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The budget deficit keeps getting bigger and bigger as tax revenues continue to fall.
The USA is in a bad place if a recession hits because the government's capability to use fiscal policy to defend against a recession will be severely impaired by the huge budget deficits.
The government debt keeps accumulating and it won't be long before the interest payments are so high the debt is self-sustaining with positive feedback causing acceleration of debt accumulation.
Trump has trashed world trade with his trade war which could have further negative consequences.
Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
The USA is in a bad place if a recession hits because the government's capability to use fiscal policy to defend against a recession will be severely impaired by the huge budget deficits.
The government debt keeps accumulating and it won't be long before the interest payments are so high the debt is self-sustaining with positive feedback causing acceleration of debt accumulation.
Trump has trashed world trade with his trade war which could have further negative consequences.
Bloomberg - Are you a robot?
U.S. Posts Largest-Ever Monthly Budget Deficit in February
By Katia Dmitrieva , Laura Davison , and Saleha Mohsin
March 23, 2019, 1:00 AM GMT+7 Updated on March 23, 2019, 3:04 AM GMT+7
Shortfall rises 40% to $544b in first 5 months of fiscal year
Corporate, income taxes decline as tariff revenue climbs
The U.S. posted its biggest monthly budget deficit on record last month, amid a 20 percent drop in corporate tax revenue and a boost in spending so far this fiscal year.
The budget gap widened to $234 billion in February, compared with a fiscal gap of $215.2 billion a year earlier. That gap surpassed the previous monthly record of $231.7 billion set seven years ago, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Februaryās shortfall helped push the deficit for the first five months of the governmentās fiscal year to $544.2 billion, up almost 40 percent from the same period the previous year, the Treasury Department said in its monthly budget report Friday. The release was delayed a week by the government shutdown earlier this year.
The U.S. posts its biggest monthly budget deficit on record
Receipts dipped less than 1 percent to $1.3 trillion in the October-February period from the previous year, while spending accelerated 9 percent to $1.8 trillion.
The fiscal shortfall is widening following President Donald Trumpās $1.5 trillion tax-cuts package thatās weighing on receipts and raising concerns about the national debt load, which topped a record $22 trillion last month.
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated his concern over the government deficit in a press conference Wednesday, saying that the nationās growing debt pile needs to be addressed. At the same time, thereās a shift among some economists -- led by proponents of Modern Monetary Theory -- on the dangers of a growing deficit, with low inflation and cheap borrowing costs suggesting thereās room for additional spending.
The budget deficit as a share of gross domestic product is expected to widen to 5.1 percent this year, up from 3.8 percent a year ago, according to projections from the White House Office of Management and Budget. The shortfall is expected to be 4.9 percent of GDP in 2020, and further narrow every year through 2024, according to the estimates.
MMT Bursts From Obscurity Helped by Trump Deficits, āAOC Factorā
The Treasury data show tax receipts declined for both corporations and individuals in the five-month period, while revenue from customs duties almost doubled, boosted by income from tariffs imposed by the Trump administration.
The 2017 tax law slashed the corporate tax rate from 35 percent to 21 percent.
Corporations have so far this fiscal year paid $59.2 billion, compared to $73.5 billion at the point in 2018, when the tax law was only partially in effect for some corporations. In 2017, however, the year before the law was enacted, corporations had paid $87.4 billion at this point in the year.
In a briefing with reporters on Friday before Treasury released the budget data, officials attributed the drop in corporate tax revenues to the front-loading of accelerated expensing and other such items, and reiterated the administrationās view that the cuts would pay off with faster economic growth.
The officials said the administration has been clear the tax cuts would pay for themselves over time, not immediately.
Individual income tax receipts dropped slightly from this point last year, but have risen compared to some years before the tax law. Despite the law cutting tax rates for most people, rising wages and lower unemployment have spurred higher tax revenue.
āItās not an accident that this economy is doing so well, it comes in no small part from business taxā reductions, economist Stephen Moore, Trumpās pick to be a Fed governor, said in an interview on Bloomberg TV on Friday. āWeāve just got to get the spendingā under control but no party is in the mood for that, he added.
Trumpās 2020 election bid is beginning to ramp up and heās eager to show that his three-pronged economic agenda of tax cuts, deregulation and new trade deals have spurred growth. However, key indicators, such as business investment in equipment and machinery, havenāt expanded greatly despite tax policies prodding companies to spend more. The Federal Reserve this week acknowledged that interest rates could be on hold for āsome timeā a sign the central bank is cautious about economic growth potential.