Out of curiosity. Are these the same Intelligence folks who told Clinton that an Aspirin Factory was making WMD’s? When it turned out they were really making Aspirin? Or the folks who assured us that WMD’s were in Iraq? Or the folks who told the President that ISIS would be totally marginalized if we called them Daesh?
Let’s be honest for a moment. Intel folks are wrong more often than they are right if the evidence is to be taken with even a small grain of salt. After all they completely missed the Marathon Bombing in Boston because they got a name wrong on a Typo. Really.
So we are being honest. The Chinese Biological Research Facility is located right next to Wuhan China. We know that China lied going into this disaster. We know they withheld facts and vital information for months and up to today. We know they locked up and threatened Doctors and others who were trying to sound the alarm on this disease. So assuming that the intel briefer actually said we have no intel to show it came from the Biological Research facility that the Chinese use for Biowar weapons would you believe them without reservation knowing the long and disturbing history of their getting it completely wrong?
Oh, but Trump has to listen to the experts. Carter listened to the experts, and launched Desert One, planned and rehearsed by the experts, which failed miserably.
Reagan ignored the experts and found that he was right, the Soviets were teetering on the brink of collapse. Bush Clinton listened to the experts and bombed an Aspirin Factory to the outrage of the world. Bush listened and decided that Iraq had WMD’s. Obama listened and helped facilitate the Civil War in Libya, and Syria, that has led to the Refugee problems in Europe, and a few million dead.
The experts provide you with an educated guess. Sometimes the Magic 8 Ball is right, and sometimes it isn’t. But this is always the way the Intelligence folks were. None of them saw the Korean Invasion in 1950. Later they assured Truman that the Chinese would not come in, right up to the day that the Chinese actually attacked, Truman was being assured by both Military and CIA folks that they had no information that any Chinese troops would become involved.
The Navy told the President that the Submarine K-129 would never survive a trip to the surface. The CIA did it anyway. And it was a colossal and expensive failure. Thanks experts. Glad to hear you had a plan.
The truth is that Intelligence and Airplane designers both have a similar motto. We bet your life we are right.
When something does go wrong, the person who made the decision based upon that information is always blamed. Odd that we never string up the idiots who were wrong. We promote them, because they have a lot of experience and expertise, and then the next poor bastard listens to them, and again we are screwed.
If the CIA told me that the Russians were certainly going to start a Nuclear War, I would nod and then tell the guy with the Football not to go to far, and then tell Cheyenne Mountain that we really do not expect much in the way of Russian Aggression.
Thankfully we aren’t alone there. The other Intelligence Services are not much if any better. The Russians early detection satellite reported a single missile launch. The Russian Generals were screaming that they had to retaliate, and needed Gorbachov to issue the orders to launch. The Experts all said that this was exactly what they had feared of Reagan.
One expert, a lowly Major disagreed. He had studied Reagan. He told the Bosses that Reagan would never launch a single Missile, he would launch every single one if it was his desire to start a Nuclear War. One guy got it right. Dozens of Experts had it wrong, and we are alive because he delayed the launch long enough for Soviet Radar to confirm that no missile was inbound.
Would you blame Gorbachov for ignoring his experts? Would you demand that Gorby fire the missiles to retaliate for the attack? The Experts said he should.
Anyone who knows the history of the CIA and Intelligence in general is probably right now tossing a coin to see if the CIA is wrong or right on their latest assessment.
Then again, regarding COVID, the Experts were all shouting that we had no testing to confirm that UV-C would kill Covid. Despite the fact that we knew how UV killed Virus’ we refused to believe that it would kill Covid until we tested it.
Did we test to see if Covid was affected by Gravity? Odd that the Experts just accepted that this virus particle would be drawn to the earth instead of floating away. Or it is just as likely that they didn’t think of it, and that is why they did not demand testing on it.
The Experts are wrong as often as they are right, and swear they are in the know.
