacy that stretched across millions of years.

Even under a best-case scenario, with human carbon pollution peaking in 2020 and decreasing rapidly thereafter, the ice cap will still likely melt away in the next 500 years.

“Their study convincingly reveals that the Barnes Ice Cap will likely disappear within 300 years, taking with it the last remnants of the Laurentide Ice Sheet that once blanketed northern North America some 20,000 years ago,” Alex Gardner, an ice researcher at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said while lauding the state of the art ice modeling effort.

The findings underscore the wealth of alarming information coming out of the Arctic. Sea ice is set to hit a record-low maximum for the third year in a row, warm air has repeatedly cranked up the thermostat this winter and forests are burning at an unprecedented pace.

The fate of the Barnes Ice Cap is similar to other land ice across the region, including the monstrous Greenland ice sheet. Their melt will help fuel sea level rise around the globe.

“If it was just the Barnes Ice Cap that melted, there would be little need for coastal communities to worry,” Gardner said. “Unfortunately the Barnes Ice Cap will not respond in isolation. As the atmosphere and oceans warm in the coming decades, ice sheets and glaciers will retreat globally resulting in massive transfers of ice into the oceans, raising sea levels by multiple feet by 2100.”

This is kind of sad :( Poor ice sheet.
 
ice melts.. big whoop!

the next ice-age will come soon enough and replace it..

Amazing worrying about a patch of ice...we are in an interglacial period...by definition, ice is suppose to be melting...and so long as it is melting, we can reasonably assume that another killer ice age is not bearing down upon us....it is when the ice stops melting and begins accumulating worldwide that we had better start worrying.
 
Climate Change is on Pace to Kill an Ice Age Remnant
By Brian Kahn


  • Published: March 21st, 2017
Humans are in the process of changing the planet in a way that hasn’t happened in 2.6 million years.

For eons, the Laurentide Ice Sheet has been a fixture of North America. At its peak, it covered the majority of Canada and sent icy tendrils down across the Midwest and Northeast, covering Chicago, New York and Toronto in a mile or more of ice. It helped carved mountains as it advanced, and it filled the Great Lakes as it receded at the end of the last Ice Age.

3_21_17_Brian_BarnesIceCapNASA_720_376_s_c1_c_c.jpg
The Barnes Ice Cap covers an area the size of Delaware.
Credit: NASA

About 2,000 years ago, the ice sheet remnants reached equilibrium on Baffin Island, Canada’s largest island, now dubbed the Barnes Ice Cap. But that equilibrium has been disrupted by human-driven climate change.

A new study shows that the last vestige of the once-mighty ice sheet faces near certain death, even if the world rapidly curtails its carbon pollution. The results indicate the Arctic has entered a state nearly unheard of since the Pliocene, an epoch when the Arctic was largely free of ice.

“This is the disappearance of a feature from the last glacial age, which would have probably survived without anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions,” said Adrien Gilbert, a glaciologist at Simon Fraser University in British Columbia, Canada and lead author of the new study.

The Barnes Ice Cap covers an area about the size of Delaware. After reaching a near steady state 2,000 years ago, the ice cap began shrinking in the late 1800s, with a marked increase in its decline since the 1990s. That coincides with the rapid rise in human carbon pollution, which has also driven a roughly 1.8°F increase in the global average temperature over that period.

But researchers can look back much deeper into the ice cap’s history using other clues. The new research, published on Monday in Geophysical Research Letters, looked at an array of amazingly named cosmogenic radionuclides in bedrock around the ice cap to tease out when the ground was free of ice.

Cosmogenic radionuclides are isotopes that form when exposed to cosmic rays. That can only happen when the ground isn’t covered by ice, giving researchers a way to see how rare the current shrinking ice cap is.

Their findings show that there were two periods where ice extent was roughly as tiny as it is now. Both periods came hundreds of thousands of years ago and were due to natural changes in the earth’s tilt and orbit that helped warm the planet.

3_21_17_Brian_BarnesIceCap_720_540_s_c1_c_c.jpg
The scenery at the coast just northeast of the Barnes Ice Cap, the last remnant of the Laurentide Ice Sheet.
Credit: Gifford Miller

Today’s rapid change is different because human carbon pollution is the main driver of the unrelenting warmth in the region, which is warming twice as fast as the rest of the world. The findings indicate that the Arctic likely hasn’t been this warm in 2.6 million years.

Looking into the future using climate models, sustained warming almost certainly spells doom for the ice sheet. On our current trajectory of carbon pollution, the research indicates that the ice cap is likely to disappear in the next 300 years. That’s a geological blink of an eye for an icy legacy that stretched across millions of years.

Even under a best-case scenario, with human carbon pollution peaking in 2020 and decreasing rapidly thereafter, the ice cap will still likely melt away in the next 500 years.

“Their study convincingly reveals that the Barnes Ice Cap will likely disappear within 300 years, taking with it the last remnants of the Laurentide Ice Sheet that once blanketed northern North America some 20,000 years ago,” Alex Gardner, an ice researcher at the NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, said while lauding the state of the art ice modeling effort.

The findings underscore the wealth of alarming information coming out of the Arctic. Sea ice is set to hit a record-low maximum for the third year in a row, warm air has repeatedly cranked up the thermostat this winter and forests are burning at an unprecedented pace.

The fate of the Barnes Ice Cap is similar to other land ice across the region, including the monstrous Greenland ice sheet. Their melt will help fuel sea level rise around the globe.

“If it was just the Barnes Ice Cap that melted, there would be little need for coastal communities to worry,” Gardner said. “Unfortunately the Barnes Ice Cap will not respond in isolation. As the atmosphere and oceans warm in the coming decades, ice sheets and glaciers will retreat globally resulting in massive transfers of ice into the oceans, raising sea levels by multiple feet by 2100.”

This is kind of sad :( Poor ice sheet.
But we do need the rain.

Ice melts -> becomes sea water -> evaporated by the sun -> becomes rain.
 
Any climate change can destroy humanity too, but I don't think our end will be like this because probably we may destroy humanity by senseless ways. As you know, our current population is 7.5 billion and we're expecting to 9.5 billion people in the 2050!..

There is an article explains its implications:
Population Increase and Its Implications
 
Any climate change can destroy humanity too, but I don't think our end will be like this because probably we may destroy humanity by senseless ways. As you know, our current population is 7.5 billion and we're expecting to 9.5 billion people in the 2050!..

There is an article explains its implications:
Population Increase and Its Implications

That does not take into account the rapidly decreasing numbers of new human beings joining the ranks of western society...it assumes a steady, or increasing population growth in the first world...but it isn't happening and hasn't been for some time now.
 
Oh lordy. The darkies are going to outbreed us? Why am I not surprised you'd hold such a position.

Based on resource consumption, homo sapiens will survive far more increase in the numbers of the poor than in the numbers of the gluttonous west.
 
Oh lordy. The darkies are going to outbreed us? Why am I not surprised you'd hold such a position.

What? the position that birth rates in the first world are decreasing?...I hold that position because it is true...and unlike you, I don't place a racial slant on it. Little surprise that a liberal (natural racist) would have to show his racist leanings rather than simply look at the observable, and quantifiable fact. Figures though...you don't have the first inkling of what constitutes observable, quantifiable evidence and what constitutes opinion.. You just demonstrated it...I make a stament ofobserved, quantified fact and you reply with a racist opinion.

Warning Bell for Developed Countries: Declining Birth Rates

Economists fear low birth rates in developed world will choke growth

Declining birth rate in Developed Countries: A radical policy re-think is required
 
Your statement indicated that we should be concerned about it. There's the racism fool.
 
Oh lordy. The darkies are going to outbreed us? Why am I not surprised you'd hold such a position.

Based on resource consumption, homo sapiens will survive far more increase in the numbers of the poor than in the numbers of the gluttonous west.


Gluttonous West? have you ever seen an Ethiopean at a buffet table?
 
Something cool.

Ice worms.

If someone had just told me ice worms exist, I would have said "You're shittin' me.". Turns out they're real. About 1.5 cm long, they live in glaciers in northwestern North America, eating the algae that grows on the ice surface in summer.

How does it tie in with the thread? They're ice age remnants too, sort of. They used to be a continuous population, but as continental ice sheet retreated, the populations on each glacier have been separated. That will make for an interesting study in evolution. They're also studied for the way they don't freeze down at -5C.

North Cascades Glacier Ice Worm research
 
Can you use them on a hook to catch the ice fish?

I think it's important here to point out that the reason this is noteworthy is not whatever intrinsic value these various ice age remnants might possess, but because this is a de facto illustration of the unprecedentedness of the current situation.
 

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