C_Clayton_Jones
Diamond Member
As we get closer to the wire...here is my call
With swing states
Obama: NH,Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada
Romney: North Carolina, Florida
Final Obama 303
Romney 235
This would be consistent with the FiveThirtyEight projection, indicating the president winning re-election with 290.8 EC votes.
Oct. 24: In Polls, Romneys Momentum Seems to Have Stopped
[With regard to] Wednesdays national tracking polls Mr. Romney gained ground in just one of the polls, an online poll conducted for Reuters by the polling organization Ipsos. He lost ground in five others, with President Obama improving his standing instead in those surveys. On average, Mr. Obama gained about one point between the eight polls.
Our now-cast also finds a slightly favorable trend for Mr. Obama over the course of the past 10 days or so. Mr. Romneys position peaked in the now-cast on Friday, Oct. 12, at which point it estimated a virtual tie in the popular vote (Mr. Obama was the projected winner by 0.3 percentage points). As of Wednesday, however, Mr. Obama was 1.4 percentage points ahead in the now-cast, meaning that he may have regained about 1 percentage point of the 4 points or so that he lost after Denver. Mr. Obamas chances of winning the Electoral College were up in the FiveThirtyEight forecast to 71 percent on Wednesday from 68.1 percent on Tuesday.
Oct. 24: In Polls, Romney's Momentum Seems to Have Stopped - NYTimes.com