Inside the Ruthless, Restless Final Days of Trump’s Campaign

Polls give a snapshot of voters' preferences, male and female, at the moment, so expectations have nothing to do with the results. Trump's support is clearly trending up and Harris' support is clearly trending down.
Polls do not ask everybody, they ask a small fraction of the population, a few thousand at most, who represent their demographics.
The secret to polling, is to match the responses against the expected voter mix. If women are voting at a 10% higher rate than they expected, then their numbers are 10% wrong.
 
A very detailed and in-depth expose on the inner workings of the Trump campaign and the many missteps he's made that turned what looked to be a more than fair chance of winning to what is likely now a loss. He has no self-control and refuses to listen to his campaign staff. Textbook narcissism. What's really interesting is his alleged reasons for finally shrugging off Laura Loomer: "Trump, who is generally appalled by plastic surgery, was disgusted to learn about the apparent extent of Loomer’s facial alterations." The man has quite the decision-making process.

You are in for quite a shock when your gal loses.
 
A very detailed and in-depth expose on the inner workings of the Trump campaign and the many missteps he's made that turned what looked to be a more than fair chance of winning to what is likely now a loss. He has no self-control and refuses to listen to his campaign staff. Textbook narcissism. What's really interesting is his alleged reasons for finally shrugging off Laura Loomer: "Trump, who is generally appalled by plastic surgery, was disgusted to learn about the apparent extent of Loomer’s facial alterations." The man has quite the decision-making process.

The Atlantic? :auiqs.jpg:

Leftwing nutbag Tim Alberta?:auiqs.jpg::auiqs.jpg::auiqs.jpg:
 
Polls give a snapshot of voters' preferences, male and female, at the moment, so expectations have nothing to do with the results. Trump's support is clearly trending up and Harris' support is clearly trending down.
Assumptions have everything to do with it.

All polling models are based on certain assumptions....for example, that women will be 52% or 53% of the total vote.

If women are actually 55% or more of the vote (like in PA, MI, GA, and NC right now), then that means Harris' voters are currently under-represented in the polls.
 
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Polls do not ask everybody, they ask a small fraction of the population, a few thousand at most, who represent their demographics.
The secret to polling, is to match the responses against the expected voter mix. If women are voting at a 10% higher rate than they expected, then their numbers are 10% wrong.
Not true. The key to polling is to ask a sample that represents the demographics of the population being tested. So the percent of the population that are women is also the precent of the population in the sample. It has noting to do with anyone's expectations.
 
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Assumptions have everything to do with it.

All polling models are based on certain assumptions....for example, that women will be 52% or 53% of the total vote.

If women are actually 55% or more of the vote (like in PA, MI, GA, and NC right now), then that means Harris' voters are currently under-represented in the polls.
Again, not true. The percent of women in the test sample will be the same as the percent of women in the population being tested.
 
A very detailed and in-depth expose on the inner workings of the Trump campaign and the many missteps he's made that turned what looked to be a more than fair chance of winning to what is likely now a loss. He has no self-control and refuses to listen to his campaign staff. Textbook narcissism. What's really interesting is his alleged reasons for finally shrugging off Laura Loomer: "Trump, who is generally appalled by plastic surgery, was disgusted to learn about the apparent extent of Loomer’s facial alterations." The man has quite the decision-making process.

Lol

From The Atlantic.

Taz’s TDS is in overtime as his his willful gullibility.
 
Again, not true. The percent of women in the test sample will be the same as the percent of women in the population being tested.
And what if that percent of women being polled doesn't match the actual percent of women who are voting?

You're just wrong.
 
Yeah....but I didn't post BS....
Look at the vote counts.
Here we are the weekend before election day and Trump is only behind less than one percent....this indicates a blowout on election day in popular votes as well as Electoral college votes.
Nah....

Pollsters believe they may have over compensated for the hidden Trump vote this time, and it is Harris who is being underestimated....
 
A very detailed and in-depth expose on the inner workings of the Trump campaign and the many missteps he's made that turned what looked to be a more than fair chance of winning to what is likely now a loss. He has no self-control and refuses to listen to his campaign staff. Textbook narcissism. What's really interesting is his alleged reasons for finally shrugging off Laura Loomer: "Trump, who is generally appalled by plastic surgery, was disgusted to learn about the apparent extent of Loomer’s facial alterations." The man has quite the decision-making process.


Excellent piece.
 
There's no end to the bullshit you post, but the fact is Trump is leading in the polls and trending up while Harris is behind and trending down.


It looks like the only way for Harris to beat Trump is to try to assassinate him again.

And if Trump loses ?
 

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