Nate Silver: "The model is ready. And here's our headline: the presidential election isn't a toss-up."

[DigitalDrifter]

Let me link you to Project 538 because Silver isn't saying anything of the kind:

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

Sorry to break the news to you, but Nate Silver is no longer with 538.

 

[The Irish Ram]

When you run an incompetent felon, you lose.

Like Nelson Mandela you mean? He served years for incitement and other phony bullshit. Then became President.

 

[DigitalDrifter]

For Fairylady:

The presidential election isn't a toss-up

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

www.natesilver.net

 

[Missourian]

he is fucked then.

Biden's debate demands leave little room for anything else.

Democrats kinda fucked themselves.

The Sham-viction blew up in their faces, and their debate rules limit spontaneity.

 

[Dragonlady]

Like Nelson Mandela you mean? He served years for incitement and other phony bullshit. Then became President.

Mandela wasn't incompetent or corrupt. Mandela didn't go to jail because he was a selfish conman paying off porn stars, and taking bribes. He went to jail to fight because he was fighting against white nationalists like Trump.

 

[Tumblin Tumbleweed]

Trumps core cares about his policies .. being civil will not hurt him ..

But your 'policy' seems to be wanting to fuck people not like you over, because LIB-R-TEES, and other stupid Karen entitlement shit.

You're just like the 'libturdz' to me. Congrats?

 

[EvilEyeFleegle]

if Trump has such a big lead he just has to show up, be civilized and connect with Americans in a positive manner and compare his presidency with Bidens.

Now you're just talking crazy~

 

[Dragonlady]

Trumps core cares about his policies .. being civil will not hurt him ..

Trump doesn't have policies. Trump is incapable of being civil. How you treat others is a reflection of your own self esteem and Trump doesn't have any. That's why he's always whining about other people being "losers". .

He can't admit he lost to a "loser like Biden". It's embarassing. The nation is being torn apart being Trump isn't man enough to say he lost. What a pathetic loser.

 

[two_iron]

Most pollsters are incorporating the "drooling fucktard" factor into their algorithms, now.

You've got the equivalent of a border collie with a head injury doping up for a week and trying to memorize talking points, and we all know he's gonna freeze and lose his shit inside the first 15 minutes. They're praying he won't shit his pants and start shrieking about how hot Ashley was when she was 9. But that's asking a lot.

It's not gonna be pretty. 4 more states turn red in 3.... 2.... 1....

This is WITH teleprompters and cue cards....

 

[MisterBeale]

Silver hasn't been right since Barry the Boiking.

. . huh. I didn't even know he wasn't working for 538 anymore. Wow. I live under a rock.

Nate Silver’s 2024 Election Model Wildly Diverges From His Former Site FiveThirtyEight​

Published Jun. 26, 2024 5:07PM EDT

Nate Silver’s Election Model Is Way Off From His Former Site

The infamous data journalist says Trump has a 66-percent chance of winning. The site he founded completely disagrees.

www.thedailybeast.com

UPDATED Jun. 26, 2024, at 9:44 PM

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

 

[MisterBeale]

Let me link you to Project 538 because Silver isn't saying anything of the kind:

ABC News – Breaking News, Latest News and Videos

ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.

projects.fivethirtyeight.com

He no longer works there.

This is his site;

The presidential election isn't a toss-up​

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.​

The presidential election isn't a toss-up

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

www.natesilver.net

 

[Dragonlady]

He no longer works there.

This is his site;

The presidential election isn't a toss-up​

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.​

The presidential election isn't a toss-up

As our model launches, either Biden or Trump could easily win — but the odds are in the ex-president’s favor.

www.natesilver.net

First he says it isn't a toss up, and then he said either could easily win. Pay a fee and let me tell you all about it.

No thank you.

​

 

[yidnar]

Trump doesn't have policies. Trump is incapable of being civil. How you treat others is a reflection of your own self esteem and Trump doesn't have any. That's why he's always whining about other people being "losers". .

He can't admit he lost to a "loser like Biden". It's embarassing. The nation is being torn apart being Trump isn't man enough to say he lost. What a pathetic loser.

we know Briben won with the help of the 3 letter gov agencies ,MSM , social media ECT .. covering for Briben and banning and censoring negative info on the laptop and the Briben family business dealings .. people are now informed about what they were denied access to about the Bribens .. and Twitter is now owned by a man that upholds freedom of speech .

 

[yidnar]

But your 'policy' seems to be wanting to fuck people not like you over, because LIB-R-TEES, and other stupid Karen entitlement shit.

You're just like the 'libturdz' to me. Congrats?

what rites did Trump take away ?? did he force vaccine mandates on people with the threat of losing their jobs if they didn't comply with Briben orders .. did he lockdown entire blue states and cities for yrs and lock people up for going to church like the tyrants on the left did ?? the answer is no .. the leftists are the tyrants !

Shocker Poll: Swing-State Voters Trust Trump More on Democracy

A new poll spells even more trouble for Biden in swing states.

newrepublic.com

 

[yidnar]

Being as he rarely if never gets any of his policies enacted, it can't be about that.

 

[SweetSue92]

Very encouraging, but we'll see.
It just shows how bad a president AND candidate Joe Biden truly is. If Americans were happy, a sitting president would have a huge and insurmountable lead over a convicted felon.

The election is 'no longer a toss-up' with one candidate way ahead

It is one day until Donald Trump and Joe Biden meet for their first 2024 debate, which could have a massive impact on the election.

www.dailymail.co.uk

It's unfolding like this:

1. Dems will cry all the way to November about "democracy" and "norms" and "behavior" (they cry about behavior more than anyone I know and I am an actual schoolmarm)

2. Trump will win anyway

3. Dems will go one to break every one of the "norms" they were crying about, up to and including rioting in the streets

 

[luiza]

Nate Silver has an astonishing record .

However Cliff High , with his predictive linguistic data sets , and separately the RVs , either have not got that far ahead, or are keeping absolutely quiet until their mid -July predictions are verified .

All are predicting an event of colossal significance with tentacles and consequences spreading years into the future .

I surmise that whatever it is will have a huge influence on all subsequent events . Which is another good reason to be cautious about post- July .

 

[DigitalDrifter]

if Trump has such a big lead he just has to show up, be civilized and connect with Americans in a positive manner and compare his presidency with Bidens.

Hopefully the Dimocrat moderators will give Trump ample opportunity to point out policy differences, such as Biden's border policies that have allowed record #'s to flood in and negatively impact city services all across the country.