Paperboy was Right - the race is tightening

[Red Dawn]

Louisiana and Arizona are now battleground states,

with some polls showing Louisiana and McCain's home state to be statistical dead heats.




Louisiana

MCCAIN: 43%
OBAMA: 40%


WAFB Channel 9, Baton Rouge, LA |9NEWS POLL: Landrieu leads; Presidential race tight in LA

CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - As polls tighten, the campaign arrives in McCain’s home state - Blogs from CNN.com

 

[bk1983]

ouch!! thats painful!

 

[bigdaddygtr]

Paperboy is in such denial

 

[The Paperboy]

I deny I'm in denial.

Right now I'm keeping an eye on exit polls from early voting states. If I was Obama I'd be a little concerned about what they've shown thus far in Florida and Nevada.

Haven't seen any other exit polls for any other early voting battleground states.

 

[jillian]

Louisiana and Arizona are now battleground states,

with some polls showing Louisiana and McCain's home state to be statistical dead heats.




Louisiana

MCCAIN: 43%
OBAMA: 40%


WAFB Channel 9, Baton Rouge, LA |9NEWS POLL: Landrieu leads; Presidential race tight in LA

CNN Political Ticker: All politics, all the time Blog Archive - As polls tighten, the campaign arrives in McCain’s home state - Blogs from CNN.com

And about 17% of the Louisiana voters are undecided or won't say. I have every expectation that most of the undecideds will break for McCain. And the race *is* tightening because of those voters making their decision.

Obama isn't getting Louisiana or Arizona. I prefer being a realist about these things. But it is nice to watch them squirm.

 

[random3434]

I about dropped my salad last night, I was in the kitchen listening to our local news.

They said the early voting shows that Obama is ahead of McCain in our state.

This is in Indiana, a state that's redder than newsboys face after Tuesday night!


Now, I take this with a grain of salt, nothing is solid until November 4th....

 

[Red Dawn]

And about 17% of the Louisiana voters are undecided or won't say. I have every expectation that most of the undecideds will break for McCain. And the race *is* tightening because of those voters making their decision.

Obama isn't getting Louisiana or Arizona. I prefer being a realist about these things. But it is nice to watch them squirm.

Oh yeah, Obama isn't going to win those states.

Its hilarious however, to watch McCain pour campaign resources and money into defending Arizona.

 

[jillian]

I about dropped my salad last night, I was in the kitchen listening to our local news.

They said the early voting shows that Obama is ahead of McCain in our state.

This is in Indiana, a state that's redder than newsboys face after Tuesday night!


Now, I take this with a grain of salt, nothing is solid until November 4th....

It's a statistical tie, with obama being up 3 points (within the margin of error) but that is pretty amazing, isn't it?

And I hope you're right about newspaper delivery boy's face.

I won't trust it til wednesday.

Polls: Obama leads McCain by 13 points in NH - NewsFlash - mlive.com

 

[The Paperboy]

I about dropped my salad last night, I was in the kitchen listening to our local news.

They said the early voting shows that Obama is ahead of McCain in our state.

This is in Indiana, a state that's redder than newsboys face after Tuesday night!


Now, I take this with a grain of salt, nothing is solid until November 4th....

I assume this is based on party, not which candidate is being voted for.

Here in Florida, Democrats are ahead in early voting by about 5% but an exit poll by LA Times showed McCain leading 50-45.

In Nevada Democrats are way ahead of Republicans in early voting but an exit poll showed Obama ahead by only 2 points.

 

[sealybobo]

I assume this is based on party, not which candidate is being voted for.

Here in Florida, Democrats are ahead in early voting by about 5% but an exit poll by LA Times showed McCain leading 50-45.

In Nevada Democrats are way ahead of Republicans in early voting but an exit poll showed Obama ahead by only 2 points.

We all hate polls. But, when 95% of them favor Obama, and you always go with the 5%, it makes you seem silly. Here are some facts that should shut you up for the rest of the day:

Voter registration smashes records
States say 188 million have signed up to vote

46 million more people registered for this election than in 04.

High turn out NEVER helps the GOP.

Check this out. Number of registered Democrats has grown by nearly 5 percent since 2004. During the same time, the GOP lost more than 2 percent of its registered voters.”

In states where registration is recorded by party, including eight key states that could decide the election, voters have signed up Democratic in the past six months by a margin of nearly 4-to-1.

Battleground: That registration edge - First Read - msnbc.com


I'm ready to say it is OVER! Stick a fork in McCain.

 

[DavidS]

Louisiana and Arizona are now battleground states,

with some polls showing Louisiana and McCain's home state to be statistical dead heats.

Do you really think, after Katrinia, the people in NO are going to forget what Republicans did to them?

2008 Early Voting

Louisiana

html​

266,880​

Party​

Dem​

58.5%

Rep​

28.4%

No/Oth​

13.1%

Race​

White​

60.8%

Black​

36.3%

Other​

2.9%

Sex​

Men​

43.5%

Women​

56.5%

Ballot​

Absentee​

5.1%

In-Person​

94.9%​

13.6%​

1,956,590 6.5%

10/29
(In-person early voting period ended 10/28​

 

[glockmail]

Do you really think, after Katrinia, the people in NO are going to forget what Republicans did to them?

2008 Early Voting

Louisiana

html​

266,880​

Party​

Dem​

58.5%

Rep​

28.4%

No/Oth​

13.1%

Race​

White​

60.8%

Black​

36.3%

Other​

2.9%

Sex​

Men​

43.5%

Women​

56.5%

Ballot​

Absentee​

5.1%

In-Person​

94.9%​

13.6%​

1,956,590 6.5%

10/29
(In-person early voting period ended 10/28​

I'm not surprised that you would bring this up again in another thread even though I rammed it down your throat so deep you could not respond:

Actually, most early voting is done in urban areas in order to reduce the expected crowds at the regular polls, and Liberals are much more inclined to live in and near these areas. So polling of early voters favors Democrats.

If it is reported fairly, the opposite should hold true during during the regular polling.

 

[DavidS]

I deny I'm in denial.

Right now I'm keeping an eye on exit polls from early voting states. If I was Obama I'd be a little concerned about what they've shown thus far in Florida and Nevada.

Haven't seen any other exit polls for any other early voting battleground states.

A National Review exit poll from "a guy." That's hilarious.

 

[DavidS]

I'm not surprised that you would bring this up again in another thread even though I rammed it down your throat so deep you could not respond:

There was nothing to respond to because it was infactual. Early voting is done statewide, not in just "urban" areas.

 

[glockmail]

There was nothing to respond to because it was infactual. Early voting is done statewide, not in just "urban" areas.

Jillian came to your defense with just that, and I again stuffed it back down your throat and you ignored it just as I predicted:

......

But again, even urban areas in red states are heavily populated with liberals. Even in my small county, unabashedly conservative, if you analyze it according to precinct, you'll see that the more concentrated the population, the more liberal. Its a fucking fact and it totally destroys the premise of your argument, so my guess is that you will continue to ignore it.

 

[DavidS]

Jillian came to your defense with just that, and I again stuffed it back down your throat and you ignored it just as I predicted:

Again, early voting does not take place in just urban areas. Early voting takes place everywhere. But, hey you and Paperboy keep trying.

 

[glockmail]

Again, early voting does not take place in just urban areas. Early voting takes place everywhere. But, hey you and Paperboy keep trying.

And again;

Actually, most early voting is done in urban areas in order to reduce the expected crowds at the regular polls, and Liberals are much more inclined to live in and near these areas. So polling of early voters favors Democrats.

If it is reported fairly, the opposite should hold true during during the regular polling.

 

[glockmail]

I went by the early voting place in my precinct (red as hell) 5 times in the past few days. The parking lot was backed up each time with people waiting in line outside. I don't have the fucking patience to wait so I'll just have to vote on Tuesday.

 

[DavidS]

And again;

The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. You can keep quoting me your lies about early voting all you like, but it is not the truth.

 

[jillian]

Again, early voting does not take place in just urban areas. Early voting takes place everywhere. But, hey you and Paperboy keep trying.

Is he still lying like a rug?

How sad.