I believe Obama will do a little better than that in November.
He should pull in about 45-46%.
Dream on--this is the exact same thing that happened during the Carter/Reagan race. All polls show them tied up until election eve--and it's very simple for pollsters to do this--by
1. Out polling Democrats to Republicans--(typically not known to the public)
2. What type of questions they ask--(notice they never tell you the structure of the questions being asked.)
3. What districts are being polled--are they heavily leaning democrat or republican--(another thing that is unknown.)
And the reason they do this--if they actually came out and stated--look this election is already over--Obama wouldn't get another dime in campaign funding--and people would stop tuning into these polling companies and there would go their advertisers to somewhere else.
I imagine with 11% real unemployment in this country the results are going to look very similar to the Carter/Reagan race of 1980--a complete BLOW-OUT of Barack Obama due to his epic failure of his economic policies--that has resulted in trickle up poverty.
Carter/Reagan race 1980
"If you have no record to run on, you paint your opponent as someone people should run from"--Barack Obama