What the bond market is saying about a trump win.

[1srelluc]

Nope, bonds went up due to the effect of a "too soon" .50 basis point cut by the fed combined with money printing.

Had they cut .25 you would not be seeing this bond spike.

 

[Concerned American]

In the case that Donald Trump defeats Kamala Harris, some see a scenario in which rising fiscal deficits, along with a potential global trade war, could mean higher inflation and surging bond yields.

There are two pertinent words in there that make this statement as misleading as most democrat (CNBC) news stories. The democrats use them all the time. Maybe this will enlighten you to their BS. I've highlighted them above.
Some people believe that if cats started barking, they could be dogs.

 

[berg80]

Beats the hell out of a two shooting wars. Are you suggesting that we should roll over for our enemies' illegal trade policies?

That's a chart of what concern over inflation re-igniting looks like.

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

 

[Rawley]

For the unaware, the bond market, in terms of dollars invested, is many times larger than the stock market. Long duration bond yields had been dropping for quite a while in response to the Fed getting inflation under control. More recently, bond yields have been climbing again over concern of a trump election victory. Because bond market players realize his idiotic tariff plan is inflationary.

So you believe the bond market is predicting a Trump win. Quite the admission there Berg.

 

[berg80]

Interesting term...
Bond Vigilante....

Tell me more....si vous plait.

Jo

Info is at your disposal by Googling the term.

 

[Marener]

Nope, bonds went up due to the effect of a "too soon" .50 basis point cut by the fed combined with money printing.

Had they cut .25 you would not be seeing this bond spike.

Uh, what? Bonds decrease when the feds lower rates.

 

[berg80]

So you believe the bond market is predicting a Trump win. Quite the admission there Berg.

It appears so. I've always maintained it is a possibility.

 

[Natural Citizen]

Inflation, properly defined, is the expansion of the supply of currency and credit.

Consequences of inflation, and there are many, are not the cause of inflation.

Higher tariffs are neither a consequence or a cause of inflation.

Go play with your crayons...

 

[Natural Citizen]

And the market is a complete distortion....

 

[Concerned American]

That's a chart of what concern over inflation re-igniting looks like.

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

So where was your concern when the Biden/Harris policies unleashed this rampant inflation that you continue to support? Your "The sky will fall if Trump is elected." gaslighting isn't going to fly with thinking Americans.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

Not only will it increase consumer prices, it will increase the annual deficit which also causes bond yields to go higher.

If only Biden hadn't just added $8 trillion in new debt.

 

[Lesh]

"Getting inflation under control" - LOL, you're a ******* moron.

2.1% is under control

 

[berg80]

So where was your concern when the Biden/Harris policies unleashed this rampant inflation that you continue to support? Your "The sky will fall if Trump is elected." gaslighting isn't going to fly with thinking Americans.

As I thought, bond yields are up across the board this morning in response to trump's re-election. Cuz the market is anticipating the King of Debt is going to re-ignite inflation with his boneheaded tariff plan while causing the annual budget deficit to go even higher.

Somewhere in Moscow Putin has a satisfied grin on his face.

 

[berg80]

Inflation, properly defined, is the expansion of the supply of currency and credit.

Consequences of inflation, and there are many, are not the cause of inflation.

Higher tariffs are neither a consequence or a cause of inflation.

Go play with your crayons...

You know nothing.

Treasury yields rose in overnight trading as former President Donald Trump racked up Electoral College wins.

The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 15 basis points to trade at 4.435%, hitting its highest level since July 2 as investors bet a Trump presidency would increase economic growth, along with fiscal spending.

The yield on the 2-year Treasury was up by 8 basis points at 4.278%, reaching its highest level since July 31. One basis point is equivalent to 0.01%. Yields and prices have an inverted relationship.

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/05/us-treasury-yields-as-traders-await-results-of-presidential-race.html

 

[Lesh]

So where was your concern when the Biden/Harris policies unleashed this rampant inflation that you continue to support? Your "The sky will fall if Trump is elected." gaslighting isn't going to fly with thinking Americans.

This “rampant inflation” is currently 2.1%

Very shortly (six months) Trumpers will be telling us how good the inflation numbers (again 2.1or lower -they have been dropping steadily) are

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

As I thought, bond yields are up across the board this morning in response to trump's re-election. Cuz the market is anticipating the King of Debt is going to re-ignite inflation with his boneheaded tariff plan while causing the annual budget deficit to go even higher.

Somewhere in Moscow Putin has a satisfied grin on his face.

Biden's $8 trillion (and counting) addition to the debt and Obama's $10 trillion
in debt can now be safely ignored.

Yeah, Putin's happy that your historic chucklehead lost.

She'd have been a real foreign policy hawk.

 

[Toddsterpatriot]

The 10-year Treasury yield jumped 15 basis points to trade at 4.435%, hitting its highest level since July 2 as investors bet a Trump presidency would increase economic growth, along with fiscal spending.

Indeed.

 

[Concerned American]

As I thought, bond yields are up across the board this morning in response to trump's re-election. Cuz the market is anticipating the King of Debt is going to re-ignite inflation with his boneheaded tariff plan while causing the annual budget deficit to go even higher.

Somewhere in Moscow Putin has a satisfied grin on his face.

Tissue? I told you that you were gonna be mad on Nov. 6, bro.

 

[berg80]

Biden's $8 trillion (and counting) addition to the debt and Obama's $10 trillion
in debt can now be safely ignored.

Yeah, Putin's happy that your historic chucklehead lost.

She'd have been a real foreign policy hawk.

https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y

Any questions?

 

[berg80]

Tissue? I told you that you were gonna be mad on Nov. 6, bro.

I'm not mad, oddly enough. But I am fearful of what a completely unchecked trump will do to the country given the damage he's already done. Also, I've come to grips with the notion the country will never again be like the prosperous, tolerant, optimistic one I grew up in. Certainly not in my lifetime (I'm 68). The very dark, petulant, vengeful, angry cycle we have entered in to will take time to get over.