Toomey (R-PA) is retiring. Great Senate pickup opportunity for Democrats

[LordBrownTrout]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

They will likely pick up seats in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Those will likely be the only party switches.

No, its unlikely. Dems will probably lose house also next year.

 

[Anathema]

The vast majority of Americans DESERVE to be treated like garbage because they ARE garbage.

Just another elite that subscribes to the belief that their opinion and viewpoints are superior to others, ask yourself again how we became so polarized? Without constructive and respectful discourse ones position can never win the day.

I’m about a Elite as baseball and apple pie.

How did we become so polarized?

A man named Lincoln decided that the US Constitution no longer suited his viewpoints and used the US Military to impose his beliefs on a dozen Ststes that simply wanted to be left in peace.

Constructive and Respectful Discourse ended when Lincoln refused to leave Fort Sumter to its rightful defenders. Since then there has been nothing worthy of discussing with Unionist/Federalist scum.

 

[busybee01]

In the Senate, it is generally a function of which seats are up. Even though Republicans have to defend far more seats than Democrats, most of them are relatively safe. Ron Johnson is batshit crazy and if he runs he will lose.

Which is how he won the first two times?

Also Pennsylvania has generally leaned statewide to Democrats.

Not at all. Pennsylvania goes through a Democrat phase, then a Republican phase. Wash, rinse, repeat. Been this way for decades.

Who says Fetterman is a right wing extremist?

You, evidently

Also Republican legislators were all for overturning the election and ignoring the will of voters. Republican lefislators' attempts to make it harder for people to vote will not sit well with voters.

The 2022 races will be affected by 2 events. Republican attempts to steal the election will be a factor. In the House, Democrats should ask voters if they want to vote Republican and give crazy Republicans power. Republican House members voted by a 2-1 margin to steal the election. The second will be the terrorist attack by Republican members of QAnon. Republicans supported their quest to steal the election.

Awful lot of conjecture on your part here. You seem to forget that the public has a short memory. At the end of the day, the race will come down to the performance of the Biden administration and people's perception of his presidency. I remember after the 2006 midterms when Republicans lost the House and Senate and then in 2008 when Obama won the presidency and the Democrats obtained a supermajority how Democrats were saying it was the end of the Republican Party and a new era was being ushered in. Then the Dems got shellacked in the 2010 midterms all across the board. That made the Republicans think they had it made in 2012 to unseat Obama and yet, Obama got reelected in a landslide. Then in 2014 Dems thought they were taking everything back and they got spanked again.

The Democrats can only use Trump as a political hot potato for so long. He's gone now and the average person hasn't the slightest clue what QAnon even is. They have to produce or they can scream Trump until they are blue in the face. It won't matter.

The problem is that Johnson has become nuttier ever since Trump took office. He has harassed private citizens. He held hearings in December on hydroxychloroquine which Trump no longer talks about. He pushes crazy conspiracy theories. He is not the same Ron Johnson who won 2 terms.

In Pennsylvania, Republicans who win statewide generally are moderate. Trump's win in 2016 was a fluke.

I doubt that the public has a short memory on something like this. You don't forget violence and vote stealing. And Republican legislators will remind them of this when they launch their assault on voting rights.

The Republican Party is in a death spiral. The groups of voters they do well are either declining or not growing as fast. Among fast growing segments of the population, Democrats are doing well. This includes women and suburban areas.

 

[Pete7469]

I’m about a Elite as baseball and apple pie.

How did we become so polarized?

A man named Lincoln decided that the US Constitution no longer suited his viewpoints and used the US Military to impose his beliefs on a dozen Ststes that simply wanted to be left in peace.

Constructive and Respectful Discourse ended when Lincoln refused to leave Fort Sumter to its rightful defenders. Since then there has been nothing worthy of discussing with Unionist/Federalist scum.

You're still into THAT fight?

Wow... talk about holding a grudge....


.

 

[busybee01]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

Johnson in Wisconsin as well. Red (ungerrymanderable) seats in blue states. And you're likely to have a primary where you have a trump candidate and a sane one in PA.... a sane one and Johnson in WI.

Portman is retiring from Ohio as well. Brown ( a democrat) just won re-election so.... could be interesting.

Link please confirming that Johnson (WI) is retiring in 2022. I don't see that confirmed anywhere.

Assuming the "out" party usually wins seats in the mid-terms, looks like the House and Senate will go GOP in 2022, unless the morons screw it up <again>, like running Doug Collins against Kelly Loeffler.
Looking ahead to the 2022 Senate races, here is a scorecard:

(2) Republicans who barely won last time, and (4) retirements:
Blunt (MO)
Johnson (WI) retiring???????
Portman (OH) retiring
Burr (NC) retiring
Toomey (PA) retiring
Shelby (AL) retiring

(5) Democrats who barely won last time:
Mark Kelly (AZ)
Bennett (CO)
Warnock (GA) Should be toast in 2022
Scale (NV)
Hassan (NH)
[/QUOTE

Republicans are in chaos in Arizona. Kelly will likely win a full term. Colorado is a Democrat state. In Georgia, Democrats are likely to win by a larger margin in the suburbs. Nevada has moved into the leaning Democrat column. Republicans could have a hard time winning in New Hampshire except for Sununu in the governor's race.

In 2022 will the democrats' "Green New Deal" policies, China First policies, open border policies, and censorship policies gain traction or lose voters, especially women voters?
Johnson (WI) should hold serve in a mid-term
Portman (OH) retiring OH leans red
Burr (NC) retiring NC leans red
Toomey (PA) retiring tossup depending on candidates running
Shelby (AL) retiring deep red state

(5) Democrats who barely won last time:
Mark Kelly (AZ) the GOP has 2-years of the Xiden admin to gain voters
Bennett (CO) Agreed, probably stays blue
Warnock (GA) Should be toast in 2022. The GOP voters will turn out in a red state.
Masto (NV) not sure which message will play better in NV?
Hassan (NH) If Sununu can win so can a GOP senator, especially after seeing democrat policies

So IMHO the GOP picks up 2 seats, which is enough to swing the senate GOP in the 2022 mid-terms

Quite lying There are no China first policies, open borders or censorship policies.

Johnson will lose if he runs.
Portman seat vulnerable if certain candidates run
Burr's seat is not a comfortable win so anything can happen
Pennsylvania voters will be reminded of the fact that Republicans tried to steal the election with a new assault on voting rights
Masto will likely win re-election

Arizona Republicans are too busy fighting to field a viable candidate
Georgia Republicans need to realize the rule of dictators. The harder they squeeze their iron fist the more slips out.
Masto will likely win re-election
Sununu has governed in a bi-partisan manner

 

[Anathema]

You're still into THAT fight?

Wow... talk about holding a grudge...

That fight never really ended. The shooting war may have ended in 1865 but the underlying conflict and disagreements have never been worked through and resolved. Instead they have been allowed to fester, become infected, and grow to the point where they once again threaten to cost this nation its very existence.

 

[Aldo Raine]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

Johnson in Wisconsin as well. Red (ungerrymanderable) seats in blue states. And you're likely to have a primary where you have a trump candidate and a sane one in PA....a sane one and Johnson in WI.

Portman is retiring from Ohio as well. Brown ( a democrat) just won re-election so....could be interesting.

Doubtful in Ohio, this state is no longer purple. It is red, sadly.

 

[bendog]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

NC too

 

[bendog]

You're still into THAT fight?

Wow... talk about holding a grudge...

That fight never really ended. The shooting war may have ended in 1865 but the underlying conflict and disagreements have never been worked through and resolved. Instead they have been allowed to fester, become infected, and grow to the point where they once again threaten to cost this nation its very existence.

I know, it was hard to lose on slavery. It grates even today, doesn't it

 

[Anathema]

I know, it was hard to lose on slavery. It grates even today, doesn't it

Slavery is, was, and always will be the ultimate Red Herring. TheWar of Northern Aggression was truly, at its core, about whether the Federal Government or State Government would be preeminent in this country.

The Federal Government became ascendant with the Union victory, and the American People have suffered ever since.

 

[bendog]

I know, it was hard to lose on slavery. It grates even today, doesn't it

Slavery is, was, and always will be the ultimate Red Herring. TheWar of Northern Aggression was truly, at its core, about whether the Federal Government or State Government would be preeminent in this country.

The Federal Government became ascendant with the Union victory, and the American People have suffered ever since.

Slavery was just a side issue WE ALL KNOW THIS

 

[CrusaderFrank]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

GOP Poll watcher will be armed this time and won't be moved away

 

[Missourian]

This thread is nothing more than tea leaves and wishful thinking.

Liberals don't want to see a Trump backed candidate win...so they'll say that a Trump backed candidate can't win. If Trump backed candidate DOES win...it proves Trump can win in 2024...and that messes up their narrative.

So...all these "opinions" are nothing more than propoganda and attempted manipulation.

Ignore them.

 

[basquebromance]

i hope the tall bald guy with the goatee with views like Bernie wins.

 

[candycorn]

Republicans will likely elect an unhinged Qanon kook to replace the relatively moderate Toomey, who voted for impeachment.
This increases the chances that Democrats pick up a Senate seat there.

Johnson in Wisconsin as well. Red (ungerrymanderable) seats in blue states. And you're likely to have a primary where you have a trump candidate and a sane one in PA....a sane one and Johnson in WI.

Portman is retiring from Ohio as well. Brown ( a democrat) just won re-election so....could be interesting.

Doubtful in Ohio, this state is no longer purple. It is red, sadly.

We’ll see