For all the talk about a close election, it aint gonna happen. We are looking at a landslide ala 1980. Romney has all the advantages here. Obama is sucking wind. While the polls look close I suspect a lot of people who say they support Obama do so because they dont want t be perceived as racist.
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Guy, 1980 isn't even a good comparison.
The only thing the two elections had in common were a bad economy. Carter was brought down by a lot more factors than that.
1) Massive dissension in his own party, leading to a primary challenge by Ted Kennedy. Obama enjoys solid support from his base.
2) A Third Party challenge from John Anderson on his left. To my surprise, we didn't get a third party this year.
3) Carter's impotence in dealing with Iran and the Soviets. People voted for Reagan just as much because of their concerns on foreign affairs as economic ones, maybe a bit more so.
4) Massive inflation and high interest rates and a depressed stock market. Unlike Obama, Carter's economic woes went far beyond unemployment.
But here's the real problem. Mitt Romney is no Ronald Reagan. He doesn't have the likability or the Charisma or the cahonas. Reagan naturally related to people, Romney acts like a weird robot from the Planet Kolob.