Manufacturing jobs decline in 2025

Trump through tariffs is beginning to bring them back.

Well, no.

fredgraph.png


See if you can tell where the tariffs started. (It's April.)
 
You hate it because it's Trump, not because it is wrong.
.
Maybe try this crap on someone who didn't do practical macroeconomic/microeconomic analysis for a two-plus decade-long career, and who still does it as a retired active investor.

And just for fun, I'll take Gemini's AI opinion, using current available data, over the cut-and-paste of an obedient street Trumpster any day:

======

QUESTION: How have the increased tariffs increased Nike's (NKE) costs of doing business?

In 2025, Nike (NKE) has faced a "perfect storm" of rising costs due to increased U.S. tariffs. These trade policies have significantly pressured the company's bottom line, leading to a projected $1.5 billion annual increase in costs and a sharp decline in profitability.

Below is a breakdown of how these tariffs have impacted Nike's operations:

Direct Financial Impact

The most immediate effect has been the erosion of profit margins. In its December 2025 fiscal second-quarter report, Nike reported that:
  • Net Income: Dropped 32% year-over-year to $792 million.
  • Gross Margins: Contracted by 300 basis points to 40.6%.
  • Cost of Goods Sold (COGS): Management attributed approximately 520 basis points of gross margin impact in North America specifically to the new tariffs.

Supply Chain Vulnerabilities

Nike’s heavy reliance on Southeast Asian manufacturing has become a liability under the current tariff regime:
  • Vietnam & Indonesia: These countries produce roughly 75% to 80% of Nike’s footwear. New reciprocal tariff rates (averaging around 19–20%) have made importing from these regions much more expensive.
  • China Exposure: Although Nike is actively reducing its manufacturing footprint in China, roughly 16% of its U.S.-bound footwear still originates there, facing tariffs as high as 30% to 60%.

Note: Analysts suggest that without the tariff impact, Nike’s North American margins would have actually expanded, indicating that the company's internal turnaround efforts are working but are being masked by external trade costs.
 
Last edited:
Manufacturing jobs decline in 2025. Trump's claims of bringing manufacturing jobs back to US is not happening in 2025. Trump's actions are part of the reason of losing manufacturing jobs.

In 2025, the U.S. economy experienced a net loss of manufacturing jobs, with estimates ranging from approximately 49,000 to 63,000 jobs lost since the beginning of the year, according to data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) through November 2025.
Key points regarding the manufacturing job numbers in 2025:
  • Overall Trend: The sector has seen a general decline in employment throughout the year, especially since April 2025, when "Liberation Day" tariffs were announced.
  • Monthly Data: Manufacturing jobs fell for seven consecutive months after April. The data for November 2025 alone showed a loss of 5,000 manufacturing jobs.
  • Causes of Decline: Analysts attribute the job losses and stagnation to factors including:
    • Economic uncertainty caused by new tariffs, which raises costs for manufacturers.
    • Investments in labor-saving technologies.
    • A shortage of skilled workers for available positions, despite overall job losses.
  • Administration's Perspective: The Trump administration has highlighted significant investment announcements by private companies (such as Stellantis, Whirlpool, and others) as evidence of a manufacturing boom, projecting future job creation.
  • Economic Impact: Despite claims that tariffs would boost the industry, the policies have reportedly increased prices for consumers and businesses, with few of the promised job benefits materializing in 2025.


Weird. The manufacturing company I work for has been on a huge hiring spree and has mandatory over time.
 

All temporary job growth happened in the Bush recession as you can see from the first chart. They stayed flat under Obama. In the second chart you can see the growth of full time jobs. You have no idea what you are talking about.

PART TIME

1766837620751.webp


FULL TIME

1766837661962.webp



The 94% number refers to growth in a specific survey measure of alternative work arrangements, not a formal government employment count and was produced by a right wing . The study used a special survey supplement — the RAND-Princeton Contingent Worker Survey — which is not the official standard used by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) to count jobs.
 
Employers only have a few ways to mitigate their tariff-generated increased costs of doing business without increasing prices. The easiest and quickest ways are layoffs and hiring freezes. As we're seeing. They could try to increase efficiencies, renegotiate contracts, drop products, use cheaper input products and eliminate lower-profit work, and we'll probably see that, but jobs are easiest.

Any economist could have told this administration that, but they only listen to loyalists.
What you guys did the first two years of Joe, and you spout this crap.
 
What you guys did the first two years of Joe, and you spout this crap.
You don't know my politics, Einstein. And you obviously don't know shit about macroeconomics.

A person is not a leftist just because we, across the political spectrum, think you're in an ignorant cult.

Why is that so goddamn hard to sink into your thick skulls?
 
Last edited:
Attribute your layoff to tariffs and Trump will send mean threatening tweets; attribute it to AI and Trump will declare you part of Making America Greater Again. It is all about how you sell the sizzle.
 
Listen. That is exactly the opposite of what happened. Bush recession shed millions of manufacturing jobs. Obama added manufacturing jobs. Well before covid Trump oversaw the plateau and then decline of Manufacturing jobs, then they crashed under covid, then Biden added them, now Trump is overseeing yet another plateau and decline. That’s based on real numbers not your narrative.

View attachment 1198236
Your red and blue crayons are a little vague with the :rolleyes-41: timing.
 
Trump’s truly been planting the seeds.

fredgraph.png
Trump hasn't even been in office for a year. :auiqs.jpg:
It's the residual effect of your boy, Biden that has pushed these numbers.
Why don't you wait until Trump has his economy in place before you bag
on him???
You should stick to your healthcare gig, dude.
At least you have your lies down pat in that wheel house.
 
Trump hasn't even been in office for a year. :auiqs.jpg:
It's the residual effect of your boy, Biden that has pushed these numbers.
Why don't you wait until Trump has his economy in place before you bag
on him???

Well, again, no. Biden had a massive manufacturing investment boom, which has reversed under Trump. Trump does benefit from the levels to which Biden pushed investment, though those are obviously now falling thanks to Trump.

fredgraph.png
 
15th post
Trump hasn't even been in office for a year. :auiqs.jpg:
It's the residual effect of your boy, Biden that has pushed these numbers.
Why don't you wait until Trump has his economy in place before you bag
on him???
You should stick to your healthcare gig, dude.
At least you have your lies down pat in that wheel house.
maga doesn’t take responsibility.

Didn’t Shitler! take credit for the rising economy before he was even elected just because he was on the ballot.
 
Well, again, no. Biden had a massive manufacturing investment boom, which has reversed under Trump. Trump does benefit from the levels to which Biden pushed investment, though those are obviously now falling thanks to Trump.

fredgraph.png
Biden? Or, maybe it was that the economy had turned on after the shutdown. You would probably give
Biden credit for 'JOB CREATION' too when the businesses started opening back up.
Stay in your wheelhouse, greenie :rolleyes-41:
 
Biden? Or, maybe it was that the economy had turned on after the shutdown. You would probably give
Biden credit for 'JOB CREATION' too when the businesses started opening back up.
Stay in your wheelhouse, greenie :rolleyes-41:

Manufacturing investment at 300% of the pre-COVID baseline is not merely because Biden reopened Trump’s closed economy.
 
maga doesn’t take responsibility.

Didn’t Shitler! take credit for the rising economy before he was even elected just because he was on the ballot.
I say that this conversation is a year too early, next year the blame or accolades should be
distributed.
 
Back
Top Bottom