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A multi-front war now threatens Israel after fire from Lebanon, Syria - analysis
Rocket fire from Lebanon and Syria, as well as threats from Iraq and Yemen joining the Hamas war on Israel.
11 Oct 2023 ~~ By Seth J. FrantzmanThe IDF said several launches from Syria into Israeli territory were identified.
The IDF said that “part of the launches crossed into Israeli territory and presumably fell in an open area.” Israel responded with artillery fire.
Meanwhile, near Gaza, IDF soldiers killed two terrorists in the area of Kibbutz Re'im and killed another two terrorists in the area of Kibbutz Mefalsim. In Lebanon, terrorists fired an anti-tank missile toward a military vehicle near Avivim. The conflict that Israel has prepared for appears to be emerging.
It is increasingly clear that a large number of incidents are coming together. This includes the horrendous October 7 invasion by Hamas that led to 29 breaches in the fence around Gaza and saw terrorists attack 20 communities. The full scale of the attack is still being understood but it is known that 1,000 people were murdered and many communities destroyed. Thousands were injured. Israel has retaken the border area and called up 300,000 people.
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In the last years, it appears the Iran axis has also operationalized other units in Syria and Lebanon. Hamas, for instance, has sent its leadership to Lebanon to coordinate. This is part of Iran’s effort to “unify” various fronts against Israel.
Iran also operationalizes small terror groups in Syria that it uses as cut-outs for its larger threats. It prefers to use small groups so Iran has plausible deniability for these efforts. In some ways, Iran’s policy looked in the past like a lot of little attacks, but this “thousand paper cuts” strategy has now bloomed.
Commentary:
Yom Kippur, Part Deux.
Since Sunday Israel been deploying troop and equipment to these borders. A social media posters posted Monday that “it feels like the storm is about to break”.
Netanyahu has said their response would change things forever in the Middle East.
Hezbollah has been depleted from fighting the Syrian Civil War, while Assad doesn’t need more problems. He’s not really in complete control of his country.
Israel has already shut the power and nothing is going in or out of Gaza.
The shelling and bombing is taking a heavy toll on the Palestinians and rightfully so.
An old fashioned siege for a month or so should make them ask for terms and surrender. Ship then all to Iran and prosecute the terrorists especially their upper echelon.
Doing so frees up the Gaza strip and one less problem.