Poll seems to agree ts between Biden and Sanders.
OMG, how do you decide between those two marginal performers? UGH.
I do not believe Sanders will do well in Southern States and Bloomberg and Biden will pull off upsets in those State...
Only big State Sanders will run away with is California...
The S. Carolina performance from Biden should give him a bump over what that Poll shows
What is the truth?
Truth is------------->the % of moderate votes is much HIGHER than for Sanders, but it is diluted between to many candidates. As long as they stay in the race, Biden is going to appear extremely weak at worst, or weaker than he should be, at best.
You put up the race between BERNARD and Joe, and unless Joe keeps opening his mouth, Joe is going to win! The truth is, more than anyone on the BERNARD campaign wants to admit-------------> you put ANY of the other candidates besides Warren and possibly DOOMBERG alone against him, and BERNARD loses!
You can bet your bottom dollar that the DNC is talking to Klobuchar and Mayor Pete about this scenario, to be implemented after super Tuesday. Political deals are no doubt being cut, even as you read this post.
The real ONLY question is--------------->who will the DNC decide who they want to leave in...…….Joe, or DOOMBERG!
That little factoid will be decided on Tuesday!
The only other real question is-------------------> can BERNARD hold the delegate lead against 1 other person after Tuesday so he can claim a "plurality of the vote," and try to leverage the nomination by using it?
May I suggest, the answer to that question, depends MORE upon the GOP voters running operation chaos, then the Democratic voters themselves-) Not that I am suggesting that there are more GOP voters casting ballots in the DNC primary then Democrats, but rather if enough of them vote, the BERNARD will either win, or force a brokered convention with BERNARD entering the convention in the lead!
Agreed... well said. What are your thoughts on Operation Chaos?
I think it is in stasis mostly after Biden won SC. I believe they are taking a wait and see approach as if the others drop out, they are pretty sure they can NOT force a BERNARD nomination, so will settle for a brokered convention.
After Super Tuesday, it is the DNC's move in all honesty. If the field is not whittled down as far as on the moderate side, then I can NOT see it NOT being at the very least a brokered convention with Bernard in the lead.
As a political junky, I want to see how the DNC navigates this! They can't be to overbearing, or it will turn many DNC voters off; and yet they must apply a decent amount of pressure, or they will have a candidate they do not want.
This is going to be an education for people on BOTH sides of the aisle, how our Washington politics really work. Some group of people is going to get the shaft, unless they can push Biden or DOOMBERG over the top before the convention, and that alone is worth the price of admission!
Pete’s out... that should give Biden another bump. Klob should follow before Tuesday
This was really a smart move be the DNC, or Mayor Pete, or whomever came up with it.
You see...……………….because of the way these primary's work, you have to get over 15% in a district, and or a state, to get any delegates. From what I read in one poll, only Sanders and Warren broke that 15% boundry, with Biden being very close, at least in the delegate rich California.
Since Warren is a natural ally ideologically of Sanders, they LOWER each others votes. So the key is to keep Warren in the contest, and allow one of the others to drop, migrating their available votes to the other moderates, pushing one of them over the 15% threshold, splitting the Super Tuesday vote 3 ways, instead of 2.
In essence, let me explain it this way----------------> IF there were enough candidates where Bernie carried 16% of the vote in say California, and none of the other candidates could reach 15%, Bernie would get all of the delegates. Crazy? I know, but that is how it works!
But, what if Bernie gets 16%, Warren 15%, and Biden 15%, and the rest do not qualify?
Well basically, you get an even 3 way split, which is what the DNC is trying to do. Push at least 1 moderate over the 15% threshold, so Sanders and Warren don't split the vote between them, and everybody else is locked out. Sure, Sanders gets more than anyone because he will have a higher %, but due to primary rules, he WOULD get far more with a less %, if only 2 broke the threshold instead of 3.
Hope that helps!