Wait ... the claim was made in your Post #3 that:
"While these numbers represent a ballpark estimate based on our estimated treatment
effects in Table 4, they underscore the extreme difficulty of using contact tracing alone to
estimate the effect of massive, non-socially distanced gatherings on COVID-19 spread in the
United States. The U.S. does not have universal contact tracing nor is universal testing required
to identify asymptomatic cases. Consequently, as of September 10, contact tracing had identified
only 328 cases (from within South Dakota and 20 additional states) that could be linked to the
Sturgis Rally, a number that is difficult to reconcile with an in-person gathering of a half-million
strangers without serious mitigation efforts (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2020)."
So .. is it 328 cases or is it 86 cases? ... please pick which set of bullshit lies you wish to stand on ... and how are you accounting for healthy folks who fought off the disease with only minimal symptoms ... and how does this study compare to others just like it? ...
... and again ... no error analysis? ... that means it's riddled with errors ... profoundly unscientific ...