WaPo/ABC poll: Trump approval at 42%, lowest ever at this point

[usmbguest5318]

WaPo/ABC poll: Trump approval at 42%, lowest ever at this point

Solely for the sake of objectivity, some polls tracked on Real Clear Politics, Marist's being one though I suspect The Post/ABC poll is not among the others, in April recorded Trump approval ratings in the thirties. Make of that what you will. (I am not familiar with the methodology of Marist's poll, so I have nothing ot say about the merit of what it portends.)

 

[Cellblock2429]

/--- Rasmussen has Trump at 49%. Here is how they conduct the poll: Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. The margin of sampling error for the full sample of 1,500 Likely Voters is +/- 2.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Results are also compiled on a full-week basis and crosstabs for full-week results are available for Platinum Members. Get it?
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll - Rasmussen Reports™

Lol, yes tard, I totally get it,Rasmussen doesn't conduct a poll based on simple adult sample. They use voter model sampling.

Do YOU get it?

/---- No you don't get it. Rasmussen is far more accurate than your polls of 700 random adults. They don't even verify if they are citizens or registered to vote. Get it now?
View attachment 123220

They BY DEFINITION cannot be accurate as they DO NOT MEASURE public opinion, they measure support among modeled voter sample.

Get it dummy?

If you want to know what American adults think their polling is not what you should be looking at.

/---- public opinion is meaningless for random adults. They may never set foot in a voting booth.

I'm clearly dealing with a total lemming willing to argue the most lunatic of positions to claw Trump an extra 5% approval

Clean, straight adult sample is certanly not meaningless, it is the very standard of Presiential approval and historic comparison.

And further, it certainly is not meaningless because Rasmussen's secret sauce formula (which falsely predicted Clinton and Romney wins) says so. Rasmussen has been NOT GOOD at figuring out who the voters are and there is little reason to think they have a good idea who will be coming out in the next election.

/--- You clowns stick with your polls of 700 random adults that had Hildabeast winning by 14%. It's OK, I understand it's all you have.

 

[Cellblock2429]

Polls are not always right, but if polls across the board say he's unpopular, even ones more favorable to him say so, there must be some sort of merit.

/----

Marist is as meaningless as the others. They just report what DemocRATS want to hear:
Nature of the Sample: McClatchy-Marist Poll of 1,062 National Adults
This survey of 1,062 adults was conducted March 22nd through March 27th, 2017 by The Marist Poll,
sponsored and funded in partnership with McClatchy. Adults 18 years of age and older residing in the
contiguous United States were contacted on landline or mobile numbers and interviewed in English by
telephone using live interviewers. Mobile telephone numbers were randomly selected based upon a list
of telephone exchanges from throughout the nation from Survey Sampling International. The exchanges
were selected to ensure that each region was represented in proportion to its population. Mobile phones
are treated as individual devices. After validation of age, personal ownership, and non-business-use of
the mobile phone, interviews are typically conducted with the person answering the phone. To increase
coverage, this mobile sample was supplemented by respondents reached through random dialing of
landline phone numbers from ASDE Survey Sampler, Inc. Within each landline household, a single
respondent is selected through a random selection process to increase the representativeness of
traditionally under-covered survey populations. The samples were then combined and balanced to reflect
the 2013 American Community Survey 1-year estimates for age, gender, income, race, and region.
Results are statistically significant within ±3.0 percentage points. There are 906 registered voters. The
results for this subset are statistically significant within ±3.3 percentage points.

http://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-con...f the Sample and Tables_March 2017.pdf#page=1

 

[Cellblock2429]

Polls are not always right, but if polls across the board say he's unpopular, even ones more favorable to him say so, there must be some sort of merit.

/---- New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"
New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples" | Zero Hedge

"....with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another. As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters. Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points. Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient."

 

[Flopper]

Apparently it didn't help them in November.
Clinton 322, Trump 216 electoral votes.
Our Final 2016 Picks - Rasmussen Reports™

/---- Ask Mommy to read you the big word " Commentary" and explain the difference with hard news.
Our Final 2016 Picks
A Commentary By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley
in Political Commentary

Final Poll:
Ramussen: Clinton by +2 Date 11/2 - 11/7.
This not commentary. It's hard facts. It's Ramaussen final poll in which Clinton wins.
Trump vs. Clinton: The Final Polls

/----
1.) The discussion was how Rasmussen conducts polls.
2.) You posted a link that Rasmussen picked Hiladbeast as the winner. It was in fact a n opinion piece written before the election.
3.) You reply with a totally unrelated article that doesn't even mention Rasmussen.
View attachment 123279

It's in the polling data table in the link (see above) and it certain lists Rassmussen.

/----- You are so pathetic. You're too stupid for words. Because it's included in RCP does not take away that ONLY Rasmussen takes indepth polls.
View attachment 123294

Apparently not in depth enough because they too predicted a Clinton victory.

 

[AntonToo]

Polls are not always right, but if polls across the board say he's unpopular, even ones more favorable to him say so, there must be some sort of merit.

/---- New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"
New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples" | Zero Hedge

"....with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another. As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters. Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points. Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient."

View attachment 123375

Ok dummy, instead of explaining to you what oversampling is and what it is used for let's do this:


Give us A SINGLE Adult 16+ sample polling on presidential approval that is to your liking. Just ONE, your very own cherry picked poll.

No more nononoing, make some sort of constructive comment on how we can most objectively gauge popularity of the president among Americans.

 

[AntonToo]

/---- Ask Mommy to read you the big word " Commentary" and explain the difference with hard news.
Our Final 2016 Picks
A Commentary By Larry J. Sabato, Kyle Kondik, and Geoffrey Skelley
in Political Commentary

Final Poll:
Ramussen: Clinton by +2 Date 11/2 - 11/7.
This not commentary. It's hard facts. It's Ramaussen final poll in which Clinton wins.
Trump vs. Clinton: The Final Polls

/----
1.) The discussion was how Rasmussen conducts polls.
2.) You posted a link that Rasmussen picked Hiladbeast as the winner. It was in fact a n opinion piece written before the election.
3.) You reply with a totally unrelated article that doesn't even mention Rasmussen.
View attachment 123279

It's in the polling data table in the link (see above) and it certain lists Rassmussen.

/----- You are so pathetic. You're too stupid for words. Because it's included in RCP does not take away that ONLY Rasmussen takes indepth polls.
View attachment 123294

Apparently not in depth enough because they too predicted a Clinton victory.

Romney victory too.

 

[Cellblock2429]

Polls are not always right, but if polls across the board say he's unpopular, even ones more favorable to him say so, there must be some sort of merit.

/---- New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples"
New Podesta Email Exposes Playbook For Rigging Polls Through "Oversamples" | Zero Hedge

"....with huge variances in preference across demographics one can easily "rig" a poll by over indexing to one group vs. another. As a quick example, the ABC / WaPo poll found that Hillary enjoys a 79-point advantage over Trump with black voters. Therefore, even a small "oversample" of black voters of 5% could swing the overall poll by 3 full points. Moreover, the pollsters don't provide data on the demographic mix of their polls which makes it impossible to "fact check" the bias...convenient."

View attachment 123375

Ok dummy, instead of explaining to you what oversampling is and what it is used for let's do this:


Give us A SINGLE Adult 16+ sample polling on presidential approval that is to your liking. Just ONE, your very own cherry picked poll.

No more nononoing, make some sort of constructive comment on how we can most objectively gauge popularity of the president among Americans.

/---- Your desperation stinks...