Predict the Electoral Vote

[kyzr]

They did. The audits, the re-counts, the investigations, the court decisions...all proved Joe won.
Again, you defined surrender. Something you said was not the blob's plan.
And when they roll into another nation? What then?
You're likely right about that one. Too bad our interests aren't all located in NATO countries. You didn't think that one through, did you stupid?
Let me guess. you don't care about how it will hurt nearly a fifth of our exports either.
Well, that was a bizarre not to mention stupid response. That you don't care is clear. That you have no idea what you're talking about is more vivid.
Wow, could you imagine if that were true? She may just start promising miracles

1. so you say
2. Surrender is only when Putin gets all of Ukraine. Giving up nothing new (Crimea & Donbas) for NATO membership is a WIN.
3. Roll into which country? If its not NATO who cares? The US is not the world's cop.
4. You post in fiction, our interests are only in NATO countries. Think about that.
5. Most EU countries are in NATO dumbass. Our exports would not be affected.
6. Prove me wrong. Crimea and Donbas speak Russian not Ukrainian, and Alaskans do not speak Russian. waiting...
7. Kamala speaks in "word salad", she says the same answers no matter what the questions are.

 

[my2¢]

I don't care for polls, so looking at the DJT stock price I see it's been moving up and so...

Trump 312 - Harris 226

 

[XponentialChaos]

1. Yes those are the 2020 results of cheating, as proven by math.

Math has not proven your conspiracy theorist bullshit.

Go ahead and post your mathematical proof.

 

[dblack]

If I was a betting man, I'd put money on Trump. But we're fucked either way.

 

[Mac1958]

If I was a betting man, I'd put money on Trump. But we're fucked either way.

Agreed. I'd at least like to see a split Congress, but I don't know if it would matter.

 

[Shareprofit]

If I was a betting man, I'd put money on Trump. But we're fucked either way.

Kamala Harris will win by a lot. You underestimate how much hatred people have for Trump's lies, sexual assults and crimes. Most people are good, honourable and have moral values that's why they won't have a bar of Trump.

 

[frigidweirdo]

Someone suggested it might be a good idea to have a thread where people can predict the outcome of the presidential race. Sites like 270toWin have interactive maps that you can manipulate. There are others as well.

270toWin - 2024 Presidential Election Interactive Map

Create your own forecast for the 2024 presidential election

www.270towin.com

This is the current default

I went for Kamala the Kommie RED to win by 4....

 

[dblack]

Kamala Harris will win by a lot. You underestimate how much hatred people have for Trump's lies, sexual assults and crimes. Most people are good, honourable and have moral values that's why they won't have a bar of Trump.

I think you underestimate how much people are fed up with Democrats.

 

[Shareprofit]

I think you underestimate how much people are fed up with Democrats.

You are wrong, people are fed up with being Americans. You don't realise how farked up as a society you are.

 

[dblack]

You are wrong, people are fed up with being Americans. You don't realise how farked up as a society you are.

I don't?

 

[Shareprofit]

I don't?

You don't know what you don't know. The rest of the world laughs at you fools, just imagine how fucked you are to have a treasonous imbicile like Trump as your leading candidate.

 

[dblack]

You don't know what you don't know.

Heh.. ok. I suppose neither do you.

The rest of the world laughs at you fools, just imagine how fucked you are to have a treasonous imbicile like Trump as your leading candidate.

Ok.

 

[Mac1958]

Moving North Carolina to Trump.

Currently:

Trump
Nevada
Arizona
Georgia
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
North Carolina

Harris
Minnesota

So:
Trump 296
Harris 242

 

[Vrenn]

Moving North Carolina to Trump.

This is your opinion. Nothing more. More like wishful thinking. The real deal shows it's still anyone's game.

Currently:

Trump
Nevada

Shows less than a 1% difference between both parties. Likely, it will go to trump.

Arizona

Another nail biter. But with what has gone on in the last few days I think this one goes to Harris.

Georgia

Wow, this one is close but if history goes the way it should have gone (not like 2020) it would go to Trump. But lately, there has been some real negative things coming out of the Republicans in this state in voter manipulation.

Pennsylvania

Harris still has a 1 point lead. If it continues the way it's going, Harris takes it.

Wisconsin

Harris is leading by 4 points. Again, if things keep going like they are Harris takes the nod.

North Carolina

NC is close but I think it's going to follow tradition and go red.

Harris
Minnesota

With Harris only hold a 1 point lead, it may come out a different status. But Harris will probably pull it off.

So:
Trump 257
Harris 281

 

[Mac1958]

This is your opinion. Nothing more. More like wishful thinking. The real deal shows it's still anyone's game.



Shows less than a 1% difference between both parties. Likely, it will go to trump.



Another nail biter. But with what has gone on in the last few days I think this one goes to Harris.


Wow, this one is close but if history goes the way it should have gone (not like 2020) it would go to Trump. But lately, there has been some real negative things coming out of the Republicans in this state in voter manipulation.


Harris still has a 1 point lead. If it continues the way it's going, Harris takes it.


Harris is leading by 4 points. Again, if things keep going like they are Harris takes the nod.


NC is close but I think it's going to follow tradition and go red.



With Harris only hold a 1 point lead, it may come out a different status. But Harris will probably pull it off.



View attachment 1026966

Yep. My record of predicting elections ain't good.

Just doing this for "fun".

 

[Vrenn]

Yep. My record of predicting elections ain't good.

Just doing this for "fun".

Well, keep having fun and Vote. Notice I didn't TELL you who to vote for, you heathen.

 

[Missourian]

Today...

Real clear polling...no tossups...

270 to win...no tossups...

 

[Vrenn]

Today...

Real clear polling...no tossups...

View attachment 1027578


270 to win...no tossups...

View attachment 1027577

So even those that favor Harris in swing states automatically are given to tRump.

 

[Missourian]

So even those that favor Harris in swing states automatically are given to tRump.

They are using the historical record.

Polling traditionally oversamples Democrats.

In 2020 Biden was up in the aggregate polling by 7.3, but in actual voting was only +4.5

Hilary was up 3.6 in aggregate polling, put in actual voting was only +2.1

If Harris isn't up at least +1 in a state, the probability is she is going to lose that state.

If Trump is up, the probability is he is going to win that state.

It's just probability... you CAN flip a coin four times in a row and get heads all four times...but the probability is against it.

 

[Vrenn]

They are using the historical record.

Polling traditionally oversamples Democrats.

In 2020 Biden was up in the aggregate polling by 7.3, but in actual voting was only +4.5

Hilary was up 3.6 in aggregate polling, put in actual voting was only +2.1

If Harris isn't up at least +1 in a state, the probability is she is going to lose that state.

If Trump is up, the probability is he is going to win that state.

It's just probability... you CAN flip a coin four times in a row and get heads all four times...but the probability is against it.

All Harris has to do is to take the Rust Belt. tRump needs to take almost all of the swing states. Law of average says that tRump cannot take almost all the swing states. Your thesis is incorrect.