Trump Might Be Gaining In The Polls, But His Electoral Map Is Still Grim

Lakhota

Diamond Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2011
Messages
91,362
Reaction score
12,849
Points
2,220
Location
Native America


Regardless, he still trails badly in Electoral College projections.

Donald Trump’s standing is improving in some polls, but he still faces a large Electoral College deficit.

The ABC News/Washington Post national tracking poll shows Trump within 1 point of Hillary Clinton in a four-way race that includes Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein ― a drastic cut in her lead since the tracker debuted last week with Clinton up by 12 points. A new Florida poll from The Upshot/Siena College shows Trump leading by 4 points, a significant increase for Trump since their September poll that showed the race tied.

But the news isn’t all good for the GOP nominee. New CBS battleground polls show Clinton leading by 8 points in Pennsylvania, 3 points in Colorado and Trump only leading by 2 points in Arizona ― a typically strong Republican state. CBS also has Clinton up by 3 points in North Carolina, while a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows Clinton up by 6 in the Tar Heel State. Another NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll has Clinton leading by 1 point in Florida.

The next nine days will be a wild ride in the polls, and there will be enough of them to make even a polling expert go a little nutty.

The HuffPost Pollster team has a saying: “Keep calm and look at the polling aggregate.” That’s not to minimize individual polls ― it’s just to remind everyone (including ourselves) that individual polls will differ and have error. In the absence of knowing the truth of where the race stands, often the best option for reconciling competing numbers among respected polls is to aggregate them. The HuffPost Pollster model still shows Clinton leading by 7 points in a two-way race and about 6 points when third party candidates are included.

More: Trump Might Be Gaining In The Polls, But His Electoral Map Is Still Grim

The last thing we need is another chimp in the White House who is even dumber than Bush.
 

JimBowie1958

Old Fogey
Gold Supporting Member
Joined
Sep 25, 2011
Messages
63,590
Reaction score
16,617
Points
2,220
There is nothing grim about this outcome for Trump.

upload_2016-10-30_12-53-40.png


And it is just as likely than any of that MSM oversampled bullshit.
 
OP
Lakhota

Lakhota

Diamond Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2011
Messages
91,362
Reaction score
12,849
Points
2,220
Location
Native America

JimBowie1958

Old Fogey
Gold Supporting Member
Joined
Sep 25, 2011
Messages
63,590
Reaction score
16,617
Points
2,220
There is nothing grim about this outcome for Trump.

View attachment 95911

And it is just as likely than any of that MSM oversampled bullshit.
Funny. Now take a look at the current map.



RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton

See Lakhota, the thing is back about a month ago I had figured the worst polls were off by quite a bit, and then I calculated the hidden vote at around 8% and added that to the reliable polls that had a tight race.

That is how I got my map. I did the hard work and did not simply make shit up or parrot the MSM bullshit.

Now it is looking even worse for Hillary, like Minnesota is close now too, and the map is shifting to look more like what I got than what you have regurgitated.

Anyone that thinks that Georgia or Texas is going to go Dimocrat in this election is simply delusional. It isnt even close.
 
Last edited:

C_Clayton_Jones

Diamond Member
Joined
Apr 28, 2011
Messages
58,739
Reaction score
16,571
Points
2,180
Location
In a Republic, actually
“But the news isn’t all good for the GOP nominee. New CBS battleground polls show Clinton leading by 8 points in Pennsylvania, 3 points in Colorado and Trump only leading by 2 points in Arizona ― a typically strong Republican state. CBS also has Clinton up by 3 points in North Carolina, while a new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll shows Clinton up by 6 in the Tar Heel State. Another NBC/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll has Clinton leading by 1 point in Florida.”

Trump’s prospects are worse than grim, he will in fact lose the election.

Clinton doesn’t need North Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Iowa, or Nevada to win; Clinton will become president this December even if Trump wins these states.

There is nothing grim about this outcome for Trump.

View attachment 95911

And it is just as likely than any of that MSM oversampled bullshit.
Funny. Now take a look at the current Real Clear Politics map.


Hillary: 263, Trump: 126, Tossup: 149

RealClearPolitics - Election 2016 - General Election: Trump vs. Clinton
Actually, Clinton is at 272 based on a very conservative projection of the state polls.
 

Norman

Diamond Member
Joined
Sep 24, 2010
Messages
31,256
Reaction score
15,066
Points
1,590
How many times have we heard that "Trump will lose" just before he strikes an unparalleled victory?

Hillary has only one stronghold on the map, the federal prison.
 
OP
Lakhota

Lakhota

Diamond Member
Joined
Jul 14, 2011
Messages
91,362
Reaction score
12,849
Points
2,220
Location
Native America
Hillary is going down we swift boated her ass happy OCTOBER SURPRISE :eusa_boohoo:
Yes, honorable people know that NaziCons love swift-boating - as opposed to fair and honest democracy.
Ahahaha a liberal using the words "fair and honest" lol :laugh:
Do you even know what swiftboating is? It is not honorable!

The term swiftboating (also swift-boating or swift boating) is a pejorative American neologism used to describe an unfair or untrue political attack. The term is derived from the name of the organization "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth" (SBVT, later the Swift Vets and POWs for Truth) because of their widely publicized—and later discredited—campaign against 2004 U.S. presidential candidate John Kerry.

Swiftboating - Wikipedia
 

BluesLegend

Diamond Member
Joined
Sep 7, 2014
Messages
51,429
Reaction score
18,459
Points
2,630
Location
Trump's Army
Hillary is going down we swift boated her ass happy OCTOBER SURPRISE :eusa_boohoo:
Yes, honorable people know that NaziCons love swift-boating - as opposed to fair and honest democracy.
Ahahaha a liberal using the words "fair and honest" lol :laugh:
Do you even know what swiftboating is? It is not honorable!

The term swiftboating (also swift-boating or swift boating) is a pejorative American neologism used to describe an unfair or untrue political attack. The term is derived from the name of the organization "Swift Boat Veterans for Truth" (SBVT, later the Swift Vets and POWs for Truth) because of their widely publicized—and later discredited—campaign against 2004 U.S. presidential candidate John Kerry.

Swiftboating - Wikipedia
You have bigger problems, get over to the thread discussing how native americans are voting for Trump :badgrin:
 

New Topics

Most reactions - Past 7 days

Forum List

Top