Billy_Bob
Diamond Member
Noise. Because the radiative forcing from CO2 is easily overborne by half a dozen other, transient phenomena. In the long run, however, CO2 is consistent and consistently increasing while transients are transient: noise.
So then what's the significance of 2014 being the "hottest year on record" if it's just part of the noise? Serious question, I'm trying to figure this out from a data perspective.
The trend is clear (at least for the last 40 years) but the data doesn't seem to match the conclusions so I must be missing something.
38% confidence....
The noise is so great and the rise in the hundredths of a degree (which is clearly within the MOE) that there is little or no confidence in this.