I have always though a US alliance with Russia could never happen. Today, Trump considers China our greatest enemy, followed by North Korea, and Trump has clearly stated his feeling about NATO and the EU.
Putin has never been comfortable with having the two potentially largest land armies in the world on Russian borders. China with 2 million and NATO with 3.5 million. While Russia and China were in lock step, ideologically in the 20th century today that no longer exists. While Putin seeks to build a Russian empire, China seeks to build an global economic empire.
Such an alliance seems unlikely, but there are circumstances under which Trump might consider such an alliance. Some potential scenarios could include:
Thoughts?
Putin has never been comfortable with having the two potentially largest land armies in the world on Russian borders. China with 2 million and NATO with 3.5 million. While Russia and China were in lock step, ideologically in the 20th century today that no longer exists. While Putin seeks to build a Russian empire, China seeks to build an global economic empire.
Such an alliance seems unlikely, but there are circumstances under which Trump might consider such an alliance. Some potential scenarios could include:
- Economic Competition: If Trump perceives China and Europe as threats to American economic dominanceāthrough trade imbalances, technology competition, or regulation of U.S. companiesāhe might view a strategic relationship with Russia as a counterbalance.
- Shared Interests with Russia: If thereās overlap in U.S. and Russian interestsāsuch as curbing China's global influence or disrupting the European Unionās economic cohesionāTrump might see value in cooperation.
- Nationalist/Anti-Globalist Ideology: Trump has often leaned toward nationalist and anti-globalist rhetoric. If Russia supports a similar worldview (e.g., opposing supranational bodies like the EU or NATO), an alliance could serve mutual ideological goals.
- Personal Diplomacy: Trump has shown a preference for strongman leaders and personal diplomacy. If he believes he can secure favorable terms through a personal relationship with Putin, he might pursue such a realignment.
Thoughts?