Will Russia Collapse in 2025?
Paul Craig Roberts
Is Putinās Government Trying to Be a 19th century liberal government in the brutal evil world of the 21st century?
I raise this question not only because Putin has been fighting in his gentlemanly way a war on Russian territory in Ukraine for six months longer without yet winning than it took Stalinās Red Army to defeat the formidable German Wehrmacht in World War II, and still Putin has not cleared Ukrainian troops from the small Donbas area or from the Ukrainian invasion of Russian Kursk. Does anyone remember when Putin declared that Russia would never again fight a war on its own territory? Putin has been fighting a war on Russiaās own territory for longer than the Soviet offensive took to drive the German invaders out of Russia. Moreover, Putin and Lavrov seem to be relying on Trump, not the Russian military, to bring the conflict in Ukraine to an end by agreeing to a mutual security treaty.
None of Putinās declarations have had any effect on Washingtonās determination to further breakup Russia, a constraint on American hegemony. Neither have any of the super weapons that Putin has waved in the face of the West. Putinās reliance on useless āagreements,ā such as the Minsk Agreement and the Astana Agreement that sunk Syria, together with Putinās clamps on the Russian military in Donbas, has convinced Washington that Putin will not fight. Washington finds it extraordinary that it took Putin eight years after Washingtonās coup in Kiev, which placed a Washington Puppet in charge of Ukraine, to come to grips with the fact that he had a problem, deceived as he was by his useless Minsk Agreement.
After Putinās intervention in Syria that prevented US President Obamaās invasion of Syria,
Putinās only proactive move, Putin refused to allow Syria to use Russian air defense systems to prevent Israeli attacks on Syria and on Iranian officials. During the entire time of the Russian Air Forceās domination of Syrian air space, Putin permitted Israel and Washington to attack Syrian territory at will. One wonders why Putin ever bothered to intervene in Syria. The can got kicked down the road for awhile, but the final result was that Putin ran from the Israeli/Washington invasion and placed the Syria he had defended in the hands of Washington and Israel. Putin simply wrote off 8 or more years of the Russian Air Force fighting in the defense of a Syrian government elected by Syrians.
Now the road is open for Israel to occupy Lebanon. No more embarrassing defeats of the vaunted Israeli Army at the hands of the Hezbollah militia devoid of an air force or heavy weapons. Twice the Israeli Army, good only for killing women and children, ran for its life from Hezbollah. But now thanks to Putin, Syria is no more, and there is no way to resupply Hezbollah. Hezbollah sat on its butt and did nothing while Israel assassinated all of its leaders and commanders and cut off its resupply routes. Inaction always leads to defeat, and Putinās inaction is leading to Russiaās defeat. In the final days, to avoid this Russian defeat will the button be pushed?
Iran is now also isolated and wonders what trust it can put in Putin, who is so averse to fighting. The Chinese and the BRICS now face the same question. Can Russia be counted on in a showdown?
My critical words do not comprise even a beginning of Putinās long list of strategic mistakes. I have written about some of them on this website. But many I have not have had a chance to address.
Consider this one for example. Russia is a federation, a weak political structure as it amounts to a tower of babel, and it has Muslim provinces. Putinās policies in the Middle East have favored Israel over Muslims. Recently, perhaps in response to Israelās genocide of Palestine, Russian Muslims attacked Jews in a Muslim province of the Russian Federation. Why there were Jews there is incomprehensible. Putinās government immediately arrested the Russian Muslims and committed Russiaās Muslim citizens to 7 and 8 years in prison for assaulting Jews. But Putin has done nothing about Israelās murderous assaults on Palestine and Lebanon and Syria.
So why is Putin on Israelās side and not on the side of the Russian Federationās own Muslim citizens? The Putin governmentās persecution of its own citizens for their expressed opposition to Israelās murderous treatment of Muslims raises the question whether Putin is really a nationalist leader or just another Israeli puppet like Washington. Even Trumpās government is overwhelmingly Zionist.
Russiaās Muslim province just gave the green light to polygamy. This is inconsistent with Russian law. Here we have a new breakage in the Russian Federation, a double breakage considering the Russian government taking the side of Israel over the Russian Muslim population. Little doubt the Muslim leaders will have to reverse the decision. What an extraordinary gift Putin has handed to Washingtonās neoconservatives to exploit. Here we have Putin helping Washingtonās breakup of the Russian Federation.
Letās see. During the years Putin has been in office, Washington has established missile bases on Russiaās borders in Poland, Romania, and Ukraine. Ukraine, formerly a Russia friendly country, has become Washingtonās ally in a war against Russia, still not acknowledged by the Russian Foreign Ministry, which seems unable to acknowledge any reality.
Putin the Unready was not ready for the US/Georgian invasion of South Ossetia, nor for Washingtonās Maidan Coup in Ukraine, nor for the necessary Russian intervention in Donbas, nor for the defense of Syria, host of Russiaās naval and air bases for the projection of Russian power, nor for Armenia, nor for Washingtonās ongoing color revolution in Georgia. Putin is never ready for anything but a worthless paper agreement with his enemies.
Is Putin Capable of Strategic Thinking? |
Putin has guaranteed that Washingtonās provocations of the Russian government will continue until Putin has only two choices: surrender or war. Putin is capable of surrendering, but will the Russian General Staff take the decision out of his hands? The war will be due not only to Washingtonās aggressions but also to Putinās lack of response and strategic ability.
I have wondered if the shakeup of the Russian generals with departures and indictments are actually moves against corruption as announced or moves against Russian patriots who think they are watching Putinās sell out of Russia to Washington, just as the CIA and US Joint Chiefs of Staff saw Americaās leader, US President John F. Kennedy, selling out America to the Soviet Union.
Putinās inability to put his foot down, except verbally, is leading the world into nuclear war. Putinās new weapon lets him pretend the war wonāt be nuclear, but it will be, because no one but Putin has the new super weapon. Putin and Lavrovās warnings about war are always undercut by their own denials. Consequently, Russian warnings carry zero weight.
We cannot look to Trump for peace. Trump has appointed mainly a Zionist government. Having lost Syria, Russia is on the defensive. Part of making America great again is the restoration of Washingtonās hegemony, which Putin challenged until he collapsed. What this means is that it is unrealistic to expect Trump to agree to a Ukrainian settlement on Putinās announced terms.
If Trump agrees to Putinās reasonable terms, the presstitute media will discredit Trump with his own supporters by declaring him a Putin agent who settled Putinās aggression on Putinās terms. Trump will become the President āwho lost Ukraine.ā
It remains to be seen how much longer the Russian General Staff will tolerate Putinās ineptitude as a war leader.
www.paulcraigroberts.org
empire....
hepatitis would be perfect in the trenches though. 
