"...Good 'ol Kondor, acting snug looking backwards instead of forward to a future without Uncle Sam fighting Israel's battles..."
Smug (snug)? Yes, insofar as our friendship with Israel is concerned.
Backwards-looking; not really; I merely weave the past into my own personal guess-timates of what the future is likely to look like; as do so many of us.
But, in addressing your observations... looking backward, I am not aware of a time in the past when the US has fought any of Israel's battles for it, so, I doubt that the foreseeable future will be any different than the recent past.
"...He/she hasn't noticed that the Uncle Sam is withdrawing from the ME and telling Israel and Saudi Arabia to fight their own battles as America becomes totally independent from oil imports..."
The US is withdrawing from the Middle East? Not really. Not any more so than the cyclical variances in intensity in which we participate in the politics of the region; especially in light of the US Administration du jour.
Just keep in mind that Administrations are temporary occupants of the Seat of Power and that Standing Policy almost always outlives temporary pressures from Administration A or B and that the next Administration will, quite probably, revert to a more Israel-sympathetic approach. Even the Administration du jour dare not go beyond a certain point in its detachment.
The Israelis need do nothing more than hold on until January 20, 2017. And they will. Quite easily. Given the current state of nearby Arab countries, nothing big is likely to happen before then, anyway. Besides, even the
present arms-length Administration strikes me as likely to side with Israel, in the event anything big
did materialize before that time.
It is also entirely possible that you are making too much of a given trough or valley in the graph of the intensitity of US engagement in the ME and are mistaking that trough for a sea change or permanent shift in geopolitik and US foreign policy.
We may very well tell the Saudis to go hang themselves in the not-too-distant future - the ghostly echoes of 9-11 have something to do with that in the Collective American Mind.
We will not be telling the Israelis to go hang themselves, however.
This (our friendship and alliance with Israel) runs far deeper than the Oil Dependency Issue du jour; it's never been about the oil, insofar as Israel is concerned; otherwise, we would have been kissing Arab Ass since 1948, just like much of Europe has been doing.
No. Israel is, in many respects, an orphan child of and byproduct of Europe; an island of European civilization and industry and culture and military prowress and its religion is the Spiritual Mothership from which America's own dominant Christianity originally sprang. America at-large has an Emotional Stake in Israel that is missing from our relations with Saudi Arabia or any of the Muslim-dominated countries which surround her.
Even if we did not take one drop of oil from the Middle East, we would still be a friend and ally to Israel, for those and other more obvious and pragmatic reasons such as needing a tripwire and short-notice forward base on the periphery of the Muslim world and on the shores of the Eastern Mediterranean. Israel also serves as a speed-governing mechanism against the worst excesses that the Muslims can manifest in that part of the world.
"...When the Arab Spring settles, the Saudis will be overthrown by the Jihadists who gave us 9/11 who are clearly winning all the ME revolutions by ballot and arms..."
When we have a visceral enemy (the Jihadists) running the Wellspring of Islam (Mecca and Medinah) we will need that tripwire and advance base in the Eastern Med even more than we do now. Even if we give in to cowardly impulses and abandon the ME entirely, this Neanderthal Manifestation of a Neanderthal Belief System will not forget about us, and would use the free hand we give them to grow into a powerful force dedicated to world conquest and domination.
You can give in to that impulse if you like, on an individual basis, but I seriously doubt that the US or The West at large will do so; at least not within your lifetime or mine, or that of our children or grandchildren. Befriending and allying with Israel gives us a unique and necessary geopolitical advantage in that region for relatively little fuss and effort, so I really don't see us breaking that bond, despite noises to the contrary by Socialist A or B in the Administration du jour.
"...and the new world vulture can feast on the destruction caused by Israeli/Arab wars in the forecast."
Egypt is in tatters.
Libya is in tatters.
Lebanon is in tatters.
Syria is in tatters.
Iraq is in tatters.
Saudi Arabia is troubled.
Jordan is hunkered down like a minor player that just wants to duck the troubles.
Turkey is troubled but more Western in its approach and outlook than her sisters and not a good candidate for overthrow.
All of the regional Islamic powers that are in the neighborhood of Israel are a mess.
And neither Iran nor Pakistan are in any condition to project their own modest conventional military power that far from their borders without having their heads handed to them - by the IDF, primarily, with us on Standby just in case we're needed.
There is no Arab Warmaking Machine on the horizon, unless The West is foolish enough to cede the playing field and forfeit the game.
If an Arab Warmaking Machine is to come, it will need to be built from the ground up, and that will take a great deal of time.
We merely need to keep a watchful eye on developments, and to maintain a friendly power and forward base on the periphery of their domain, at little expense to ourselves, as a matter of prudence.
In all likelihood, however, the Arabs will begin to settle down, rebuild their economies, and spend a few generations (and much of their revenues) trying to sort-out democracy and its offshoots in an Islamic context.
But all this is fanciful future speculation, and only time will tell which perspective is closer to reality and likely to materialize, in whole or in part.
We both have some sensible reasons for believing as we do.
Meanwhile,
Wake me up when the Arabs re-grow some muscle and start making war-noises that we actually need to take seriously.
Until then, I'll keep a good grip on our present reality and the cold, hard logic (rather than an overreliance upon the past) that drives my own guess-timates of how things are likely to unfold over the course of the next few decades, insofar as our mutually beneficial relationship with Israel is concerned.
