- Moderator
- #1
Several points to note:
news.yahoo.com
Candidate quality matters. It's the reason Kemp easily won reelection in Georgia while Walker failed, why Sununu easily won reelection in New Hampshire, while the Congressional candidates failed. It's why Republicans did well in the Arizona House races and the Republican State Treasurer candidate won easily, but their gubernatorial and Senate candidates came up short. "Stop the Steal" is a failed platform to run on and some of them, like Kari Lake, still haven't learned their lesson. Throw in backlash to the Dobbs ruling also. The Trump sycophants got their clocks cleaned and it will happen again in the next election if Republican voters don't wise up.
Georgia is a fine example. While Walker may blame turnout for his poor showing in November and earlier this week, other Republican candidates seemed to have no problem at all. Gov. Brian Kemp won by nearly 8 points over Stacey Abrams; Republican candidates for House won the most votes on the same day.
Yet Sen. Raphael Warnock won in Georgia anyway because a large group of voters willing to back other Republicans weren’t willing to back Walker.
Take Maricopa County in Arizona. It’s home to Phoenix and around 70% of the state’s voters. Some Republicans say — without any clear evidence — they faltered in Arizona because some Maricopa voters were unable to cast ballots at the polls on Election Day, but the final turnout data shows that 75% of registered Republicans turned out, compared with 69% of Democrats. That was enough to yield an electorate in which registered Republicans outnumbered Democrats by 9 percentage points. Yet Republicans like Masters and Kari Lake lost their races for Senate and governor.
Or consider Clark County in Nevada. There, 67% of Republicans voted, compared with 57% of Democrats, implying that Republicans probably outnumbered Democrats statewide. Yet the Democrat — Catherine Cortez Masto — prevailed in the Senate while Republicans won the governorship and also won the most votes for the House.
It’s fair to say voters in these key states probably preferred Republican control of government, in no small part because more Republicans showed up to vote. They just didn’t find Republican candidates they wanted to support at the top of the ticket.
Turnout by Republicans Was Great. It's Just That Many of Them Didn't Vote for Republicans.
After yet another disappointing showing for Republicans in Georgia’s Senate runoff on Tuesday, some conservatives — like Sean Hannity, Newt Gingrich and Kevin McCarthy — have begun to point to a surprising culprit: a failure to take advantage of early voting. The theory seems to be that...
Candidate quality matters. It's the reason Kemp easily won reelection in Georgia while Walker failed, why Sununu easily won reelection in New Hampshire, while the Congressional candidates failed. It's why Republicans did well in the Arizona House races and the Republican State Treasurer candidate won easily, but their gubernatorial and Senate candidates came up short. "Stop the Steal" is a failed platform to run on and some of them, like Kari Lake, still haven't learned their lesson. Throw in backlash to the Dobbs ruling also. The Trump sycophants got their clocks cleaned and it will happen again in the next election if Republican voters don't wise up.