Theowl32
Diamond Member
- Dec 8, 2013
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According to ex NFL athletes like Jerome Bettis, the deflated balls help most significantly in not fumbling.
According to well-researched and rather mind-boggling data compiled by Warren Sharp of sharpfootballanalysis.com, the New England Patriots have had fumble rates for years that almost defy the law of physics, not to mention probability.
Not only were the Patriots, who are under suspicion for intentionally deflating their footballs in the AFC Championship Game, only the third team in the last 25 years to have never lost a fumble in a home game, but they have a fumble rate over the last five seasons that is more than just a little suspicious.
Should be pointed out here that Sharp does not necessarily suggest any cheating has taken place over the years. He's simply presenting data that shows how little the Patriots have fumbled compared to the rest of the league and how much of a statistical improbability that can be, especially considering how many plays the Patriots run in their hybrid Chip Kelly-style attack.
The Patriots average 187 plays per fumble. compared the league average of 105.
According to a data scientist Sharp quoted, "based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution, you’d expect to see, according to random fluctuation, the results that the Patriots have gotten over this period, once in 16,233.77 instances."
That, according to Sharp is like "winning a raffle where you have a 0.0000616 probability to win. Which in other words, it's very unlikely that it’s a coincidence."
The data is broken down many different ways, including season-by-season and in just wet-weather games, where the Patriots are almost as good, and in some cases better.
Sharp Football Analysis
Read the bold faced.
BTW, you should take a look at Benjarvus Green Ellis fumble stats. With the Pats he hardly ever fumbled. He was notoriously steady and the stats indicate that.
He left the Pats, went to Cincinnati and guess what happened. Go ahead. Take ONE GUESS.
Here let me tell you. From 2008 till 2011 he did not fumble the ball once. In FOUR YEARS FOR THE PATS HE DID NOT FUMBLE THE BALL ONCE. Two seasons with the Bengals he fumbled the ball 5 times and lost 4 of them.
Yeah, probably a coincidence.
What cheaters the Pats have been.
According to well-researched and rather mind-boggling data compiled by Warren Sharp of sharpfootballanalysis.com, the New England Patriots have had fumble rates for years that almost defy the law of physics, not to mention probability.
Not only were the Patriots, who are under suspicion for intentionally deflating their footballs in the AFC Championship Game, only the third team in the last 25 years to have never lost a fumble in a home game, but they have a fumble rate over the last five seasons that is more than just a little suspicious.
Should be pointed out here that Sharp does not necessarily suggest any cheating has taken place over the years. He's simply presenting data that shows how little the Patriots have fumbled compared to the rest of the league and how much of a statistical improbability that can be, especially considering how many plays the Patriots run in their hybrid Chip Kelly-style attack.
The Patriots average 187 plays per fumble. compared the league average of 105.
According to a data scientist Sharp quoted, "based on the assumption that fumbles per play follow a normal distribution, you’d expect to see, according to random fluctuation, the results that the Patriots have gotten over this period, once in 16,233.77 instances."
That, according to Sharp is like "winning a raffle where you have a 0.0000616 probability to win. Which in other words, it's very unlikely that it’s a coincidence."
The data is broken down many different ways, including season-by-season and in just wet-weather games, where the Patriots are almost as good, and in some cases better.
Sharp Football Analysis
Read the bold faced.
BTW, you should take a look at Benjarvus Green Ellis fumble stats. With the Pats he hardly ever fumbled. He was notoriously steady and the stats indicate that.
He left the Pats, went to Cincinnati and guess what happened. Go ahead. Take ONE GUESS.
Here let me tell you. From 2008 till 2011 he did not fumble the ball once. In FOUR YEARS FOR THE PATS HE DID NOT FUMBLE THE BALL ONCE. Two seasons with the Bengals he fumbled the ball 5 times and lost 4 of them.
Yeah, probably a coincidence.
What cheaters the Pats have been.
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