Nate Silver- only 10% chance Trump wins

[Zander]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

 

[Toro]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

 

[blackhawk]

Wasn't pretty much every pollester giving Trump those same odds are something close to it in 2016? Yes I know this is not 2016 and no I am not predicting a Trump win but it sure seems like a lot of people have not learned to stop taking polls so seriously.

 

[Toro]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

 

[Nostra]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

ol Nate gave Trump a 5% chance of winning in 2016.

 

[Arresmillao]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

in 2016 Nate gave pussygrabber much better chance at 27%, and yes, pussygrabber lost by 3 million votes, getting a razor thin electoral votes win..

 

[WelfareQueen]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

Wow, you really became a serious douchebag.

 

[Zander]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

Poor Toro, he is using faulty math to prove that I don't understand math.



It is what it is Toro, Silver gives Trump a 1-10 chance. No additional math or rationalization is required.

 

[SweetTea]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

A 10-point underdog does not have a 1 in 10 chance of winning. You clearly have no idea what you are talking about.

 

[SweetTea]

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

If the odds were made by the opposing team's fans, I would likely not put much stock in their validity. Homers will be homers. Liberals will be liberal and that is who does most of the polling.

 

[LA RAM FAN]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

Poor Toro, he is using faulty math to prove that I don't understand math.



It is what it is Toro, Silver gives Trump a 1-10 chance. No additional math or rationalization is required.

Toto as always,is butthurt a warmonger President once again will fail to get elected same as they failed in 2016.lol America hater Toto is in for some major butthurt once again for another four more years.lol

 

[Toro]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

Poor Toro, he is using faulty math to prove that I don't understand math.



It is what it is Toro, Silver gives Trump a 1-10 chance. No additional math or rationalization is required.

Yeah, Trump cult “math”

 

[boedicca]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

There Nate goes with all of the wishcasting again.

 

[boedicca]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

in 2016 Nate gave pussygrabber much better chance at 27%, and yes, pussygrabber lost by 3 million votes, getting a razor thin electoral votes win..

Trump won in 2016. I know your ass is still chapped, but that's the fact Jack.

 

[dblack]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

On the flip side, as a life-long board gamer - I'd be very nervous about rolling those dice if the outcome had vital consequences.

 

[Billy000]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

Hey idiot, in 2016 his forecast gave Trump a 36% of winning the election. That doesn’t translate into “Hillary will win!” Just because that probability was low end, it doesn’t mean Hillary had a lock on it. Now in 2020, he still doesn’t use the language “Biden WILL win!”. You idiots just don’t understand the concept of probabilities I guess.

 

[Toro]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

A 10-point underdog does not have a 1 in 10 chance of winning. You clearly have no idea what you are talking about.

Yes it does.

I’m part of a football pool that tracks betting odds. And 10 point dog has won about 10% of the time over the past decade.

It’s like you Trumptards not understanding what happened in 2016. Trump had a 30% chance of winning. A 4-point dog also wins about 30% of the time in the NFL. But all you cultists thought that the equivalent of a 4-point dog winning was the same as “all the polls are wrong.”

Cultists are gonna cult.

 

[SweetTea]

Nate Silver, boy genius and favorite poll forecaster of the unhinged left, gives Trump only a 1 in 10 chance of winning. I guess he didn't learn a thing from his blown forecast in 2016......Maybe he uses the same model that Fauci used to forecast the Wu-Flu deaths?

Hey idiot, in 2016 his forecast gave Trump a 36% of winning the election. That doesn’t translate into “Hillary will win!” Just because that probability was low end, it doesn’t mean Hillary had a lock on it. Now in 2020, he still doesn’t use the language “Biden WILL win!”. You idiots just don’t understand the concept of probabilities I guess.

No less than you idiots don't understand the concept of polling bias.

 

[Toro]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

On the flip side, as a life-long board gamer - I'd be very nervous about rolling those dice if the outcome had vital consequences.

You wouldn’t play Russian Roulette for instance.

But this is an election. We have one every two years.

 

[SweetTea]

Here's how retarded the Trump cultists are, especially at math.

Trump has a 10% chance of winning. That's the equivalent of a 10-point underdog winning in the NFL.

Do 10-point dogs win in the NFL? Yes. About 1 in every 10 games.

So believing that polls (or poll aggregators, such as 538) are "all wrong" or "always wrong" is about as retarded as believing Vegas is "all wrong" or "always wrong" on sports betting when picking winners based on the spread.

It's like the Trump cultists betting that the 10-point dog will always win.

On the flip side, as a life-long board gamer - I'd be very nervous about rolling those dice if the outcome had vital consequences.

You wouldn’t play Russian Roulette for instance.

But this is an election. We have one every two years.

Trump changes the polling dynamic. That is what you don't seem to understand.