OH woe... what will we do???
Then the discover of petroleum and in the Middle East ARAB OIL.. everything great till
the gas lines.. "OH woe... what will we do???
Not an issue folks... Natural gas has DROPPED nearly 75% in cost and supply is almost
infinite!
Now more oil patch discoveries are finding oil.
AND ever hear of Abiotic oil ?
There is an alternative theory about the formation of oil and gas deposits that could change estimates of potential future oil reserves. According to this theory, oil is not a fossil fuel at all, but was formed deep in the Earth's crust .
The population growth associated with petroleum is unsustainable. Nations require 3% growth to provide for population growth and avoid recessions. Problem is: land and resources are finite.
On the theory of endless petroleum, Texas would still be Saudi Arabia.
3% growth on the 1940 economy was easy given how much of the globe was still under-developed, but the exponential rate of 3% growth - once your economy is well into the trillions and all the resource rich parts of the developing world have been tapped - leads to real limits,e.g., eventually the demand for oil outstrips the supply and energy costs explode and the economy stagnates.
The Right thinks that technology and God will save us, but we are already seeing the effects of the $4 gallon. At a certain point the earth says no. It lacks the crop land, fresh water and energy to sustain exponential growth. And that's when you see economic crises. The Right has been taught to view environmental limits the way the Left has been taught to view terrorism, with paranoia over secret agendas. The Right thinks that scare stories about environmental doom are used by the Left to give government more control over the economy and industrial behavior. The Left thinks Terrorism is overblown so that the Right can both grow the Pentagon, and make elections about national security, not the economy (which has been tanking since we started shipping manufacturing jobs to China).
For these reasons not even the math of why 3% growth is unsustainable works on Republicans. Do you know what 3% is factored out 20 years? More than 20 of the largest Saudi Oil fields. But Glen Beck doesn't talk about this. He uses Reagan's trick of getting us to focus on mythological socialist demons as his oil buddies drive us off a cliff. The Left can't ask "do you know what exponential growth looks like in 50 years? Eventually the resources won't exist and there will be terrible resource wars and deprivation across the advanced world." Meaning: not even math can help the Right see Reagan's expansion of oil use as insane. For Reagan, there will never be a $4 gallon. There will never be oil scarcity. Technology will save us.
Of course, we see how silly that is. And we see how silly it is to deny the current oil scarcity - which is going to worsen because of rising demand from China/India. The $4 gallon is here. But it's more than $4 once you factor in the cost of stabilizing the middle east.
The USA is the most petrol-intensive nation on earth. A large portion of its economic dominance came from its ability to exploit the productive capacity of petrochemicals. It is a nation of cars and suburbs, and it ABSOLUTELY depends on cheap gas. Other countries are more condensed and have highly evolved train systems. Not the USA: we drive long distances. [Do the math on just the Los Angeles basin. Do you know how much oil is used on a daily basis, and what even a slight rise in energy costs would do to the economy?
The US economy requires massive amounts of cheap petrochemicals to stay afloat. BUT... Those chemicals are going away. Worse: the oil industry, by capturing the GOP, has been able to destroy alternative energy and conservation, the two things that would lessen the blow of disappearing petroleum. Do you know who killed the first electric car movement?
Jimmy Carter tried to tell the nation that the real enemy was not the Soviets, but energy. He said that we couldn't spend the next 30 years making terrorist nations richer. He said that as the Reagan team was meeting unofficially with Iran and strengthening the US alliance with terror-states (see IranConta). Carter gave us a choice in the 70s to avoid the $4 gallon and the death of the American economy. Reagan and the Right laughed at him. Reagan removed Hussein's Iraq from the official list of terrorist nations, then he began to pour money into Iraq. He followed by doubling our aid to the freedom hating Saudis.
Reagan, who was funded heavily by big oil, chose oil dependency.
He dug our grave.