Nate Silver gives Hillary a 80% chance of winning in November, at this point.

[rightwinger]

Provided, of course, that Trump does not go full stupid and offend even more of the electorate. Then you might see him getting only 25% of the vote, with the repercussions following down ticket. The GOP has not only to fight the Dems this year, they have to fight their nominee. Damnedest political situation I have ever seen.

I saw a couple talking heads last night, I think on CNN, that stated Donnie has almost NO ground game. So he has little or no ground game, little money, even though he said he would fund himself, and he has one line messages with no plan on how to get anything done.

Donnie is going to give his campaign exposure by making outrageous statements, like he did in the Primaries. it worked well then. All the media outlets covered him. But this is the General and the outlets, other than FOX, are wise to his game. And of course, the more outregous his comments are, the more General voters are going to realize he is just an Orange Clown that wants to be King.

Trumps ground game is non-existent and he is too naïve to realize that he needs one

Trump has also not generated political good will with his party. These are the people you usually count on to use their political connections

Hillary is planning a 50 state campaign to not only take swing states but impact congressional and local races in red states

RW level with me…

Can you hear the faintest drumbeats of the famous Clinton over-reach in the distance? Why in the hell would you worry about winning Utah or Texas or Alaska or Kansas? I’d love to shoot an 18 at the putt-put course every time I go but you know what? Shooting 25 is usually enough to win the free dinner and trophy. View attachment 79930

I think the Democrats smell blood

They have the political capital to campaign in all 50 states. Not just "Vote Hillary not Trump" but to force all Republicans under the "Party of Trump" umbrella

A Hillary victory and Dems taking the Senate are probably a given right now. But why not go for it all? Hit the Republican Senators and Congressmen where they live. Bring in national money to tie them to Trump and bring down the whole freak'n party

You know what they say about those who “smell blood” don’t you? Your blood and their blood smells an awfully lot alike. I think HRC should stick to the battlegrounds, maybe throw some money into light reds like MO, AZ, and possibly GA. IF you win 50.1% of the electorate, you still win 100% of the presidency. And if she got every electoral vote, every popular vote, and every dimpled, pregnant, or hanging chad of those who were contested; there would still be a large segment of the population that screams fraud.

By your own admission, anything over 270 EV is gravy

Why not use the extra political influence to use Trump to take down Republican Congressmen and Senators

 

[NOLA Gator]

And they never saw 2010 or 2012.

Scotland was leaving the UK and GB was staying in the EU.

I have never been polled. My friends have not been polled. Many of the people I work with are not even thinking about the Election.

The map favors HC but I would not bet the Prius on it.

 

[rightwinger]

Can Hillary Clinton Turn Red States Blue?

Investing in a 50-state strategy could put Democrats in a better position to take advantage of the electoral uncertainty created by Donald Trump. There are certainly indications that Trump may be a weak general-election candidate. As my colleague David Graham points out: “For most intents and purposes, there appears to be no Trump campaign.” For now, “the Trump campaign is leaning on the RNC [Republican National Committee] for help to an unusual degree,” according to MSNBC, “but it can only provide so much support.”

Meanwhile, Democrats are hoping that states like Arizona and Utah, which have reliably voted Republican in recent presidential elections, might flip in the upcoming election as a result of anti-Trump sentiment. Those hopes might be far-fetched, and there is no guarantee that Democrats will win in red states during the general election. But if they do, the party will more easily be able to capitalize on anti-Trump pushback if the campaign has invested in campaign infrastructure in every state.

 

[Meathead]

NATE SILVER: Hillary Clinton has a near 80% chance of winning the election

Yes, he was wrong about Trump in the primary. He said he was acting like a pundit. But he has learned his lesson. And now all the tea leave line up for Hillary.

Yes, it is a long way to go, but remember, Donnie still has a mouth.

His silver ball is useless. He just another garden-variety hack now, not much better than Jimbo in fact.

 

[candycorn]

And they never saw 2010 or 2012.

Scotland was leaving the UK and GB was staying in the EU.

I have never been polled. My friends have not been polled. Many of the people I work with are not even thinking about the Election.

The map favors HC but I would not bet the Prius on it.

You likely mean 2014. I predicted it.

 

[C_Clayton_Jones]

Predictit has Hillary winning at 65 - 33

Who will win the 2016 U.S. presidential election?

That would be a slaughter and affect elections at all levels

I think enough Republicans will hold their noses and vote Trump with Hillary winning maybe 50- 41 with Johnson pulling maybe 7%

The recent Washington Post/ABC poll reveals that only 77 percent of republicans support Trump, as opposed to 90 percent of democrats who support Clinton.

That’s Trump’s biggest problem: he won’t get the democratic votes needed by any republican candidate to win the GE.

A new poll suggests this is the reason Trump is tanking

Exactly! A Republican CANNOT win the WH unless he/she gets many Democrats to come over and support him, like Reagan did. Donnie cannot even get many Republicans to support him.

Of course, many will argue that many Sanders supporters will support Donald. Very, very few will come his way. He is hated with a passion by the vast majority of Sanders supporter. Plus, Bernie has stated he will vote for Hillary and will do everything he can to defeat Donnie in November.

The point to remember is, Donnie cannot won unless he pulls a great many Democrats to his side, he will lose badly. In 1980, Reagan pulled 27% of the Democrats to vote for him. Donnie will be lucky to pull 5%. Plus, many, many Republicans will sit at home.

How Groups Voted in 1980 - Roper Center

Correct.

Polls show that very few Sanders' voters/supporters will vote for Trump, too few to matter.

 

[NLT]

NATE SILVER: Hillary Clinton has a near 80% chance of winning the election

Yes, he was wrong about Trump in the primary. He said he was acting like a pundit. But he has learned his lesson. And now all the tea leave line up for Hillary.

Yes, it is a long way to go, but remember, Donnie still has a mouth.

7 Times Nate Silver Was Hilariously Wrong About Donald Trump

 

[candycorn]

I saw a couple talking heads last night, I think on CNN, that stated Donnie has almost NO ground game. So he has little or no ground game, little money, even though he said he would fund himself, and he has one line messages with no plan on how to get anything done.

Donnie is going to give his campaign exposure by making outrageous statements, like he did in the Primaries. it worked well then. All the media outlets covered him. But this is the General and the outlets, other than FOX, are wise to his game. And of course, the more outregous his comments are, the more General voters are going to realize he is just an Orange Clown that wants to be King.

Trumps ground game is non-existent and he is too naïve to realize that he needs one

Trump has also not generated political good will with his party. These are the people you usually count on to use their political connections

Hillary is planning a 50 state campaign to not only take swing states but impact congressional and local races in red states

RW level with me…

Can you hear the faintest drumbeats of the famous Clinton over-reach in the distance? Why in the hell would you worry about winning Utah or Texas or Alaska or Kansas? I’d love to shoot an 18 at the putt-put course every time I go but you know what? Shooting 25 is usually enough to win the free dinner and trophy. View attachment 79930

I think the Democrats smell blood

They have the political capital to campaign in all 50 states. Not just "Vote Hillary not Trump" but to force all Republicans under the "Party of Trump" umbrella

A Hillary victory and Dems taking the Senate are probably a given right now. But why not go for it all? Hit the Republican Senators and Congressmen where they live. Bring in national money to tie them to Trump and bring down the whole freak'n party

You know what they say about those who “smell blood” don’t you? Your blood and their blood smells an awfully lot alike. I think HRC should stick to the battlegrounds, maybe throw some money into light reds like MO, AZ, and possibly GA. IF you win 50.1% of the electorate, you still win 100% of the presidency. And if she got every electoral vote, every popular vote, and every dimpled, pregnant, or hanging chad of those who were contested; there would still be a large segment of the population that screams fraud.

By your own admission, anything over 270 EV is gravy

Why not use the extra political influence to use Trump to take down Republican Congressmen and Senators

You can do both. Mark Kirk is in a fight in the BG state of IL. Marco Rubio is spilling blood in FL. McGinty is vulnerable in PA. I’m not saying go dark in the non-swing states but whack off the bottom 10-20 states and focus on the upper 30 if nothing else. Sometimes shooting par is good enough.

 

[JimH52]

Nate Silver Explains How Everyone Got Trump Wrong

I think Silver thought, "There is no way the Republican voters in the Primary will vote in the only one of the debate stage that has NO CHANCE to beat Hillary. Well, guess what, Nate?

WAY!​

 

[rightwinger]

Nate Silver Explains How Everyone Got Trump Wrong

I think Silver thought, "There is no way the Republican voters in the Primary will vote in the only one of the debate stage that has NO CHANCE to beat Hillary. Well, guess what, Nate?

WAY!​

Nate underestimated the stupidity of the Republican base....didn't we all?

 

[Zander]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

 

[JimH52]

Unless Donnie takes this seriously and raises money and builds a ground game, he is going to have a very hard time winning in November. He still has time to turn things around, but time is running out. He seems to enjoy refusing to listen to advisers. His arrogance and stubbornness may be his Waterloo.

 

[rightwinger]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

We still need the election so that we can take more seats in Congress and the Statehouses

Trump leading the ticket is a once in a lifetime godsend......Dems need to take maximum advantage

 

[JimH52]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

We still need the election so that we can take more seats in Congress and the Statehouses

Trump leading the ticket is a once in a lifetime godsend......Dems need to take maximum advantage

Yup, it is like the voters in the Republican primaries sent the DNC a memo, "Tell us who has the least chance of beating Hillary and we will choose him!"

 

[jillian]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

there will be an election.

but the Donald won't be more appealing to women, minorities or gays.

demographics matter. so does the fact that the idiot can't control himself.

tissue?

 

[rightwinger]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

there will be an election.

but the Donald won't be more appealing to women, minorities or gays.

demographics matter. so does the fact that the idiot can't control himself.

tissue?

Trump will bring his newfound party down with him

 

[Zander]

Why even bother to hold an election? Nate Silver, Boy Genius, has called if for hiLIARy.....

Much like the UK media called it for the "remain" camp in the UK. There was simply NO WAY THEY COULD LOSE!! Until they did.

DOH!!!

there will be an election.

but the Donald won't be more appealing to women, minorities or gays.

demographics matter. so does the fact that the idiot can't control himself.

tissue?

Did you learn nothing from Brexit? it was supposed to be a mere formality for the Brits to vote against exiting, but, as with the Donald Trump phenomenon, the experts completely misjudged the anger and nationalistic fervor of voters.....

You, and your fellow brainwashed LWNJ's, are the ones who'll be needing tissue once you realize that the polls are little more than propaganda devices.