And you base this off of what? Serious question here not being a smart ass...I mean do you consider the polls? I haven't seen any with him ahead...what else are you basing this on?
Serious answer - I base if off something you don't: REALITY. Obama got annihilated in the November 2010 elections. Instead of learning from that and changing course, he doubles-down on the same failed policies that
infuriated the American people.
Unemployment is still above 8%. Gas prices are still at $4 per gallon. The national debt is still climbing at nation collapsing rate. He is still forcing unconstitutional marxism on the people. And now we can add that he's allowing our embassy's to be attacked and our people to die.
Common sense, something the geriatric kook Ron Paul and his followers that can think for themselves don't have, tells you that when people unilaterally reject a persons policies - and they don't change them - the people will also not change their votes.
The polls you refer to are paid for by people with an agenda, and therefore, they make sure to poll only those people who will provide the results they are looking for.