Some are also annoyed that Silver can “have it both ways” — that is, if Obama wins, he’s right, and if Obama loses, he can claim he gave Romney decent odds — and thus he will weasel out of responsibility for “getting it wrong.” That’s also silly. If Obama loses and it turns out the majority of state polls were totally wrong , that’s not actually Nate Silver’s fault. If the electoral map ends up looking significantly different from Silver’s projected map, though, I am pretty sure he’ll acknowledge his failure, explain what went wrong, and try to fix his model for next time. (Or he’ll quit politics forever and go back to poker.)