Most people don't understand how becoming the Speaker works. First off, Pelosi is calling in favors and $chits to gain the position from Dims already in the House. She's also calling on PACs and lobbyists to put pressure on Reps to elect her to the seat.
Her problem is going to be with the newcomers who have not yet been sworn in Jan 3, 2019. Before that, the newcomers will go to DC for indoctrination, a different one for each party. At that time, Pelosi and her assistants will try to pressure the newcomers into voting for her and them. To see who they are, go to
Congressional Institute.
2. How is the Speaker of the House elected?
Article I, Section 2 of the U.S. Constitution states, "The House of Representatives shall chuse their Speaker and other Officers."
Although the Constitution does not require the Speaker to be a Member of the House, all Speakers have been Members.
When a Congress convenes for the first time, each major party conference or caucus nominates a candidate for Speaker. Members customarily elect the Speaker by roll call vote. A Member usually votes for the candidate from his or her own party conference or caucus but can vote for anyone, whether that person has been nominated or not.
To be elected, a candidate must receive an absolute majority of the votes castāwhich may be less than a majority of the full House because of vacancies, absentee Members, or Members who vote "present." If no candidate receives the majority of votes, the roll call is repeated until a majority is reached and the Speaker is elected.
In other words, ALL members of the House, both GOP AND DemocRAT vote for the speaker. With 435 seats, that means Pelosi would have to receive 219 votes to be elected. There will be 228 Dims [TBD] and 198 GOP [TBD}. We all know that not a single Republican will vote for her so that leaves her needing almost every single Dim vote to win. A number of newcomers and some hold-overs have already said they're going to oppose her.