Trump told Congress that messing with Medicare, Medicaid, and SS was political suicide, which is why the deficit and debt will be bigger than the last president.
Here are the last 8 budgets and deficits according to wiki:
Biden’s 2025 Budget was $7.30T with a $1.8T deficit______TOTAL BIDEN $8.3T
Biden’s 2024 Budget was $7.30T with a $2.0T deficit
Biden's 2023 Budget was $6.13T with a $1.7T deficit
Biden's 2022 Budget was $6.27T with a $1.4T deficit
Trump's 2021 Budget was $6.82T with a $2.8T deficit___ TOTAL TRUMP $7.6T
Trump's 2020 Budget was $6.55T with a $3.1T deficit
Trump's 2019 Budget was $4.40T with a $0.9T deficit
Trump's 2018 Budget was $4.10T with a $0.8T deficit
So you said that Trump-47's first budget will have a bigger deficit than Biden's.
The CBO just scored the House budget at a $3.8T deficit over 10-years, or $0.380b a year.
The senate should cut that deficit even more. But even if they pass it as-is, the deficit will be much less than the CBO predicts, here is why:
1. Tariff revenue will be substantial, say $400b
2. The senate may raise the top tax rate to 40%, raising $500b
3. "Dynamic Scoring" will show that the GDP will grow more than 1.8%
4. The Fed will lower interest rates, so interest on the debt should be less.
(Janet Yellen screwed up by using short term bonds instead of long term bonds when interest was low)
5. The $14T of foreign investment will spur growth and tax revenue.
6. The $175b DOGE savings will keep growing as DOGE modernizes the Federal government