In regard to deficit, the CBO says 9.5 trillion in deficits over the 10 years. That’s an average deficit of 950 billion, a decrease of 400 billion from the 2010 deficit. Both sides have promised further reductions in the deficit. Both sides have called for a cuts in corporate taxes, which should be a help. So no, I don’t think financial disaster is ahead of us.ItÂ’s been a long time since IÂ’ve seen a post with so many things that are just not true. First of all the Fed cannot as you say prop up those numbers. The government and the Fed can provide monetary and fiscal stimulus but economic indicators such as retail sales, the stock market, and unemployment depend on a response from consumers and businesses. If the economy does not respond, those indicators are not going to improve. Unemployment is 8.9% down from itÂ’s high of 10.1% 18 months ago. All of the unemployment indicators, U1-U6 are down. Most economists are not predicting a double dip. On the contrary, most economist are predicting a continued slow recovery through 2011 and 2012.All those numbers have been artificially propped up by the fed's continuing to print money. It simply can't be sustained. And again, we can't have a true recovery with double digit unemployment...and those numbers are not changing. Also, the jump in oil prices will only serve to undo any positive signs. States are nearing bankruptcy and the only solution is layoffs. That will increase the unemployment numbers.
It is all smoke and mirrors until those numbers begin to decline and many economist are predicting a double dip recession. You have to agree that a 14+ trillion deficit only helps to move things in the wrong direction and neither side have put forth any meaningful cuts to the spending. No one wants to touch the big three Medicare, Medicaid and SS. Just going after the waste in all of those would be a big step in reducing the deficit.
Deficit spending is a long-term problem in this country as it is in most of the world and will continue to be. It is has little impact on the current recovery but threatens long-term growth of the economy.
Both parties want to do something about entitlement programs, but they canÂ’t because these programs either directly or indirectly effect about half the population.
Never stated the Fed propped up the numbers, I stated that the cause was printing money and that was what was propping up the economy. The govt is and has been printing money in order to "save us", read up in this link as you stated untruths from me The Problem With the Federal Reserve's Money-Printing - WSJ.com
You can choose to ignore that fact but eventually inflation will come into play. As far as unemployment goes, The Labor Department's statistics don't include the underemployed and those who have stopped looking for work. The Bureau of Labor statistics shows the actual number at 16.6%. Real unemployment rate higher than federal figures - MSN Money - New Investor Center
You can also choose to ignore the deficit and state that it does not affect the current economic situation but at some point, probably in the mid 30's for my kids ( they are both early 20's), they will bear the burden of the run away spending from the past 2 administrations. Please explain how a 14 trillion and counting deficit does not affect our economy...this should be fun
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The fact that both parties feel like they can't touch entitlement spending is irrelevant as it is one if the 3 major contributing factors in reducing the deficit. I realize the govt has created a "cradle to grave nanny state" but without making changes, this country's economic system will eventually fail. You may not care since it might not happen in the immediate future, I do.
As far as inflation goes, we've seen it over 10% and have come back just fine. I can remember when inflation of less than 5% was considered healthy. Inflation is now 2.11% including the run up in food and gas prices. Will we have inflation? You can count on it, but that doesn't mean financial disaster.
Whenever you quote U6, you are not quoting actual unemployment. You including people that are employed part time and people that are discourage and not looking for a job. U6 is always higher than U3, the standard reported unemployment rate. A few years ago when Bush was in office, Republicans raved about the low 4.6% unemployment and Democrats sited U6, "the real unemployment rate" as 9%.