What NK is setup for is to very quickly blow the shit out of South Korea with non-nuclear missiles and artillery. There is very little we could do to stop that. But not long after that, NK would look like Aleppo.
conventional arty and missiles can NOT blow the shit out of a country
they can damage a city--at most
It cannot level Seoul as some reports have claimed, but it could do significant damage
--see below quote on limitations
. But the volume of fire that the North can direct against the South Korean capital is limited by some important factors. Of the vast artillery force deployed by the North along the border, only a small portion — Koksan 170-mm self-propelled guns, as well as 240-mm and 300-mm multiple launch rocket systems — are capable of actually reaching Seoul. Broadly speaking, the bulk of Pyongyang's artillery can reach only into the northern border area of South Korea or the northern outskirts of Seoul.
and that is if they are deployed near Seoul....if so, that would mean the rest of the border would not have that arty--arty is the KING of battle [[ not destruction ]] --meaning the rest of NK's border would be just about defenseless
This is an extreme scenario, however, and one in which North Korea chooses to expose all of its most advanced rocket artillery systems simultaneously, suffers no failures, and chooses to direct all of them against Seoul itself
How North Korea Would Retaliate
What NK is setup for is to very quickly blow the shit out of South Korea with non-nuclear missiles and artillery. There is very little we could do to stop that. But not long after that, NK would look like Aleppo.
conventional arty and missiles can NOT blow the shit out of a country
they can damage a city--at most
It cannot level Seoul as some reports have claimed, but it could do significant damage
--see below quote on limitations
. But the volume of fire that the North can direct against the South Korean capital is limited by some important factors. Of the vast artillery force deployed by the North along the border, only a small portion — Koksan 170-mm self-propelled guns, as well as 240-mm and 300-mm multiple launch rocket systems — are capable of actually reaching Seoul. Broadly speaking, the bulk of Pyongyang's artillery can reach only into the northern border area of South Korea or the northern outskirts of Seoul.
and that is if they are deployed near Seoul....if so, that would mean the rest of the border would not have that arty--arty is the KING of battle [[ not destruction ]] --meaning the rest of NK's border would be just about defenseless
This is an extreme scenario, however, and one in which North Korea chooses to expose all of its most advanced rocket artillery systems simultaneously, suffers no failures, and chooses to direct all of them against Seoul itself
How North Korea Would Retaliate
North Korea has an air force too. They can deploy bombs and missiles from the air and would no doubt be pulling out all the stops if it is the end game.
using air power/air superiority is very complex
the US has AWACS planes which greatly increase the effectiveness of all aspects of an air campaign:
---CAP/CAS/refueling/etc
even with AWACS it takes a lot ot training to become efficient and use it efficiently
I don't think NK has AWACS?..SK does
it takes a lot of money and time to have an effective air force--everything has to work together:
--logistics-refueling/forward observers for CAS/CIC--HQ in picking targets, assigning aircraft, commanding,/etc
once again--conventional bombing and/or arty on cities-non military targets is just about worthless:
The aim of disrupting the morale of the enemy proved impossible though, as the strikes only caused greater support and patriotism in the struck areas
War of the Cities - Wikipedia
if you read anything on the Iran-Iraq Battle of the Cities, you can confirm this
also we saw this in the German bombing of London
the SKs also have AA missiles, along with AA guns and other AA systems
and I think it would be hard to catch SK off guard with what happened in 1950/etc
I really don't see the NK Air Force as a game changer or even adding significantly to a war--it takes a looong time and a lot of sorties to get air superiority/destruction of military assets--as we saw in Operation Deseret Shield
....unless you knockout the other side's Air Force on the 1st day--as in the Six Day war.....even then, they didn't wipe out the entire Arab Air Force
..the Israelis are a proven, elite military force