Polls tighten a bit for HRC; makes sense in Red states

[JakeStarkey]

He is finally ahead although in the MOE in MO, GA, IA, and AZ, as he should be.

The favorability deficit has been cut by 40% in the last weeks. She is still though at a 9.8 point advantage. That's important, because this election that voters will be electing the candidate they think is the lesser of two evils. However, the betting odds are still more than 3:1 against Trump.

Election 2016 Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Poll Average 46.1 42.0 Clinton +4.1

4-Way RCP Average 41.4 38.2 Clinton +3.2

Favorability Ratings -13.8 -23.6 Clinton +9.8
Betting Odds 76.0 24.0
Electoral College Clinton Trump Spread
RCP Electoral Map 242 154 Clinton +88
No Toss Up States 340 198
Battlegrounds

Clinton Trump Spread
Florida 44.3 41.6 Clinton +2.7
Pennsylvania 47.0 41.0 Clinton +6.0
Ohio 44.8 41.0 Clinton +3.8
Iowa 41.5 42.3 Trump +0.8

Nevada 43.3 41.0 Clinton +2.3
New Hampshire 45.0 36.0 Clinton +9.0
North Carolina 44.8 44.3 Clinton +0.5
Michigan 45.0 36.8 Clinton +8.2
Wisconsin 45.0 39.7 Clinton +5.3
Missouri 40.8 43.8 Trump +3.0
Colorado 46.8 35.0 Clinton +11.8
Arizona 41.5 44.0 Trump +2.5
Virginia 46.8 39.6 Clinton +7.2

Georgia 42.7 44.3 Trump +1.6

 

[gipper]

Where is Gary Johnson?

 

[NYcarbineer]

Based on the polls, Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Based on the polls, Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes.

Polls are tightening, but she is still better than three to one.

However, her bad favorability rating is only ten points better than Donnie Two Times, and that is drop of almost 40% in several weeks.

 

[S.J.]

People don't start paying attention until after Labor Day. Hillary is afraid to face the press or take random and unscripted questions but she can't hide for much longer. Then there's Wikileaks and 3 debates, not to mention her failing health. Once she's forced out of hiding, her numbers will steadily and rapidly slip away.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Based on the polls, Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes.

Polls are tightening, but she is still better than three to one.

However, her bad favorability rating is only ten points better than Donnie Two Times, and that is drop of almost 40% in several weeks.

The way his own Hispanic advisors bailed on him this week, I don't see his net plus/minus improving.

 

[NYcarbineer]

Based on the polls, Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes.

Polls are tightening, but she is still better than three to one.

However, her bad favorability rating is only ten points better than Donnie Two Times, and that is drop of almost 40% in several weeks.

Even if favorability were a wash, Clinton should win on the issues.

 

[JakeStarkey]

Based on the polls, Clinton is way ahead in electoral votes.

Polls are tightening, but she is still better than three to one.

However, her bad favorability rating is only ten points better than Donnie Two Times, and that is drop of almost 40% in several weeks.

Even if favorability were a wash, Clinton should win on the issues.

The voters, because of the right wing dumbing down education, is at a long time low of electoral understanding.