Iowa Caucus Prediction Thread

[TemplarKormac]

I've also gotten this nagging feeling that I should flip my support to Cruz anyway. Starting to sour on Trump a little bit.

Good, you should sour on him.

And you least of all will not be dictating whether I do or not. Stand back, friend.

I'm not dictating anything, just stating my opinion.

Stand back? wtf?

Your opinion sounded pretty dictatorial.

I'm going to go eat dinner and watch the election results. Later.

 

[Vigilante]

 

[Zoom-boing]

I've also gotten this nagging feeling that I should flip my support to Cruz anyway. Starting to sour on Trump a little bit.

Good, you should sour on him.

And you least of all will not be dictating whether I do or not. Stand back, friend.

I'm not dictating anything, just stating my opinion.

Stand back? wtf?

Your opinion sounded pretty dictatorial.

I'm going to go eat dinner and watch the election results. Later.

Dude

 

[Toro]

Cruz 29%
Trump 25%
Rubio 21%

Rubio doing better, Trump doing worse than expected.

Awesome!

 

[AceRothstein]

Rubio closing the gap with Trump.

 

[TemplarKormac]

2016 Primary Election Results

 

[TemplarKormac]

Cruz 29%
Trump 25%
Rubio 21%

Rubio doing better, Trump doing worse than expected.

Awesome!

We haven't even gotten to the biggest most populous parts of Iowa yet.

 

[HappyJoy]

at 9:20 via local fox 24% reporting 400 out of 1682

Republican Caucus Iowa
Candidate Votes Percentage
Ted Cruz 9,729 30%
Donald Trump 8,770 27%
Marco Rubio 6,270 19%
Ben Carson 3,180 10%
Rand Paul 1,429 4%
Jeb Bush 824 3%
Mike Huckabee 610 2%
Carly Fiorina 577 2%
John Kasich 515 2%
Chris Christie 444 1%
Rick Santorum 354 1%
Jim Gilmore 2 0%
Total 32,704

The 3 point difference can be made up by the candidates who didn't meet the threshold.

I believe the 15% threshold only applies to the Democrats. The Republicans are merely electing delegates.

 

[leftwinger]

A candidate can win Iowa and New Hampshire, but more important is this day they refer to as Super Tuesday, when many States vote.

I think so. These are very small states w/o many delegates. Big states get many more total delegates?

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

i just hate ted cruz. .

where is jeb bush? i like jeb bush
nobody dont talk about him.

Jeb is looking for Mrs. Jeb aka Columba, she's got lost in a room of 6 year-old's.

This is Mrs. Jeb aka Columba to Jeb's right.

 

[Vigilante]

 

[skye]

One more thing ...whatever happens tonight has to be squeaky clean....because people are going to see if it is or if it's not.

That's all ______ for the Clinton Al Capone brigade.

 

[TemplarKormac]

Cruz is widening his lead, up 4 on Trump.

 

[skye]

so close.

lest's continue watching the numbers

 

[Vigilante]

 

[9aces]

Clinton's number keeps shrinking. I'd have expected at least some fluctuation there up and down.

 

[cereal_killer]

Rubio comes out the winner tonite (maybe not in actual votes)

I think Iowa will go to Cruz at this point. Everyone says "too close to call" but I disagree. The trend seems to favor Cruz and Rubio. They are outperforming everyone.

 

[dani67]

if ted cruz win
all delegate is for cruz?
and trump and rubio get nothing?
how many delegate for iowa?

 

[amrchaos]

rcp has clinton at 50.7 Sanders at 48.7 O'Malley at *

 

[Lucy Hamilton]

This is obviously a Cruz win tonight. I expect the MSM Propaganda to really begin working for Cruz now, it's not going to be pretty.