We're used to this from liberals. You libs have been critical of Afghanistan and Iraq from the very beginning.
Let me begin by giving you some personal history. I was a soldier in the 82nd Airborne who was in Desert Shield/Storm. We lost some friends in Iraq in the Gulf War One. Guys I knew in our sister unit of the 37th Engineers.
I read some history after the war, and found how the Gulf States were formed. I read more and when we invaded Afghanistan I was both disappointed, and satisfied. We were going after the baddies. Ok, good. We were going into Afghanistan, not so good.
Curious note. The original writings for Sherlock Holmes had Doctor Watson home from the war in Afghanistan. Afghanistan was invaded by pretty much everyone through history, and nobody stayed. Not the Persians, the British, the Russians, and now us. Everyone who had read history knew that Afghanistan was the genesis of the old warning. Do not get involved in a land war in Asia. It would swallow your armies whole.
Doom has followed every invasion of Afghanistan. People who listened, noticed something. Something from history. We were winning the battles, but there were always more battles. Like when Iraq was proclaiming victory at various towns, and each town they announced a victory at, was closer to Baghdad than the last victory. Anyone with a map could see that they were lying. We even laughingly called the Public Information guy Baghdad Bob if you remember.
Well the truth is that we are stuck in Afghanistan. The warnings you deride were accurate. And what is worse, the same Government who was telling you and me that we were winning, knew all along it was not going that way.
Washington Post Afghanistan Story: U.S. Government Lies about War, Public Won’t Hold Liars Accountable | National Review
National Review is a Conservative source. So we know that the Bush Admin, Obama Admin, and now the Trump Administration are all recycling the same lies. We’re totally winning. We have been totally winning for a generation now. How much longer can we afford to continue totally winning?
The one Politician who told the truth, was McCain during the 2008 campaign. He said that we would remain in Afghanistan for a hundred years if that is what it took. Everyone derided him as old and foolish. Out of touch. When Obama had a plan to get us out of Afghanistan. The plan never really took shape, and Obama left office with the same old story going on as when he entered office.
So we have covered Afghanistan. I was one of those worried about Iraq. I knew that the Ba’ath Party kept iron control, my studies after the war I mentioned above. I knew that most of the population was the same religious sect as Iran, and Iran would have much greater influence. I also had read history, and knew that the British had broken the region up into smaller countries when they pulled out of the Colonial efforts largely to create regional tensions that would hopefully prevent another Empire from springing up. They had just destroyed the Ottoman Empire, and the region has been home to many empires over the centuries of recorded history.
So I knew that the British Fears of a large regional empire was well founded, and not without historical precedent. Presidents that warn you of such things should not be ignored, and should be considered carefully before taking action.
So the threat of Iran taking over Iraq, or the two joining into one larger and more powerful, and much more dangerous nation is a threat that still faces us. It is half the reason we still have troops there.
That is the true result of the wars to date. We are not fighting to win. There is no way we can. We are fighting not to lose. Defeat is intolerable, and so we pay the price, and apparently will pay any price to avoid that outcome. It is why Obama, who campaigned in 2008 to get out of Iraq and Afghanistan left office eight years later, with troops still maintaining the mission Obama derided. Defeat has the almost certain outcome of being far more expensive than the continuing war. Yes, a Unified Iran/Iraq would be that bad.
So the warnings you deride, were accurate. We know from the news now, that those warnings were known, but the Government had to “do something” and this seemed like the best bet. Imagine that for a moment. Understanding that the wars you are starting could well be consuming the grandchildren of the soldiers you are sending to fight today, long after you are dead and gone. Exit strategy? We didn’t even have a strategy for victory, much less how to get the hell out.
We have a new guy at work. He just got out of the Army. His Father went and fought when the war was just starting, Gulf War II that is. His Grandfather was in my war, Gulf War One. Three generations of people fighting the same areas, and for all intents and purposes the same war.
GHW Bush was at least smart enough to know that removing the Ba’ath party from power, would result in long term regional instability, and they avoided that outcome.
Sadly, nobody has any ideas how to get out short of abject defeat and Iran/Iraq becoming one very dangerous nation. And if that happens, with or without the Bomb in Tehran’s hands, the odds are Nukes fly eventually to smack them back into the 7th Century, and it will be considered a crime against humanity by history before the decade is out.
You shouldn’t deride those who knew history enough to know we were on a dangerous path and warned about it. The sad truth is those warnings were right, and even sadder, nobody had a better idea. We were doomed by our desire for vengeance. I am included in that sad desire at the time.