obama can't beat Gingrich in a debate. That's just understood. Either he won't debate at all or he'll try to get more favorable rules or a far left moderator.
For the 50th time, the 3 debates are set for this October. If Gingrich wins, the debates are meaningless. He'll solidify his base but nothing else.
Works on a lot of assumptions.
What if Newt becomes the nominee and the economy gets worse? You think Obama can get re-elected with 10% unemployment? What about 15%?
What if we find out that there's a lot more to Fast and Furious than even the RW Blogs suspect?
American politics are funky. A lot of crazy shit can happen. If you told me in October 2007, that the race in 2008 was going to be between Obama and McCain, I would have looked at you like you had lost your mind. McCain had been declared dead, and Obama was running third behind Hillary and Edwards.