Trump approval just hit the 30s. Can his numbers get any lower -
Nate Silver - Mar 30, 2026
$4 gas is a big problem for Trump. But broken campaign promises and series of self-inflicted wounds are eroding support even among Trump’s base.
The last time I did a check-in on President Trump’s popularity in November, I noted that the decline in his approval ratings had been remarkably linear. There have been peaks and valleys, sure, which you can correlate with particular news events. But the recovery after every bounce-back has been incomplete, leaving some permanent damage behind.
So what’s happened since then? Well, let’s just go ahead and update that chart.
Trump's numbers keep trending down
Net approval rating, with linear trendline
Obviously, the trend is still down. To be fair, his numbers were relatively flat between November and March.¹ But Trump just hit a new low in our tracking. For the first time in his second term, Trump’s approval rating in our average is (just barely) below 40 percent at 39.7. And his net approval rating is -17.4, also a new low. The recent decline has been pretty steep: about 5 points of net approval over the past several weeks. []][
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It’s still the economy, stupid
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