Iowa Caucus Prediction Thread

I've also gotten this nagging feeling that I should flip my support to Cruz anyway. Starting to sour on Trump a little bit.
 
Huckabee won Iowa in 2008, Santorum in 2012.

Yeah, people might want to stop counting their

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I've also gotten this nagging feeling that I should flip my support to Cruz anyway. Starting to sour on Trump a little bit.

Noooooooo LOL...... Trump or Cruz......anybody but the Hilda Beast!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
So far, you could make a legitimate case for restricting the next Republican debate to 4. Everyone at around 10% or higher.
 
at 9:20 via local fox 24% reporting 400 out of 1682

Republican Caucus Iowa
Candidate Votes Percentage
Ted Cruz 9,729 30%
Donald Trump 8,770 27%
Marco Rubio 6,270 19%
Ben Carson 3,180 10%
Rand Paul 1,429 4%
Jeb Bush 824 3%
Mike Huckabee 610 2%
Carly Fiorina 577 2%
John Kasich 515 2%
Chris Christie 444 1%
Rick Santorum 354 1%
Jim Gilmore 2 0%
Total 32,704
 
at 9:20 via local fox 24% reporting 400 out of 1682

Republican Caucus Iowa
Candidate Votes Percentage
Ted Cruz 9,729 30%
Donald Trump 8,770 27%
Marco Rubio 6,270 19%
Ben Carson 3,180 10%
Rand Paul 1,429 4%
Jeb Bush 824 3%
Mike Huckabee 610 2%
Carly Fiorina 577 2%
John Kasich 515 2%
Chris Christie 444 1%
Rick Santorum 354 1%
Jim Gilmore 2 0%
Total 32,704
The 3 point difference can be made up by the candidates who didn't meet the threshold.
 
Cruz leading Trump by 3; Clinton 52, Sanders 47...

Is Cruz going to win?
Only half of the precincts are reporting. Too early to tell

So, I want to be optimist. A candidate can win Iowa and New Hampshire, but more important is this day they refer to as Super Tuesday, when many States vote.

Some candidates should drop out soon, eg. Jim Gilmore, Rick Santorum and I think Mike Huckabee, also Martin O'Malley.
 
15th post
Just saw bunch of young voters on MSNBC. reg: VA----Dem voters.

She says "VA more F***ed up than ever" live.
 

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