The crosstabs from the last Siena poll, the one that played a role in Scozzafava getting out:
http://www.siena.edu/uploadedfiles/...ity_Page/SRI/SNY_Poll/CD23Final Crosstabs.pdf
Her supporters have a slightly more favorable view of Owens over Hoffman.
The undecideds in this poll give President Obama a 62% approval rating.
As you see, the outcome was in the fine print of the polls. The NY23 undecideds were not going to go to Hoffman. They were not conservatives.
Oh yes they are, when you consider that Hoffman only entered the race less than a month ago, with no money, he made a darn good showing, losing only by 4% of the vote. He was relatively the unknown candidate until 2 weeks ago, when Fred Thompson, Palin, Hannity and Rush woke up. Michael Steele on television tonight stated that the local GOP made a huge mistake in backing Dedrie giving $900 thousand dollars to run her campaign. They really know it now that she dropped out and threw what little support she had to the democrat in the race. She was never a Republican, she was for the no stimulus stimulus bill, backs the national take over of health care and is pro Cap and Trade. All things that even the most liberal Republican would be against.
She is much more liberal than the democrat in this race and I beleive that the NY 23rd was aware of this.
Had Hoffman had the local support of the GOP, had that money and started when he should have. He would have won hands down.
You can bet that at the national level the GOP has woken up and won't be making this mistake again. This was a run-off election where the voters had no choice in the candidates that would represent the different parties, it was a group of 11 so-called republicans that made dedree the choice and it's quite obvious to me, that they probably did not even bother to interview her. I am sure they are now wearing bags over their heads and hearing it loud and clear from the GOP at the national level.
It would also be a terrible mistake for Owens to support the Health care plan being currently debated in congress or to support Cap and Trade. He knows that he only got 49%of the vote and that Hoffman got 45%. That should tell him that he did not win by a landslide and that those people that he is representing are moderates to conservatives.
I am certain Nancy Pelosi is aware of this, no matter what she is saying, and if he is stupid enough to support either of these bills, he will be toast in short time.
